Recent Catalysts Transforming Backblaze's Growth and Valuation Risk Narrative
Fair Value Adjustment: Backblaze's fair value estimate has been modestly reduced from $10.55 to approximately $10.11 per share, reflecting a slight increase in perceived risk while long-term revenue growth expectations remain stable at around 10.69%.
Analyst Ratings: Oppenheimer maintains an Outperform rating with a price target increase to $11, citing strong fundamentals, while B. Riley lowers its target to $9, indicating caution regarding potential upside despite a positive fundamental outlook.
Revenue Guidance: Backblaze has issued fourth quarter 2025 revenue guidance of $37.3 million to $37.9 million and narrowed its full year 2025 outlook to a range of $145.4 million to $146.0 million, slightly lowering the top end of previous guidance.
Strategic Developments: The company has integrated its B2 Cloud Storage with Shareio for enhanced digital content management and completed a share repurchase of 142,069 shares, reflecting ongoing confidence in its stock value.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on BLZE
About BLZE
About the author

- AI Traffic Concentration: Q4 data reveals that AI-driven data transfers cluster around compute hubs in the US-East, particularly in Northern Virginia, New York, and Atlanta, underscoring the critical need for low-latency connectivity for model training workloads.
- High-Throughput Connections Normalized: Utilizing its 'magnitude' metric, Backblaze validated a shift from many-to-many internet traffic to sustained, high-throughput connections between specialized storage and compute systems, indicating a rapid evolution in network behavior.
- Accelerated Large-Scale Data Migrations: Migration traffic surged from August to October, driven by private fiber onboarding of large datasets, reflecting an increasing demand for high-performance connectivity among enterprises.
- US-West Remains Crucial: While US-West ISP regional traffic still leads in total volume, Backblaze's exchanges with consumer networks enable lower latency traffic delivery, ensuring its competitive edge in the market.

- Award Finalist: Backblaze's B2 Overdrive has been recognized as a finalist for the Most Innovative Data Storage Solution in the 2026 SiliconANGLE Tech Innovation Awards, highlighting its innovative capabilities and market impact in the cloud storage sector.
- Outstanding Performance: B2 Overdrive delivers up to 1Tbps of sustained throughput, specifically designed for AI, machine learning, and high-performance computing workloads, significantly enhancing data processing efficiency while reducing enterprise storage costs.
- Transparent Pricing Strategy: The platform eliminates hidden fees and complex pricing tiers, allowing businesses to deploy flexibly at predictable costs, thereby driving innovation in AI and high-performance computing and transforming the strategic role of cloud storage.
- Market Competitive Edge: Backblaze's high-performance cloud object storage solution stands out in a competitive market, attracting over 500,000 customers and serving hundreds of millions of end users across 175 countries worldwide.
- Innovative Storage Solution: Backblaze's B2 Overdrive has been named a finalist for the 2026 SiliconANGLE Media Most Innovative Data Storage Solution Award, showcasing its disruptive innovation in the cloud storage sector and enhancing the company's reputation in a competitive market.
- Performance and Cost Advantage: B2 Overdrive delivers up to 1Tbps of sustained throughput, specifically designed for AI, machine learning, and high-performance computing workloads, breaking the traditional trade-off between cost and performance, significantly reducing storage costs for enterprises.
- Transparent Pricing and Flexible Deployment: The platform eliminates hidden fees and provides flexible deployment options, enabling businesses to scale their AI and ML workloads with predictable costs and performance, transforming cloud storage into a strategic enabler.
- Industry Recognition and Future Outlook: Backblaze's B2 Overdrive stands out among numerous competitors, receiving recognition from industry experts, indicating its significant contributions to shaping the future of B2B and B2B2C technology.

Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: Needham analysts provided ratings and price targets for various companies, including a "Buy" for Backblaze, Cellebrite, Datadog, JFrog, N-Able, Tenable, and Varonis, while Fortinet and Check Point received "Hold" ratings.
Company Performance Insights: Key takeaways from the meetings highlighted that Backblaze is in phase 2 of its market transformation, Cellebrite expects growth to reaccelerate in 2026, and Fortinet aims to boost service revenue growth in the latter half of 2026.
Stock Price Movements: Several stocks saw price increases, including Backblaze (+4.88%) and Datadog (+1.80%), while Fortinet's stock declined slightly by 0.14%.
Future Expectations: Companies like DigitalOcean and Dynatrace are preparing for future growth with new data center capacity and expected net new ARR reacceleration, respectively, while ServiceNow faces challenges with AI and M&A risks.

- AI Strategy Presentation: Backblaze will showcase its strategy at the 2025 Gartner IT Infrastructure, Operations & Cloud Strategies Conference, where GTM Head Patrick Thomas will explain how an independent data layer addresses data sprawl, optimizing storage economics and laying a flexible foundation for AI and multi-cloud initiatives.
- Cost Reductions Achieved: Organizations like Big Cartel and a Fortune 100 media company have modernized their architectures with independent cloud storage, achieving up to 80% reductions in storage costs while enhancing performance and unlocking new AI and data-intensive workflows.
- Addressing Industry Challenges: Thomas will highlight the challenges faced by infrastructure and operations leaders, including data sprawl and vendor lock-in, which hinder the delivery of AI-driven workloads, emphasizing the significance of adopting an independent, vendor-neutral, S3-compatible data layer.
- Personalized Solutions Offered: Attendees can visit Backblaze's booth during the conference to discuss their storage strategies and receive a personalized playbook for building an independent data layer, showcasing Backblaze's commitment to driving innovation and reliability.
- Industry Leading Discussion: Laquie TN Campbell, Senior Product Marketing Manager at Backblaze, will participate in a panel at the SVG Summit on December 15-16, 2025, discussing the trade-offs between cloud and on-premises storage, emphasizing predictable cost models and workflow efficiency.
- AI and Storage Integration: Campbell highlighted that as AI becomes integral to sports production, storage decisions have shifted to being central to modern content operations, which is expected to drive increased investment in storage solutions.
- Practical Strategy Sharing: The panel will focus on how to scale storage solutions securely and affordably while maintaining speed and flexibility, helping media teams navigate increasingly complex storage demands.
- Exhibition Interaction Opportunities: Attendees can visit Backblaze at booth #308 during the summit for in-depth discussions on storage needs and media workflows, showcasing the company's expertise in cloud storage solutions.





