Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI): A Bull Case Theory
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 24 2025
0mins
Should l Buy OLLI?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Bullish Thesis on Ollie's Bargain Outlet: TQI Capital highlights Ollie’s Bargain Outlet's strong Q1 FY25 performance, with record store openings and a 13% increase in net sales, driven by strategic expansion and capturing market share from competitors like Big Lots. The company maintains a solid balance sheet and effective inventory management, positioning it as a promising long-term investment.
Market Position and Investment Sentiment: Despite not being among the top 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, Ollie’s has shown resilience and growth potential. However, there is a belief that other AI stocks may offer better returns with lower risk, indicating a cautious approach towards investing in OLLI compared to emerging tech opportunities.
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Analyst Views on OLLI
Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OLLI is 144.46 USD with a low forecast of 120.00 USD and a high forecast of 162.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 106.710
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
Current: 106.710
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
About OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory. The Company and its subsidiaries principally buys overproduced, overstocked, and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, brokers, and other retailers. In addition, it augments its name-brand closeout deals with private label products. It offers customers a selection of brand name products, including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics. The Company operates over 575 stores in 31 states. The Company's retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Congress Asset Sells 670,615 Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet for Estimated $80.86 Million
- Share Sale: Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 for an estimated $80.86 million, indicating a cautious stance on the company's future growth potential.
- Holding Status: Post-sale, Ollie's represented only 0.68% of Congress's reportable U.S. equity AUM, reflecting a diminished significance in the investment portfolio.
- Financial Performance: Despite the share sale, Ollie's reported a robust 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring strong fundamentals.
- Future Outlook: Ollie's projects fiscal 2025 revenue of $2.65 billion and adjusted EPS between $3.81 and $3.87, indicating continued expansion capability and market potential.
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Congress Asset Management Cuts Ollie's Bargain Outlet Stake by 670,615 Shares Worth $80.86 Million
- Reduction Action: Boston-based Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4, valued at approximately $80.86 million, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Position Change: Post-sale, Congress holds 879,320 shares worth $96.38 million, representing 0.68% of its reportable U.S. equity AUM, indicating a strategic recalibration in its retail sector exposure.
- Performance Metrics: Despite the reduction, Ollie's reported an 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million and a 29.3% rise in adjusted EPS to $0.75 in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring the company's strong fundamentals.
- Market Positioning: Ollie's remains in Congress's portfolio but at a significantly lower percentage compared to mega-cap tech stocks, suggesting that retail is viewed as a tactical growth sleeve rather than a core driver of returns.
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See More
Congress Asset Sells 670,615 Shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet for Estimated $80.86 Million
- Share Sale: Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4 for an estimated $80.86 million, indicating a cautious stance on the company's future growth potential.
- Holding Status: Post-sale, Ollie's represented only 0.68% of Congress's reportable U.S. equity AUM, reflecting a diminished significance in the investment portfolio.
- Financial Performance: Despite the share sale, Ollie's reported a robust 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring strong fundamentals.
- Future Outlook: Ollie's projects fiscal 2025 revenue of $2.65 billion and adjusted EPS between $3.81 and $3.87, indicating continued expansion capability and market potential.
See More
Congress Asset Management Cuts Ollie's Bargain Outlet Stake by 670,615 Shares Worth $80.86 Million
- Reduction Action: Boston-based Congress Asset Management sold 670,615 shares of Ollie's Bargain Outlet in Q4, valued at approximately $80.86 million, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Position Change: Post-sale, Congress holds 879,320 shares worth $96.38 million, representing 0.68% of its reportable U.S. equity AUM, indicating a strategic recalibration in its retail sector exposure.
- Performance Metrics: Despite the reduction, Ollie's reported an 18.6% year-over-year increase in net sales to $613.6 million and a 29.3% rise in adjusted EPS to $0.75 in Q3 of fiscal 2025, underscoring the company's strong fundamentals.
- Market Positioning: Ollie's remains in Congress's portfolio but at a significantly lower percentage compared to mega-cap tech stocks, suggesting that retail is viewed as a tactical growth sleeve rather than a core driver of returns.
See More
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- Rating Adjustment: Barclays upgraded Vertiv Holdings from Equal Weight to Overweight, raising the price target from $181 to $200, indicating strong confidence in the data center infrastructure company and likely attracting more investor interest.
- Market Opportunity: Although Barclays had previously taken a cautious stance on the data center capex theme, recent stock volatility has created an attractive entry point, which could facilitate future growth for the company.
- Financial Outlook: Barclays raised its EPS estimates for Vertiv, reflecting confidence in its future profitability, which is expected to drive stock price appreciation and enhance market competitiveness.
- Industry Trends: With the ongoing demand for data centers, Vertiv's position in the infrastructure sector is set to strengthen, potentially leading to significant market share gains in the coming years.
See More
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- Stock Decline: Dominion Energy's shares fell nearly 5% after the Trump administration halted five East Coast wind projects, including the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, the largest of its kind in the U.S., indicating the direct impact of policy changes on renewable energy investments.
- Market Reaction: The suspension of this project not only affects Dominion's stock price but may also negatively impact its future renewable energy strategy and market share, reflecting the potential threats posed by policy uncertainty in the energy sector.
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