Mobileye Short Interest Rises to 21.9%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was down 1.8%, the Nasdaq Composite was down 2.5%, the Russell 2000 index was down 3.2%, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas down 4.4%, and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas down 2.7% in the five-day trading session range through December 18.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Mobileye Globalhad receded to 15-month lows below 15% beyond the first week of November, though bearish appetite has since picked up as the selling pressure on the stock resurfaced. This week, shorts as percentage of free float on Mobileye Global rose from 15.1% to 21.9%, matching the highs seen five weeks ago, while days-to-cover declined from 1.4 to 1.3 as trading volumes were relatively elevated this month. Mobileye shares fell 12% toward the $10 level, the lowest since last September, and the stock has now shed 50% from its July highs - a similar rate of decline year-to-date.Ortex-reported short interest on Neurogenetroughed at seven-month low of 47% on November 14 as shares sold off 14% that day in the wake of the company's Q3 results and as bears booked profits. Shorts as a percentage of free float has since ticked higher, with this week registering an increase of eight percentage points to 63.1% - a four-month high. The stock was down 9.3% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and has now lost 45% from its 2025 highs in mid-October, though year-to-date, Neurogene is still down 10%.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Vera Therapeuticsreached a ten-month high of 24.5% late last week, though with the stock price run-up unrelenting, bears are conceding their losses. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float on the name slipped from 24.6% to 21.2% even as days-to-cover on the name rose from 2.7 to 3.3. Meanwhile, the stock traded up 3.6% in the five-day period through Thursday, and shares have now gained 74% in a period of about four weeks. The stock has received multiple price target hikes from sell-side analysts in December, reflecting the positive competitive FDA updates for Otsuka Pharmaceutical's Voyxact in IgA Nephropathy, with research suggesting that Vera would have a pricing advantage when and if its own treatment in the indication does well in clinical trials and is ultimately approved by regulators.Ortex-reported short interest on Madrigal Pharmaceuticalshas been on retreat from its 38% multi-month peak in mid-October, though this week has seen a particularly pronounced pullback in bearish expression. Short positioning as a percentage of free float was down from 32.7% to 29% in the five-day period covered – the lowest level since May of 2024 – while days-to-cover slipped from 4.5 to 3.7, also the low for 2025. The stock was down 4.7% this week through Thursday, though shares spiked nearly 9% on Friday in conjunction with a bullish note from Piper Sandler which raised its price target from $540 all the way to $900 – the highest among analysts covering the name. Madrigal shares are now also up 92% year-to-date.
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- Investor Event Schedule: Mobileye is set to participate in several investor events in Q1 2026, including the Wolfe Research Auto and Semiconductor Conference on February 11, the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on March 4, and the Loop Capital Markets Investor Conference on March 10, showcasing its leadership in the autonomous driving sector.
- Webcast Plans: Mobileye plans to webcast its 'fireside chats' when possible, with specific timings to be announced closer to the events, which not only enhances investor engagement but also boosts company transparency and market trust.
- Technological Leadership: Since its founding in 1999, Mobileye has enabled the deployment of over 230 million vehicles equipped with EyeQ technology, leveraging its expertise in AI, computer vision, and integrated software and hardware to solidify its market leadership in ADAS and AV systems.
- Impact of Independent Listing: Following its independent listing from Intel in 2022, Mobileye continues to attract investor interest, and is expected to drive the large-scale adoption of autonomous driving solutions through its innovative technologies and market strategies.
Robots on the Rise: The article discusses the increasing presence and capabilities of robots in various sectors, hinting at a potential future where they play a dominant role.
Technological Advancements: It highlights the rapid advancements in robotics technology that are bringing us closer to a future where robots could significantly impact daily life and work environments.
Robots on the Rise: The development of robots is advancing rapidly, suggesting a potential future where they play a significant role in society.
Implications of Robot Integration: The increasing presence of robots raises questions about their impact on various aspects of life, including work and daily activities.
- Strong Earnings: The Big Four U.S. banks (JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Bank of America) all exceeded expectations, with Bank of America reporting an 11 basis point year-over-year increase in net interest margin and projecting 5-7% growth in net interest income this year.
- Surge in Trading Revenue: Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs reported 40% and 23% increases in equities trading revenue, respectively, indicating robust performance in investment banking amid market volatility, which reflects an overall increase in market confidence.
- Proposed Interest Rate Cap: The Trump administration's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% could force credit card companies to drop high-risk customers, potentially leading to reduced consumer spending and bank profits, with broad economic implications.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Despite strong performance in investment banking, analysts express caution regarding IPOs and M&A activity, suggesting that in the current market environment, there may be risks of poor acquisitions that could harm shareholder value.
- Remote Operator Demand: Goldman Sachs estimates that one remote operator is needed for every three robotaxis currently, highlighting the reliance on human intervention for complex situations, which hampers commercialization efforts.
- Technological Innovation Outlook: Mobileye's proposed 'fast-think, slow-think' architecture aims to enable one operator to manage 10 robotaxis by 2030 and 35 by 2040, significantly reducing operational costs and enhancing scalability.
- Safety Decision Optimization: Mobileye's system perceives the environment 10 times per second to ensure rapid responses in emergencies while leveraging cloud-based AI for complex decision-making, improving the mean time between interventions and reducing reliance on remote operators.
- Market Potential Enhancement: Mobileye's partnership with Volkswagen aims to deploy 100,000 robotaxis by 2033, with an expected automotive revenue pipeline of $24.5 billion over the next eight years, reflecting a 42% increase over the past three years and laying the groundwork for the economic viability of robotaxis.
- Analyst Price Target Cuts: Raymond James lowered Mobileye's price target from $19 to $16 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, indicating that despite FY26 guidance suggesting a transition year, there is potential for upside in late 2026.
- Poor Financial Performance: Mobileye reported Q4 revenue of $446 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $431.85 million by about 3%, but posted a net loss of $127 million, significantly higher than the $71 million loss in the same period last year, highlighting financial pressures.
- Market Reaction: Following a series of price target cuts from analysts, Mobileye's shares fell nearly 7% on Friday, reflecting market concerns about the company's future performance, particularly after FY26 earnings guidance came in lower than expected.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Despite the stock price decline, retail sentiment around MBLY shares on Stocktwits shifted from 'neutral' to 'bullish', indicating some investors' confidence in the company's future potential, even as the stock has dropped over 41% in the past year.











