PBR Should I Buy
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PBR is not a good buy right now. Price is extended/overbought (RSI_6 ~97.8) and sitting just below resistance (R1 15.462) while the only fresh Street action is a downgrade to Neutral with a $15 target (below the current pre-market ~15.36). With no Intellectia buy signals today and option positioning leaning cautious (OI put/call > 1), the near-term risk/reward is unfavorable for an impatient buyer.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Trend is bullish but stretched. MACD histogram is positive and expanding (0.342), and moving averages are stacked bullishly (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), confirming an uptrend. However, RSI_6 at 97.753 signals extreme overbought conditions, increasing odds of a pullback/mean reversion. Key levels: Pivot support ~14.122 (near-term “reset” zone), resistance R1 ~15.462 then R2 ~16.291. With pre-market at ~15.36 (near R1), upside is constrained unless it cleanly breaks above R1. Pattern-based forward stats also skew negative: ~60% chance of -0.87% next day, -3.09% next week, -9.61% next month—consistent with an overbought fade rather than a fresh entry.
near resistance (R1 ~15.462), increasing near-term pullback risk.
is below current price.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to ~23.48B (+0.48% YoY), net income increased to ~6.00B (+2.27% YoY), and EPS to 0.47 (+2.17% YoY). The key issue is profitability trend: gross margin fell to 41.63% (-10.82% YoY), indicating margin compression despite modest top-line and earnings growth—consistent with sensitivity to pricing decisions and mix.
Recent analyst change: On 2026-01-16, BTG Pactual (Gustavo Cunha) downgraded Petrobras to Neutral from Buy and set a $15 price target. Wall Street pros: strong asset/reserve story and cash-generation potential. Cons: policy/pricing interference risk (highlighted by fuel price moves), margin compression, and after the rally the stock appears technically overheated with targets not supporting immediate upside.
