MTG Earnings

MTG reported its earnings on 2026-02-02, showcasing a revenue of 298.65M against an estimate of 306.65M, resulting in a -2.61% surprise. The EPS was 0.75, surpassing the expected 0.73 by 2.74% . The stock experienced a -5.19% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following MTG's earnings announcement on 2026-02-02, the stock price moved by -5.19% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, MTG's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.88% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.88% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate MTG’s annual revenue to reach 312.53M, while the EPS is projected at 0.77. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.02% and EPS estimates No Change by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between MTG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.02%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by 0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, MTG's stock price typically moves by -0.88% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.88% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.77 and revenue of 312.53M.

The earnings call presented mixed signals: stable financial performance, disciplined expense management, and a robust shareholder return plan were positive. However, flat investment income, potential delinquency increases, and unclear management responses on critical issues like FHFA premiums and future loss expectations counterbalance these positives. The Q&A revealed industry stability but lacked clarity on future trends, preventing a strong positive outlook. The neutral sentiment is due to the balance between positive financial metrics and uncertainties in guidance and future risks.