TSMC Sets New Records with AI Chip Orders from Nvidia and Apple
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 16 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TSM?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Record Profit Reported: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) reported a record third-quarter profit of NT$253.3 billion ($8.3 billion), a 39% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for AI and high-performance computing chips.
Future Outlook: TSMC anticipates fourth-quarter revenue between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with gross margins projected at 59% to 61%, as North America accounted for 76% of its third-quarter revenue.
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Analyst Views on TSM
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TSM is 313.46 USD with a low forecast of 63.24 USD and a high forecast of 390.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 348.850
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
Current: 348.850
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
About TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based integrated circuit foundry service provider. The Company is primarily engaged in integrated circuit manufacturing services. It offers advanced process technologies, specialised process solutions, advanced photomask and silicon stacking, and packaging-related technologies, while supporting a comprehensive design ecosystem. The Company's products serve diverse electronic sectors including artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, wired and wireless communications, automotive and industrial equipment, personal computing, information applications, consumer electronics, smart internet of things, and wearable devices.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
TSMC Reports Continued Growth in Q4 Earnings
- Significant Revenue Growth: TSMC's Q4 revenue reached $33.73 billion, reflecting a 25.5% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong demand in the semiconductor market and reinforcing its leadership position.
- Strong Profit Margins: The company reported a profit margin of 48.3%, indicating its competitive advantage in high-end chip manufacturing, effectively controlling costs while achieving high returns.
- Advanced Process Technology: In 2023, over half of TSMC's revenue came from chips larger than 7nm, with significant increases in the production of 3nm and 5nm chips, as 3nm chips accounted for 28% of total shipments, showcasing ongoing investment in technological innovation.
- Robust Market Demand: With the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technologies, TSMC is experiencing increasing customer demand, solidifying its status as the world's largest chip foundry and is expected to benefit from the growth in AI infrastructure investments.
See More
TSMC: The Winner in the AI Era
- Market Growth Potential: According to Fortune Business Insights, the AI market is projected to grow from $375.9 billion this year to $2.48 trillion by 2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of 26.6%, which presents significant opportunities for related companies.
- TSMC's Industry Position: As the world's largest semiconductor foundry, TSMC produced over 11,800 products across 288 different processes in 2024, demonstrating its unparalleled influence and customer base in the industry.
- Strong Financial Performance: TSMC reported fourth-quarter revenue of $33.73 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with a profit margin of 48.3%, indicating robust profitability in a rapidly growing market.
- Technological Advancements and Market Demand: TSMC derived over half of its revenue from chips larger than 7 nanometers in 2023, but has significantly increased production of 3nm and 5nm chips, which now account for 28% and 35% of total shipments respectively, showcasing its agility in adapting to technological advancements and market demand shifts.
See More
VanEck Semiconductor ETF Gains 12% in January
- Strong January Performance: The VanEck Semiconductor ETF surged 12% in January, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.5% increase, indicating a robust recovery in the semiconductor sector and heightened investor confidence.
- Key Holdings Contribution: Among the ETF's top ten holdings, Micron Technology led with a 45.4% stock price increase in January, primarily driven by strong demand for memory chips, which boosted the overall ETF performance.
- Strong Earnings Expectations: Nvidia, the ETF's largest holding at 18.3%, is set to report earnings on February 25, with management guiding for quarterly revenue of $65 billion, a 65% year-over-year growth, which could serve as a significant catalyst for future ETF performance.
- Exceptional Long-Term Returns: As of February 6, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF has delivered a 62.2% return over the past year, quadrupling the S&P 500's 15.4% return, underscoring its investment value in the AI and semiconductor sectors.
See More
CGDG Stock Price Analysis and ETF Dynamics
- Price Fluctuation Analysis: CGDG's 52-week low is $27.6186 and high is $37.3794, with the latest trade at $37.35, indicating price stability near the high point, which may influence investor buying decisions.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest stock price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF shares outstanding focuses on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and market sentiment.
See More
AI Infrastructure ETFs Gain Investor Attention Amidst Software Sell-off
- Early AI Investment Cycle: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives highlights that the artificial intelligence investment cycle is still in its early stages, currently around year three of a projected ten-year cycle, with significant capital spending from Big Tech and governments expected to reshape technology leadership and drive growth in related ETFs.
- Software Stock Sell-off Overstated: Ives has re-added Salesforce and ServiceNow to his list of top 30 AI-focused stocks, asserting that concerns about permanent damage to traditional software business models are exaggerated, as enterprises are unlikely to quickly abandon existing software ecosystems, which could support inflows into enterprise software-heavy ETFs.
- Multiplier Effect of AI Chip Investment: Ives notes that for every dollar spent on Nvidia GPU chips, there is an estimated $8 to $10 increase in broader technology ecosystem investment, indicating a favorable dynamic for diversified technology ETFs that capture multiple aspects of the AI value chain amid the ongoing AI revolution.
- Diversified ETF Opportunities: The report emphasizes investment areas in AI development such as data infrastructure, cybersecurity, and autonomous vehicles, suggesting that ETF investors should focus on these sector opportunities to achieve diversification and manage stock-specific volatility as AI continues to gain momentum.
See More
Intel CEO Discusses Future Growth and Tech Investments
- Surging Market Demand: Intel's server CPU demand is skyrocketing due to the proliferation of AI applications, and although management anticipates a sequential decline in shipments for Q1 due to undersupply, new supply is expected to come online by the end of Q1, driving rapid growth in the data center business.
- Price Increase Strategy: Intel plans to raise server CPU prices by 10% for Chinese customers, which will not only boost revenue but also reflect the company's pricing power and competitiveness, especially against the backdrop of surging AI demand.
