Scotiabank Keeps Sector Perform Rating for Triple Flag Precious, Reduces Price Target to $34
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Analyst Views on TFPM
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- Price Breakthrough: Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) shares have surpassed the average analyst 12-month target price of $37.48, currently trading at $38.19, indicating market optimism about the company's prospects.
- Analyst Reactions: When a stock reaches an analyst's target price, they may either downgrade on valuation or raise their target, reflecting varying expectations about TFPM's future performance, which could influence investor decisions.
- Target Price Distribution: Among the 11 analysts covered by Zacks, target prices range from $31.00 to $47.52, with a standard deviation of $4.533, highlighting the market's differing views on TFPM's future performance.
- Investor Signal: The stock's rise above the target price provides investors with a signal to reassess the company, prompting them to consider whether to hold or reduce their positions, thereby impacting market liquidity.

- Peru's Market Surge: The iShares MSCI Peru ETF (EPU) soared by 106% over the past year, driven by rising global commodity prices, highlighting the sensitivity of Peru's economy to resource demand, particularly in basic materials and precious metals.
- Metal Price Boost: Gold prices increased by over 75%, silver by about 210%, and copper by roughly 33% in the past year, directly fueling the growth of Peru's stock market, where materials companies saw significant stock price increases.
- South Korea's Semiconductor Rise: The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) climbed nearly 100% in the past year, primarily due to strong demand for AI-related semiconductors, particularly high-bandwidth and advanced memory, which significantly boosted the stock prices of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
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- ImmunityBio Inc. Performance: ImmunityBio Inc. (IBRX) saw a significant increase of 20.3% in pre-market trading.
- Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd. Performance: Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd. (ENLT) experienced a rise of 7.7% in pre-market trading.
- Market Context: The U.S. stock markets are set to open in two hours, indicating potential volatility.
- Investor Sentiment: The pre-market gains for both companies suggest positive investor sentiment ahead of the market opening.
- Record Quarterly Revenue: Triple Flag achieved a record revenue of $118.9 million in Q4 2025 from sales of 28,757 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs), demonstrating the company's robust performance in the precious metals market and solidifying its leadership position.
- Strong Annual Performance: For the full year 2025, Triple Flag reported revenue of $388.7 million and total GEOs of 113,237, successfully reaching the upper half of its GEOs guidance, reflecting the exceptional operation of its top-tier assets and strong market demand.
- Key Growth Projects Milestones: The company made significant progress on critical growth projects including Arcata, Koné, Hope Bay, Goldfield, and Arthur, indicating that its strategic decisions to expand production capacity and enhance shareholder value are yielding positive results.
- Robust Liquidity: With over $1 billion in liquidity, Triple Flag is well-positioned to support its external growth pipeline and capitalize on the rising gold and silver price environment, further enhancing the value of its diversified portfolio.

- Share Transaction: Elliott Investment Management, through TFM Aggregator, has entered into an agreement with Goldman Sachs International to potentially sell up to 2,772,500 shares of Triple Flag, representing 1.3% of its outstanding shares, indicating confidence in the company's future.
- Ownership Stake: The Acquiror continues to beneficially own 133,815,727 shares, which constitutes approximately 64.8% of Triple Flag's issued shares, highlighting its significant position and influence within the company.
- Market Strategy: Despite the planned sale of some shares, Elliott Investment Management intends to remain a significant shareholder of Triple Flag, reflecting its trust in the company's leadership and asset quality.
- Future Intentions: The Acquiror has no specific current plans to acquire or dispose of additional securities but may engage in transactions based on market conditions, demonstrating a flexible investment strategy.
ETF Performance: The Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF is underperforming, down approximately 4.9% in Thursday afternoon trading.
Weakest Components: Notable declines among ETF components include New Pacific Metals, which fell by about 3.3%, and Triple Flag Precious Metals, down by about 1.2%.
Market Context: The article provides insights into the performance of specific ETFs and their components, reflecting broader market trends.
Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.







