Peabody Energy Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy BTU?
Source: seekingalpha
- Record Safety Achievement: Peabody Energy reported a record incident rate of 0.71 per 200,000 hours in Q4 2025, a 12% improvement over previous records, enhancing employee safety and bolstering the company's reputation in the industry.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The Centurion mine commenced longwall mining ahead of schedule, with expected shipments of 3.5 million tons in 2026 ramping up to 4.7 million by 2028, projecting a net present value of $2.1 billion at $225 benchmark pricing, indicating a strategic pivot towards higher-margin metallurgical coal.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $10.4 million in Q4, with diluted earnings per share at $0.09 and adjusted EBITDA of $118 million, a 19% increase from the prior quarter, reflecting effective cost control and improved seaborne thermal realizations.
- Positive Future Outlook: Management anticipates a decline in seaborne thermal volumes to 12.5 million tons in 2026 due to mine closures, while metallurgical coal volumes are expected to rise to 10.8 million tons with Centurion's startup, showcasing the company's adaptability to market changes.
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Analyst Views on BTU
Wall Street analysts forecast BTU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BTU is 31.67 USD with a low forecast of 29.00 USD and a high forecast of 34.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 34.240
Low
29.00
Averages
31.67
High
34.00
Current: 34.240
Low
29.00
Averages
31.67
High
34.00
About BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation is a coal producer, providing essential products for the production of reliable energy and steel. The Company owns interests in coal mining operations located in the United States and Australia, including interests in Middlemount Coal Pty Ltd. The Company engages in the direct and brokered trading of coal and freight-related contracts. Its segments include Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, Other U.S. Thermal, and Corporate and Other. The Seaborne Thermal operations consist of mines in New South Wales, Australia. The mines in that segment utilize both surface and underground extraction processes to mine low-sulfur, high Btu thermal coal. The Seaborne Metallurgical operations consist of mines in Queensland, Australia, one in New South Wales, Australia and one in Alabama, the United States. The Company owns the southern portion of the Wards Well tenement.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Peabody Energy Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Record Safety Achievement: Peabody Energy reported a record incident rate of 0.71 per 200,000 hours in Q4 2025, a 12% improvement over previous records, enhancing employee safety and bolstering the company's reputation in the industry.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The Centurion mine commenced longwall mining ahead of schedule, with expected shipments of 3.5 million tons in 2026 ramping up to 4.7 million by 2028, projecting a net present value of $2.1 billion at $225 benchmark pricing, indicating a strategic pivot towards higher-margin metallurgical coal.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $10.4 million in Q4, with diluted earnings per share at $0.09 and adjusted EBITDA of $118 million, a 19% increase from the prior quarter, reflecting effective cost control and improved seaborne thermal realizations.
- Positive Future Outlook: Management anticipates a decline in seaborne thermal volumes to 12.5 million tons in 2026 due to mine closures, while metallurgical coal volumes are expected to rise to 10.8 million tons with Centurion's startup, showcasing the company's adaptability to market changes.
See More
Peabody Energy Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Earnings Performance: Peabody Energy reported a GAAP EPS of $0.08 for Q4 2025, beating estimates by $0.03, indicating a slight improvement in profitability despite an 8.9% year-over-year revenue decline to $1.02 billion, reflecting weak market demand.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The company's adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $118.1 million, significantly down from $176.7 million in Q4 2024, highlighting pressure on profitability due to cost control and changing market conditions, which may impact future investment decisions.
- Cash Flow and Liquidity: Peabody generated operating cash flow of $336 million from continuing operations, with cash and cash equivalents reaching $575 million as of December 31, 2025, demonstrating robust liquidity management that can support future capital expenditures.
- Dividend Declaration: The company declared a dividend of $0.075 per share on February 5, 2026, payable on March 10, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 23, 2026, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns while maintaining stable cash flow, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
See More
Peabody Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Peabody Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stability in the current market despite valuation challenges.
- Yield Information: The forward yield of this dividend stands at 0.86%, reflecting investor choices for stable income, although the market remains cautious about the future performance of energy stocks.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 10, with a record date of February 23 and an ex-dividend date also on February 23, providing investors with a clear timeline for their investment decisions.
- Market Reaction Analysis: While power stocks have surged due to AI demand, analysts caution that Peabody Energy's current valuation is hard to justify, advising investors to proceed with caution, which may impact future stock performance.
See More
Peabody Reports 2025 Financial Performance and Operational Updates
- Declining Financial Performance: Peabody reported a net loss of $52.9 million for 2025, translating to a loss of $0.43 per share, a stark contrast to a net income of $370.9 million in 2024, indicating significant adverse impacts from sharply lower coal prices on profitability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Decline: The company's adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $454.9 million, down 48% from $871.7 million in 2024, reflecting challenges in profitability amid changing market conditions and cost control efforts.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The commencement of longwall mining at the Centurion mine is expected to start two months ahead of schedule, with a targeted annual production of 4.7 million tons, which is anticipated to significantly enhance Peabody's competitiveness in the metallurgical coal market and improve future cash flows and shareholder value.
- Favorable Market Conditions: The rising demand for coal in the U.S., particularly thermal coal, coupled with expanding West Coast export capabilities, positions Peabody to benefit from increased coal generation in the coming years, potentially improving its financial outlook.
See More
Peabody Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.075
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Peabody's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, payable on March 10, 2026, to stockholders of record on February 23, 2026, demonstrating the company's ongoing commitment to stable cash flow and shareholder returns.
