Wendy's Q4 Earnings Decline Amid Challenges
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy WEN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Sales and Profit Decline: Wendy's reported a 5.5% drop in U.S. sales and a 36% decline in per-share net income for Q4, indicating ongoing business deterioration despite better-than-expected results compared to Wall Street's fears.
- International Market Improvement: In contrast to a 10.5% decline in U.S. sales, international systemwide sales grew by 6.2% in Q4, highlighting potential growth opportunities abroad, although overall performance remains weak.
- Poor Future Outlook: Wendy's anticipates adjusted EPS for 2026 to be between $0.56 and $0.60, significantly below Wall Street's midpoint estimate, reflecting a lack of confidence in future growth prospects.
- Declining Cash Flow: Free cash flow is expected to decrease from $344.5 million in 2025 to between $190 million and $205 million, illustrating the company's challenges in managing rising costs and declining sales, even as it maintains a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share.
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Analyst Views on WEN
Wall Street analysts forecast WEN stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
14 Hold
4 Sell
Hold
Current: 7.270
Low
8.00
Averages
9.39
High
11.00
Current: 7.270
Low
8.00
Averages
9.39
High
11.00
About WEN
The Wendy’s Company is primarily engaged in the business of operating, developing and franchising a system of distinctive quick-service restaurants. The Company’s menu includes made-to-order square hamburgers using beef, and fan favorites like the Spicy Chicken Sandwich and nuggets, Baconator, and the Frosty dessert. Its segments include Wendy’s U.S., Wendy’s International and Global Real Estate & Development. Wendy’s U.S. includes the operation and franchising of its restaurants in the United States. Wendy’s International includes the operation and franchising of its restaurants in countries and territories other than the United States. Global Real Estate & Development includes real estate activity for owned sites and sites leased from third parties, which are leased and/or subleased to franchisees, and also includes its share of the income of its Canadian restaurant real estate joint venture (TimWen). The Company and its franchisees have over 7,000 restaurants worldwide.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Sales and Profit Decline: Wendy's reported a 5.5% drop in U.S. sales and a 36% decline in per-share net income for Q4, indicating ongoing business deterioration despite better-than-expected results compared to Wall Street's fears.
- International Market Improvement: In contrast to a 10.5% decline in U.S. sales, international systemwide sales grew by 6.2% in Q4, highlighting potential growth opportunities abroad, although overall performance remains weak.
- Poor Future Outlook: Wendy's anticipates adjusted EPS for 2026 to be between $0.56 and $0.60, significantly below Wall Street's midpoint estimate, reflecting a lack of confidence in future growth prospects.
- Declining Cash Flow: Free cash flow is expected to decrease from $344.5 million in 2025 to between $190 million and $205 million, illustrating the company's challenges in managing rising costs and declining sales, even as it maintains a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Wendy's has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's ongoing commitment to maintaining stable cash flows despite market challenges.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 7.7% reflects the company's ability to provide relatively attractive returns to shareholders in the current economic environment, thereby bolstering investor confidence.
- Shareholder Record Dates: The dividend will be payable on March 16, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also set for March 2, providing investors with a clear timeline for participation in the dividend distribution.
- Revitalization Challenges: While Wendy's demonstrates stability in its dividend payments, ongoing struggles in the U.S. market may impact future growth potential, with analysts expressing concerns over the company's execution capabilities in revitalizing its brand.
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- Earnings Beat: Wendy's reported an adjusted EPS of 16 cents for Q4, surpassing the 14 cents estimate, with total revenues of $543 million exceeding the $535.99 million forecast, indicating resilience amid challenges.
- Sales Decline: Global systemwide sales fell to $3.4 billion, down 8.3%, yet international sales rose by 6.2%, highlighting successful expansion efforts with 121 new international restaurants added in 2025.
- Margin Pressure: The U.S. company-operated restaurant margin decreased from 16.5% to 12.7%, primarily due to declining traffic and inflation in commodities and labor, although an increase in average check provided some offset, reflecting ongoing cost control challenges.
- Cautious Outlook: For 2026, Wendy's expects adjusted EPS between 56 to 60 cents, below the 86 cents estimate, indicating a cautious approach to future growth, while global systemwide sales growth is anticipated to remain flat.
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- Profit Decline: Wendy's Company reported a fourth-quarter net profit of $26.481 million, or $0.14 per share, which is a significant drop from last year's $47.497 million and $0.23 per share, indicating a weakening in the company's profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding special items, Wendy's reported adjusted earnings of $29.59 million, or $0.16 per share, suggesting that despite the overall profit decline, the core business retains some resilience.
- Revenue Drop: The company's fourth-quarter revenue fell to $542.974 million, a 5.5% decrease from last year's $574.273 million, reflecting the impact of intensified market competition and weakened consumer spending.
- Market Challenges: The dual decline in revenue and profit may affect Wendy's future investment and expansion plans, forcing management to reassess its market strategy to navigate the adverse economic environment.
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- International Sales Growth: In Q4 2025, Wendy's international systemwide sales rose by 6.2%, with an annual increase of 8.1%, supported by the opening of 121 new restaurants, highlighting the brand's global strength despite challenges in the U.S. market.
- U.S. Restaurant Margin Decline: The margin for U.S. company-operated restaurants fell from 16.5% to 12.7%, primarily due to decreased traffic and rising costs, although average checks increased, indicating ongoing challenges in operational efficiency.
- Net Income Drop: The net income for Q4 2025 was $26.5 million, a 44.2% decline year-over-year, reflecting reduced operating profit and lower other income, which underscores pressure on the company's profitability.
- Dividend Declaration: The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.14 per share, payable on March 16, 2026, demonstrating stability in cash flow management despite the challenges posed by declining earnings.
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- Global Sales Performance: In Q4 2025, Wendy's reported global systemwide sales of $3.4 billion, an 8.3% decline, with full-year sales at $14.0 billion, down 3.5%, indicating challenges in the U.S. market, although international growth partially offset this impact.
- International Growth: International systemwide sales grew by 6.2% in Q4 and 8.1% for the full year, supported by the addition of 121 new restaurants in 2025, highlighting Wendy's strong performance and expansion potential in global markets.
- Financial Metrics Analysis: The company reported a net income of $26.5 million for Q4 and $165.1 million for the full year, with adjusted EBITDA of $113.3 million and $522.4 million respectively, reflecting efforts in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Shareholder Returns: Wendy's returned $329.6 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases for the full year, an increase of over $48 million from the prior year, demonstrating the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder value.
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