NMI Holdings Reports Record Q4 2025 Earnings and Growth
- Significant Earnings Growth: NMI Holdings reported total revenue of $180.7 million in Q4 2025, an 8% increase from Q4 2024, with net income reaching $94.2 million and diluted EPS of $1.20, reflecting the company's strong performance and profitability in the insurance market.
- Insurance Business Expansion: The company achieved $14.2 billion in new insurance written in Q4 2025, with total insurance-in-force growing to $221.4 billion, a 5.4% increase from 2024, indicating NMI's competitive strength and expanding customer base in the market.
- Enhanced Shareholder Returns: NMI repurchased $31 million of common stock in Q4, retiring 811,000 shares at an average price of $37.72, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder value and robust cash flow management.
- Optimistic Outlook: While no explicit guidance for 2026 was provided, management expressed confidence in the long-term prospects of the private mortgage insurance market, emphasizing the resilience of the macro environment and ongoing business opportunities, with expectations for stable core yields.
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- Significant Earnings Growth: NMI Holdings reported total revenue of $180.7 million in Q4 2025, an 8% increase from Q4 2024, with net income reaching $94.2 million and diluted EPS of $1.20, reflecting the company's strong performance and profitability in the insurance market.
- Insurance Business Expansion: The company achieved $14.2 billion in new insurance written in Q4 2025, with total insurance-in-force growing to $221.4 billion, a 5.4% increase from 2024, indicating NMI's competitive strength and expanding customer base in the market.
- Enhanced Shareholder Returns: NMI repurchased $31 million of common stock in Q4, retiring 811,000 shares at an average price of $37.72, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder value and robust cash flow management.
- Optimistic Outlook: While no explicit guidance for 2026 was provided, management expressed confidence in the long-term prospects of the private mortgage insurance market, emphasizing the resilience of the macro environment and ongoing business opportunities, with expectations for stable core yields.
- Earnings Beat: NMI Holdings reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.20, exceeding expectations by $0.01, which reflects the company's strong profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Stable Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $180.74 million, an 8.6% year-over-year increase, aligning with market expectations and indicating solid performance in a competitive landscape.
- Positive Market Reaction: The earnings beat is likely to elicit a positive market response, potentially driving the stock price higher and enhancing the company's appeal in the capital markets.
- Optimistic Outlook: With ongoing operational optimizations and market share expansion, NMI Holdings is expected to maintain steady revenue growth in the coming quarters, further solidifying its position in the industry.
- Earnings Announcement Date: NMI Holdings (NMIH) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on February 10th after market close, with consensus EPS estimates at $1.19, reflecting an 11.2% year-over-year growth, indicating sustained profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $180.74 million, representing an 8.6% year-over-year increase, suggesting robust sales performance and the company's ability to navigate industry challenges effectively.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, NMIH has exceeded EPS and revenue estimates 88% of the time, showcasing the company's reliability in financial forecasting and bolstering market confidence.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward and one downward revision, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding NMIH's future performance.
- Oversold Signal: NMI Holdings (NMIH) shares have dropped to $36.38, with an RSI of 28.7, indicating that the recent heavy selling may be nearing exhaustion, thus presenting potential buying opportunities for investors.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) with an RSI of 59.5, NMIH's oversold condition may attract bullish investors looking for entry points to capitalize on a potential rebound.
- Historical Performance: NMIH's 52-week low is $31.90 and the high is $43.20, with the current trading price at $36.39, reflecting its performance within this range and potentially influencing investor decisions.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite being in an oversold territory, investors should cautiously assess market sentiment and future trends to avoid making erroneous decisions in an uncertain market environment.
- Stock Price Analysis: NMIH's 52-week low is $31.90, with a high of $43.20, and the last trade at $37.83 indicates price fluctuations within this range, reflecting market caution regarding its future performance.
- Market Trend Observation: The current price of $37.83 is close to the 52-week low, which may attract investor attention to its future trajectory, especially amid an uncertain overall market environment.
- Technical Indicator Focus: NMIH's stock price has fallen below the 200-day moving average, potentially signaling further downside risk in the short term, prompting investors to closely monitor subsequent market reactions.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: Despite the current price being in a fluctuating range, market opinions on NMIH remain divided, necessitating cautious decision-making by investors based on technical indicators and market trends.
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