TotalEnergies Acquires 42.5% Stake in Namibian Oil Exploration License
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2d ago
0mins
Should l Buy PBR?
Source: seekingalpha
- Equity Acquisition: TotalEnergies and Petrobras jointly acquired a 42.5% stake each in an oil exploration license in Namibia, although financial terms were not disclosed, this move indicates a strategic partnership between the two companies in the African market.
- Development Plans: The license is located north of TotalEnergies' existing 150K bbl/day Venus development and the significant Mopane discovery, with plans to initiate exploration and appraisal activities for three wells in 2026, thereby enhancing the company's resource base in the region.
- Executive Meetings: TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne met last week with Namibia's president and Galp's chairman to discuss next steps in developing oil and gas assets in the country, underscoring the company's commitment and future plans for the Namibian market.
- Market Strategy: Petrobras CEO Magda Chambriard previously stated that Africa would be the company's main development region outside Brazil, highlighting the importance of resource development potential in African countries, including Namibia.
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Analyst Views on PBR
Wall Street analysts forecast PBR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PBR is 15.15 USD with a low forecast of 13.30 USD and a high forecast of 17.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 14.900
Low
13.30
Averages
15.15
High
17.00
Current: 14.900
Low
13.30
Averages
15.15
High
17.00
About PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras is a Brazil-based company. The Company specializes in the oil, natural gas and energy industry. The Company is engaged in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields and from shale or other rocks. Its segments include Exploration and Production (exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas); Refining, Transportation, and Marketing (refining, logistics, transport, trading of oil products, ethanol export, shale processing); Gas and Power (transportation and trading of natural and imported gas); Biofuels (production of biodiesel and ethanol); Distribution (fuel distribution); and Corporate (administrative and support functions).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Acquisition Agreement: TotalEnergies has signed agreements to acquire a 42.5% operated interest in the PEL104 exploration license from Eight Offshore Investments Holdings and Maravilla Oil & Gas, further solidifying its market position in Namibia.
- Block Size: The PEL104 block spans approximately 11,000 square kilometers, with TotalEnergies operating alongside Petrobras, which holds 42.5%, Namcor with 10%, and Eight retaining 5%, indicating a strategic collaboration in the region.
- Energy Strategy Expansion: This acquisition is part of TotalEnergies' broader strategy to expand its exploration and development capabilities in Namibia, following its previous acquisition of a 40% interest in the PEL83 license, reflecting its commitment to diversifying energy resources.
- Low-Carbon Project Exploration: In addition to exploration activities, TotalEnergies operates 43 service stations in Namibia, making it the fourth-largest fuel distributor in the country, while actively exploring opportunities for low-carbon projects, demonstrating its commitment to sustainable energy transformation.
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- Equity Acquisition: TotalEnergies and Petrobras jointly acquired a 42.5% stake each in an oil exploration license in Namibia, although financial terms were not disclosed, this move indicates a strategic partnership between the two companies in the African market.
- Development Plans: The license is located north of TotalEnergies' existing 150K bbl/day Venus development and the significant Mopane discovery, with plans to initiate exploration and appraisal activities for three wells in 2026, thereby enhancing the company's resource base in the region.
- Executive Meetings: TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne met last week with Namibia's president and Galp's chairman to discuss next steps in developing oil and gas assets in the country, underscoring the company's commitment and future plans for the Namibian market.
- Market Strategy: Petrobras CEO Magda Chambriard previously stated that Africa would be the company's main development region outside Brazil, highlighting the importance of resource development potential in African countries, including Namibia.
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- Reserve Growth: Petrobras estimates that its proven reserves of oil, condensate, and natural gas will rise to 12.1 billion barrels (84% oil) in 2025 from 11.4 billion barrels in 2024, reflecting outstanding asset performance, particularly in the Búzios, Tupi, Itapu, and Mero fields in the Santos Basin.
- Replacement Rate Improvement: The company achieved a reserve replacement rate of 175% in 2025 despite record annual production, demonstrating its exceptional resource management and development capabilities, which ensure future production stability.
- Contract Expansion: Petrobras has expanded and renewed oil sales contracts with Indian state-owned refiners, representing a sales potential of up to 60 million barrels, with a total value that may exceed $3.1 billion, providing a significant revenue stream for the company.
- Contract Duration: The sales contracts with Indian Oil Corp., Bharat Petroleum, and Hindustan Petroleum will remain effective until March 2027, further solidifying Petrobras's position in the international market and enhancing its long-term revenue potential.
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- Strong Market Performance: The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) has surged approximately 20% in early 2026, significantly outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which gained only 3%, indicating a robust recovery in Brazilian equities and a resurgence of investor confidence.
- Technical Breakout Signal: The EWZ/SPY relative spread has broken above its long-term downtrend, signaling a potential technical breakout that could attract more capital into Brazilian equities, marking an end to decades of underperformance.
- Macro Analysis Support: Otavio Tavi Costa, CEO of Azuria Capital, noted that Brazil's largest energy company, Petroleo Brasileiro SA, is on the verge of a major breakout, indicating that the Brazilian market's rebound is closely tied to a larger shift in global markets, potentially signaling the start of a longer-term structural trend.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Analysts at 22V Research are bullish on Brazil's prospects, suggesting that sectors like materials, energy, and banks will benefit from a weaker dollar, driving capital inflows and creating strong market momentum.
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Price Adjustment: Brazil's state-controlled oil company, Petrobras, has announced a 5.2% cut in gasoline prices for distributors.
Impact on Consumers: This price reduction is expected to influence fuel costs for consumers across the country.
Market Response: The decision may lead to changes in the competitive landscape among fuel distributors in Brazil.
Economic Context: The price cut comes amid ongoing discussions about energy prices and inflation in Brazil's economy.
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- Contract Signing: Petrobras has signed contracts worth 2.8 billion reais (approximately $521 million) with shipyards for five gas carriers, 18 barges, and 18 pushers, reflecting strong confidence in future production growth.
- Vessel Construction Plan: A shipyard in Rio Grande do Sul will build the five gas carriers, with two having a capacity of 14,000 cm and three at 7,000 cm each, with the first tanker expected to be delivered within 33 months of construction start.
- Production Growth Expectations: Petrobras anticipates that by 2025, oil production will reach 2.4 million barrels per day and total oil and gas production will hit 2.99 million boe/day, both up 11% from 2024 and exceeding the upper limits of targets set in its 2025-29 business plan.
- National Shipbuilding Recovery: CEO Magda Chambriard stated that these contracts prepare Petrobras for production growth in the coming years while boosting the recovery of the national shipbuilding industry, highlighting their strategic significance.
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