- Capacity Improvement and Customer Confidence: By recruiting external suppliers to assist with production, Intel has improved yields by 7% to 8% monthly on its 18A node, enhancing customer confidence in its foundry services and likely attracting more clients for collaboration.
- Ongoing Technology Investments: Despite cost-cutting measures, Intel continues to invest in GPUs and new materials, particularly glass substrates and potentially diamond materials, indicating the company's commitment to innovation while still prioritizing the traditional CPU market's demands.
See More
TSMC Reports Continued Growth in Q4 Earnings
- Significant Revenue Growth: TSMC's Q4 revenue reached $33.73 billion, reflecting a 25.5% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong demand in the semiconductor market and reinforcing its leadership position.
- Strong Profit Margins: The company reported a profit margin of 48.3%, indicating its competitive advantage in high-end chip manufacturing, effectively controlling costs while achieving high returns.
- Advanced Process Technology: In 2023, over half of TSMC's revenue came from chips larger than 7nm, with significant increases in the production of 3nm and 5nm chips, as 3nm chips accounted for 28% of total shipments, showcasing ongoing investment in technological innovation.
- Robust Market Demand: With the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technologies, TSMC is experiencing increasing customer demand, solidifying its status as the world's largest chip foundry and is expected to benefit from the growth in AI infrastructure investments.
See More
TSMC: The Winner in the AI Era
- Market Growth Potential: According to Fortune Business Insights, the AI market is projected to grow from $375.9 billion this year to $2.48 trillion by 2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of 26.6%, which presents significant opportunities for related companies.
- TSMC's Industry Position: As the world's largest semiconductor foundry, TSMC produced over 11,800 products across 288 different processes in 2024, demonstrating its unparalleled influence and customer base in the industry.
- Strong Financial Performance: TSMC reported fourth-quarter revenue of $33.73 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with a profit margin of 48.3%, indicating robust profitability in a rapidly growing market.
- Technological Advancements and Market Demand: TSMC derived over half of its revenue from chips larger than 7 nanometers in 2023, but has significantly increased production of 3nm and 5nm chips, which now account for 28% and 35% of total shipments respectively, showcasing its agility in adapting to technological advancements and market demand shifts.
See More
VanEck Semiconductor ETF Gains 12% in January
- Strong January Performance: The VanEck Semiconductor ETF surged 12% in January, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.5% increase, indicating a robust recovery in the semiconductor sector and heightened investor confidence.
- Key Holdings Contribution: Among the ETF's top ten holdings, Micron Technology led with a 45.4% stock price increase in January, primarily driven by strong demand for memory chips, which boosted the overall ETF performance.
- Strong Earnings Expectations: Nvidia, the ETF's largest holding at 18.3%, is set to report earnings on February 25, with management guiding for quarterly revenue of $65 billion, a 65% year-over-year growth, which could serve as a significant catalyst for future ETF performance.
- Exceptional Long-Term Returns: As of February 6, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF has delivered a 62.2% return over the past year, quadrupling the S&P 500's 15.4% return, underscoring its investment value in the AI and semiconductor sectors.
See More
CGDG Stock Price Analysis and ETF Dynamics
- Price Fluctuation Analysis: CGDG's 52-week low is $27.6186 and high is $37.3794, with the latest trade at $37.35, indicating price stability near the high point, which may influence investor buying decisions.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest stock price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF shares outstanding focuses on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and market sentiment.
See More
AI Infrastructure ETFs Gain Investor Attention Amidst Software Sell-off
- Early AI Investment Cycle: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives highlights that the artificial intelligence investment cycle is still in its early stages, currently around year three of a projected ten-year cycle, with significant capital spending from Big Tech and governments expected to reshape technology leadership and drive growth in related ETFs.
- Software Stock Sell-off Overstated: Ives has re-added Salesforce and ServiceNow to his list of top 30 AI-focused stocks, asserting that concerns about permanent damage to traditional software business models are exaggerated, as enterprises are unlikely to quickly abandon existing software ecosystems, which could support inflows into enterprise software-heavy ETFs.
- Multiplier Effect of AI Chip Investment: Ives notes that for every dollar spent on Nvidia GPU chips, there is an estimated $8 to $10 increase in broader technology ecosystem investment, indicating a favorable dynamic for diversified technology ETFs that capture multiple aspects of the AI value chain amid the ongoing AI revolution.
- Diversified ETF Opportunities: The report emphasizes investment areas in AI development such as data infrastructure, cybersecurity, and autonomous vehicles, suggesting that ETF investors should focus on these sector opportunities to achieve diversification and manage stock-specific volatility as AI continues to gain momentum.
See More
Intel CEO Discusses Future Growth and Tech Investments
- Surging Market Demand: Intel's server CPU demand is skyrocketing due to the proliferation of AI applications, and although management anticipates a sequential decline in shipments for Q1 due to undersupply, new supply is expected to come online by the end of Q1, driving rapid growth in the data center business.
- Price Increase Strategy: Intel plans to raise server CPU prices by 10% for Chinese customers, which will not only boost revenue but also reflect the company's pricing power and competitiveness, especially against the backdrop of surging AI demand.
- Capacity Improvement and Customer Confidence: By recruiting external suppliers to assist with production, Intel has improved yields by 7% to 8% monthly on its 18A node, enhancing customer confidence in its foundry services and likely attracting more clients for collaboration.
- Ongoing Technology Investments: Despite cost-cutting measures, Intel continues to invest in GPUs and new materials, particularly glass substrates and potentially diamond materials, indicating the company's commitment to innovation while still prioritizing the traditional CPU market's demands.
See More