- Sustainability Commitment: As a leading coal producer, Peabody emphasizes its critical role in providing affordable and reliable energy and steel production, indicating that sustainability will be a core element of its future strategy.
- Financial Health Considerations: The payment of dividends will depend on the company's financial results, cash flow, and cash requirements, reflecting the Board's cautious approach to future economic conditions and operational performance.
- Forward-Looking Statements: Peabody cautions investors that future dividend payments and financial performance are subject to various economic, competitive, and regulatory factors, highlighting the necessity for the company to remain flexible in an uncertain environment.
See More
Peabody Energy Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Date: Peabody Energy (BTU) is scheduled to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 5th before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.06 and revenue estimate at $1.02 billion, reflecting an 8.9% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, BTU has exceeded EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of stability in the company's profitability.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four upward revisions, suggesting increased market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Environment Impact: Despite power stocks surging due to AI demand, analysts caution that Peabody Energy's current valuation is hard to justify, advising investors to proceed with caution as the stock may face market correction risks.
See More
Peabody Energy Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Record Safety Achievement: Peabody Energy reported a record incident rate of 0.71 per 200,000 hours in Q4 2025, a 12% improvement over previous records, enhancing employee safety and bolstering the company's reputation in the industry.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The Centurion mine commenced longwall mining ahead of schedule, with expected shipments of 3.5 million tons in 2026 ramping up to 4.7 million by 2028, projecting a net present value of $2.1 billion at $225 benchmark pricing, indicating a strategic pivot towards higher-margin metallurgical coal.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $10.4 million in Q4, with diluted earnings per share at $0.09 and adjusted EBITDA of $118 million, a 19% increase from the prior quarter, reflecting effective cost control and improved seaborne thermal realizations.
- Positive Future Outlook: Management anticipates a decline in seaborne thermal volumes to 12.5 million tons in 2026 due to mine closures, while metallurgical coal volumes are expected to rise to 10.8 million tons with Centurion's startup, showcasing the company's adaptability to market changes.
See More
Peabody Energy Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Earnings Performance: Peabody Energy reported a GAAP EPS of $0.08 for Q4 2025, beating estimates by $0.03, indicating a slight improvement in profitability despite an 8.9% year-over-year revenue decline to $1.02 billion, reflecting weak market demand.
- Adjusted EBITDA: The company's adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $118.1 million, significantly down from $176.7 million in Q4 2024, highlighting pressure on profitability due to cost control and changing market conditions, which may impact future investment decisions.
- Cash Flow and Liquidity: Peabody generated operating cash flow of $336 million from continuing operations, with cash and cash equivalents reaching $575 million as of December 31, 2025, demonstrating robust liquidity management that can support future capital expenditures.
- Dividend Declaration: The company declared a dividend of $0.075 per share on February 5, 2026, payable on March 10, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 23, 2026, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns while maintaining stable cash flow, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
See More
Peabody Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Peabody Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stability in the current market despite valuation challenges.
- Yield Information: The forward yield of this dividend stands at 0.86%, reflecting investor choices for stable income, although the market remains cautious about the future performance of energy stocks.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 10, with a record date of February 23 and an ex-dividend date also on February 23, providing investors with a clear timeline for their investment decisions.
- Market Reaction Analysis: While power stocks have surged due to AI demand, analysts caution that Peabody Energy's current valuation is hard to justify, advising investors to proceed with caution, which may impact future stock performance.
See More
Peabody Reports 2025 Financial Performance and Operational Updates
- Declining Financial Performance: Peabody reported a net loss of $52.9 million for 2025, translating to a loss of $0.43 per share, a stark contrast to a net income of $370.9 million in 2024, indicating significant adverse impacts from sharply lower coal prices on profitability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Decline: The company's adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $454.9 million, down 48% from $871.7 million in 2024, reflecting challenges in profitability amid changing market conditions and cost control efforts.
- Longwall Mining Ahead of Schedule: The commencement of longwall mining at the Centurion mine is expected to start two months ahead of schedule, with a targeted annual production of 4.7 million tons, which is anticipated to significantly enhance Peabody's competitiveness in the metallurgical coal market and improve future cash flows and shareholder value.
- Favorable Market Conditions: The rising demand for coal in the U.S., particularly thermal coal, coupled with expanding West Coast export capabilities, positions Peabody to benefit from increased coal generation in the coming years, potentially improving its financial outlook.
See More
Peabody Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.075
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Peabody's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.075 per share, payable on March 10, 2026, to stockholders of record on February 23, 2026, demonstrating the company's ongoing commitment to stable cash flow and shareholder returns.
- Sustainability Commitment: As a leading coal producer, Peabody emphasizes its critical role in providing affordable and reliable energy and steel production, indicating that sustainability will be a core element of its future strategy.
- Financial Health Considerations: The payment of dividends will depend on the company's financial results, cash flow, and cash requirements, reflecting the Board's cautious approach to future economic conditions and operational performance.
- Forward-Looking Statements: Peabody cautions investors that future dividend payments and financial performance are subject to various economic, competitive, and regulatory factors, highlighting the necessity for the company to remain flexible in an uncertain environment.
See More
Peabody Energy Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Date: Peabody Energy (BTU) is scheduled to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 5th before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.06 and revenue estimate at $1.02 billion, reflecting an 8.9% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, BTU has exceeded EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of stability in the company's profitability.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four upward revisions, suggesting increased market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Environment Impact: Despite power stocks surging due to AI demand, analysts caution that Peabody Energy's current valuation is hard to justify, advising investors to proceed with caution as the stock may face market correction risks.
See More
