Not a good buy right now: price is pushing into/above near-term resistance (R2 ~31.43) ahead of earnings (2026-02-05 AH), which skews risk/reward unfavorably for an impatient entry.
Trend is bullish, but momentum is getting stretched (RSI6 ~68.6) and the prior SwingMax entry is already up +7.37%, reducing edge versus earlier entry.
Sentiment is mixed: hedge funds are adding aggressively, but insiders have been selling recently.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive (0.063) and expanding → still trending up.
RSI: 68.6 (upper-neutral/near-overbought) → upside may be more limited near-term.
Levels: Pivot 30.399; resistance R1 31.037 and R2 31.431 (pre-market 31.48 is at/just above R2); support S1 29.761.
Pattern-based forward odds (model): slightly negative bias next week (-1.07%), roughly flat next month (+0.23%) → supports “not chasing” at resistance.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Put/Call OI ratio 0.34 is bullish-leaning (more call interest than puts).
Activity: option volume is effectively 0 in the snapshot → sentiment signal is mostly from open interest, not fresh flow.
Volatility: 30D IV 48.52 vs historical vol 16.39 → options are pricing a meaningful move/event risk (earnings imminent). IV percentile 34.4 / IV rank 18.55 suggests IV isn’t at extremes vs its own history, but still high in absolute terms versus realized vol.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
supports cash-flow stability.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Timing risk: buying into resistance right before earnings increases downside risk if results/guidance disappoint.
Insider signal: insiders are selling; selling amount up 106.02% over the last month.
Growth profile: revenue slightly down YoY in the latest reported quarter (Q3 2025), which can cap multiple expansion.
Near-term fundamentals to watch (per Street commentary): lease expirations (notably Q4 expiries) and debt/refinancing items remain monitoring points even if manageable.
Wall Street cons: near-term lease rollover optics and financing/refi overhang (even if improving), plus limited near-term upside after the recent run into resistance.
Wall Street analysts forecast CDP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CDP is 33.67 USD with a low forecast of 31 USD and a high forecast of 38 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CDP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CDP is 33.67 USD with a low forecast of 31 USD and a high forecast of 38 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 32.000
Low
31
Averages
33.67
High
38
Current: 32.000
Low
31
Averages
33.67
High
38
Evercore ISI
Steve Sakwa
Outperform
maintain
$34 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
Reason
Evercore ISI
Steve Sakwa
Price Target
$34 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Steve Sakwa raised the firm's price target on COPT Defense Properties to $36 from $34 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following guidance that passed a "high bar."
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
downgrade
$35 -> $33
2026-01-05
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Price Target
$35 -> $33
2026-01-05
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald lowered the firm's price target on COPT Defense Properties to $33 from $35 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. U.S. equity REITs returned 2.9% in 2025, lagging the S&P 500, but 2026 may offer optimism with a potentially more supportive macro environment and an accelerating M&A theme, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Stable supply and demand fundamentals, balance sheet strength, and a well-covered, growing 4% dividend yield make the sector attractive despite past underperformance, Cantor adds.
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