Hanover Insurance Group Reports Record Q4 2025 Earnings and Strong Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4d ago
0mins
Should l Buy THG?
Source: seekingalpha
- Outstanding Financial Performance: Hanover Insurance Group achieved record quarterly operating earnings per share and an operating return on equity of 20% in Q4 2025, demonstrating exceptional financial management and further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Premium Growth: Personal Lines net written premiums grew by 4.4% in the quarter, while Small Commercial net written premiums increased nearly 5%, attributed to pricing strategies and targeted deconcentration actions in the Midwest, indicating the company's agile response to market competition.
- Significant Investment Income: The company reported a 24.9% increase in net investment income for the fourth quarter, totaling $454.4 million for the year, reflecting successful asset investment strategies that enhance its capital base and future growth potential.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects overall consolidated net written premium growth to accelerate to mid-single-digit growth in 2026, alongside a combined ratio target of 88%-89%, showcasing confidence in sustained profitability and market expansion.
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Analyst Views on THG
Wall Street analysts forecast THG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for THG is 200.80 USD with a low forecast of 194.00 USD and a high forecast of 210.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 178.060
Low
194.00
Averages
200.80
High
210.00
Current: 178.060
Low
194.00
Averages
200.80
High
210.00
About THG
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is the holding company, which is engaged in the business of property and casualty insurance products and services. The Company operates through three segments: Core Commercial, Specialty, Personal Lines and Other. Core Commercial product suite provides agents and customers with products designed for small and mid-sized businesses. Core Commercial segment coverage includes commercial multiple peril, workers’ compensation, and other commercial lines. Specialty segment offers a comprehensive suite of products focused predominately on small to mid-sized businesses. This includes various specialized products that are organized into four distinct divisions: Professional and Executive Lines, Specialty Property & Casualty, Marine, and Surety and Other. Personal Lines segment coverage includes Personal automobile, and Homeowners and other personal lines. The Other segment primarily includes Opus, which provides investment advisory services to affiliates.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- High Employee Engagement: In 2025, 82% of Hanover Insurance Group employees participated in the annual giving campaign, raising over $1.5 million, demonstrating a strong commitment to supporting nonprofits and enhancing the company's community ties.
- Wide Range of Beneficiaries: The funds will benefit over 2,000 nonprofits, including United Way, Feeding America, and Boys and Girls Club of America, directly assisting families facing housing and food insecurity, showcasing the company's dedication to social responsibility.
- Reflection of Company Culture: CEO John C. Roche stated that the employees' generosity reflects the company's culture, emphasizing that strong companies create stronger communities, further solidifying Hanover's leadership position in the industry.
- Support from Charitable Foundation: The donations include matching contributions from the company's charitable foundation, indicating Hanover's ongoing efforts to promote community development and support vulnerable populations, enhancing its brand image and social impact.
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- High Employee Participation: In 2025, 82% of Hanover Insurance Group employees participated in the annual giving campaign, raising over $1.5 million, demonstrating a strong commitment to supporting nonprofit organizations nationwide and enhancing the company's community impact.
- Broad Nonprofit Support: The funds raised will benefit over 2,000 nonprofits, including United Way, Feeding America, and Boys and Girls Club of America, directly aiding communities facing housing and food insecurity, reflecting the company's dedication to social responsibility.
- Cultural Reflection: CEO John C. Roche emphasized that the generosity and commitment of employees reflect the company's culture, indicating that strong companies can foster stronger communities, thereby reinforcing the company's leadership position in the industry.
- Matching Contributions from Charitable Foundation: The fundraising campaign included matching contributions from the company's charitable foundation, further amplifying community support and ensuring that more resources flow directly to families and individuals in need.
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- Outstanding Financial Performance: Hanover Insurance Group achieved record quarterly operating earnings per share and an operating return on equity of 20% in Q4 2025, demonstrating exceptional financial management and further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Premium Growth: Personal Lines net written premiums grew by 4.4% in the quarter, while Small Commercial net written premiums increased nearly 5%, attributed to pricing strategies and targeted deconcentration actions in the Midwest, indicating the company's agile response to market competition.
- Significant Investment Income: The company reported a 24.9% increase in net investment income for the fourth quarter, totaling $454.4 million for the year, reflecting successful asset investment strategies that enhance its capital base and future growth potential.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects overall consolidated net written premium growth to accelerate to mid-single-digit growth in 2026, alongside a combined ratio target of 88%-89%, showcasing confidence in sustained profitability and market expansion.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Hanover Insurance reported a Q4 2025 Non-GAAP EPS of $5.79, beating expectations by $0.76, indicating robust profitability that is likely to enhance investor confidence moving forward.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $1.67 billion in Q4, a 5.7% year-over-year increase that exceeded market expectations by $140 million, demonstrating sustained competitiveness in the insurance market and promising future growth potential.
- Increased Investment Income: Net investment income rose to $125.8 million, up 24.9% from the prior year, reflecting a healthy investment portfolio that could support future shareholder returns and enhance financial stability.
- Dividend Increase: On December 1, 2025, the Board approved a 5.6% increase in the ordinary quarterly cash dividend, signaling confidence in future cash flows while providing higher returns to shareholders, which may attract further investor interest.
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- Net Income Surge: Hanover Insurance reported a net income of $198.5 million in Q4 2025, translating to $5.47 per diluted share, which marks an 18.2% increase from $167.9 million and $4.59 per share in the prior year, showcasing the company's robust performance and enhanced profitability in the market.
- Record Operating Income: The full-year operating income reached $696.2 million, or $19.09 per share, up 43.3% from $485.9 million and $13.34 per share in 2024, reflecting the company's effective execution across various business segments and significant improvement in profitability.
- Steady Premium Growth: The total net written premiums for 2025 amounted to $6.32 billion, representing a 3.9% year-over-year increase, with Personal Lines and Specialty growing by 3.7% and 4.9% respectively, indicating the company's competitive position and strong customer retention capabilities in the market.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its quarterly dividend by 5.6% to $0.95 per share in Q4 and repurchased approximately $130 million worth of shares in 2025, reflecting a balanced approach to capital management and a strong commitment to shareholder value.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Hanover Insurance is set to announce its Q4 2025 earnings on February 3rd after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $5.03, reflecting a 5.5% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $1.53 billion, down 3.2% year-over-year.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Hanover has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a relatively stable financial performance and market confidence in the company.
- Recent Estimate Adjustments: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have had no upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's future profitability.
- External Factors Impact: Although Hanover's Q4 2025 earnings expectations appear solid, severe winter weather may negatively impact financial results, underscoring the ongoing importance of property/casualty insurance demand.
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