Should I Buy FLS? FLS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Flowserve Corp (FLS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

85.460

1 Day change

8.20%

52 Week Range

86.290

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is extended (RSI high), sitting near resistance, and momentum is starting to cool (MACD histogram contracting).
Event risk is immediate: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-05 after hours; options positioning (very heavy put volume) implies traders are paying up for downside protection into the print.
Positioning is mixed: hedge funds are accumulating, but insiders have been selling aggressively recently—this combination typically reduces the “must-buy-now” edge.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, suggesting the primary trend remains up.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.101 (above 0) but contracting, indicating bullish momentum is slowing.
RSI: RSI_6 73.7 (effectively near-overbought), which often precedes short-term pullbacks rather than clean breakouts.
Levels: Pivot 78.43 (near-term line in the sand). Resistance 80.32 (R1) then 81.48 (R2). Support 76.54 (S1) then 75.38 (S2).
Near-term pattern odds: Similar-pattern stats imply a bearish drift (next day/week/month skew negative), aligning with the overbought/late-stage momentum picture.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment split: Open interest put/call 0.57 (call OI heavier = structurally bullish), but put volume overwhelms calls (put/call volume 6.66) = near-term hedging/bearish positioning into the event.
Volatility: 30D IV 46.23 vs historical vol 19.45 = options are pricing a large move; IV percentile 74.5 suggests elevated premiums.
Flow: Today’s option volume vs 30-day average ~916% = unusually active, consistent with earnings positioning.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Upcoming earnings catalyst (2026-02-05 after hours): strong prior quarter trends mean a beat/raise could still push a breakout above 80–81.5.
- Institutional vote of confidence: Paradice Investment Management increased stake to 6.98% via an $11.46M purchase (supports medium-term bull case).
- Analyst targets generally rising (multiple firms raised PTs into 2026), reinforcing the broader positive narrative.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insiders selling: Insider selling amount up 257% over the last month—often a near-term confidence/valuation headwind.
- Earnings downside risk priced by options: extremely high put volume suggests traders are actively protecting against a drop.
- Overbought / near resistance: RSI high and price near R1 (~80.3) raises the probability of a pullback if earnings are merely “in-line.”
- Sector/end-market concern in analyst commentary: BofA flagged potential extended weakness in oil & gas and chemicals into 2026.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $1.174B, +3.65% YoY (steady top-line growth).
Profitability inflection: Net income +276% YoY to $219.6M.
EPS: $1.67, +279.6% YoY (major earnings acceleration).
Margins: Gross margin 34.55%, up 7.6% YoY (strong operating leverage / mix / execution).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent rating/target trend: Price targets have generally moved up (Stifel to $87 Buy, Jefferies to $85 Buy, Goldman to $80 Neutral, Mizuho to $74 Outperform), indicating improving medium-term expectations.
Notable dissent: BofA downgraded to Neutral (PT $73) citing re-rating/valuation and near-term nuclear upside being priced in, plus weaker core end markets.
Wall Street pros: rising targets, multiple Buys/Outperforms, improving margin/earnings trajectory.
Wall Street cons: at least one downgrade on “priced-in” upside and end-market softness; Neutral stance from Goldman implies upside may be more incremental from here.

10 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FLS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FLS is 80.75 USD with a low forecast of 74 USD and a high forecast of 85 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

7 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 78.980

Low

Averages

80.75

High

Current: 78.980

Low

Averages

80.75

High

Stifel

Nathan Jones

Buy

maintain

$84 -> $87

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

Stifel

Nathan Jones

Price Target

$84 -> $87

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

maintain

Buy

Reason

Stifel analyst Nathan Jones raised the firm's price target on Flowserve to $87 from $84 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of the firm's Q4 preview for its diversified industrials coverage.

Mizuho

Outperform

maintain

$60 -> $74

2026-01-05

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$60 -> $74

2026-01-05

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Mizuho raised the firm's price target on Flowserve to $74 from $60 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and price targets in the electrical equipment and multi-industry group as part of its 2026 outlook. It sees "uneven terrain ahead" for the sector but says the "tariff fog" is clearing.

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FLS Should I Buy

FLS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Flowserve Corp (FLS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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