Grand Canyon announces Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $1.78, matching expectations
- Q3 Revenue Performance: The company reported a Q3 revenue of $261.1 million.
- Consensus Comparison: This revenue figure exceeded the consensus estimate of $259.97 million.
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- Full Exit: On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported a complete exit from Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) by selling 19,133 shares in an estimated $4.20 million transaction, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Position Change: This transaction reduced Monument Capital's stake in Grand Canyon Education from 1.0501% to 0%, reflecting a reassessment of its investment strategy in the education services sector, which may impact its asset management approach.
- Market Performance: Despite Grand Canyon Education's impressive 15.1% compound annual growth rate over the past five years, recent declines in stock price following a disappointing third-quarter earnings report due to soaring litigation reserves have raised concerns about its future growth prospects.
- Investment Opportunity: Although facing legal challenges, Grand Canyon Education's quarterly revenue growth of 10% may present a buying opportunity for risk-tolerant investors, reflecting market confidence in its long-term growth potential.
- Complete Exit: On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported selling its entire position of 19,133 shares in Grand Canyon Education for an estimated $4.20 million, indicating a strategic shift in its investment approach within the education services sector.
- AUM Impact: This transaction reduced Monument's stake from approximately 1.05% to 0%, reflecting a diminished confidence in Grand Canyon Education and potentially affecting future portfolio allocations.
- Market Performance: Despite Grand Canyon's impressive 15.1% compound annual growth rate over the past five years, recent declines in share price due to soaring litigation reserves highlight the legal risks impacting investor sentiment negatively.
- Investment Opportunity: With a quarterly revenue growth of 10%, some growth-oriented investors may view the recent stock pullback as a buying opportunity, indicating a divergence in market perceptions regarding the company's long-term growth potential.
- Earnings Report Schedule: Grand Canyon Education will release its Q4 2025 financial results and 2026 outlook after market close on February 18, 2026, providing investors with critical performance metrics and future growth directions.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 2:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) on the same day to discuss the earnings report, with participants required to dial in at least ten minutes early, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Webcast and Replay: Investors and journalists can access a live webcast of the event, with a replay available approximately two hours after the conclusion, enhancing information accessibility and interaction between the company and its investors.
- Company Background: Founded in 2008, Grand Canyon Education focuses on providing educational services to 20 university partners, showcasing its unique competitive edge and technological capabilities in the education services sector with over 30 years of industry experience.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Grand Canyon Education will report its Q4 2025 financial results and 2026 outlook after market close on February 18, 2026, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 2:30 PM (4:30 PM ET) on the same day to discuss the financial results, which is expected to attract significant attention from investors and analysts, thereby enhancing market confidence.
- Webcast and Replay: Investors and journalists can access a live webcast of the event, with a replay available approximately two hours after the conclusion, ensuring broad dissemination of information and transparency.
- Company Background: Founded in 2008, Grand Canyon Education focuses on providing educational services to 20 university partners, showcasing its unique competitive advantage in the education services sector with over 30 years of industry experience.
Shift to Digital Education: The U.S. education market is transitioning from traditional methods to digital, career-focused programs, driven by student demand and government initiatives supporting workforce development and EdTech adoption.
Growth of Hybrid Learning Models: Companies offering hybrid and digital learning models are experiencing enrollment growth, with technology integration enhancing student engagement and retention, particularly in online and adaptive learning systems.
Career-Oriented Programs: There is a rising demand for credentialed skills, with education companies focusing on career training in high-demand fields like healthcare, aligning with workforce needs and benefiting from online delivery.
Government Support for Education: Federal and state initiatives are promoting education and workforce alignment, including new agreements to streamline program delivery and policies aimed at advancing AI education for future careers.
ETF Analysis: The First Trust BuyWrite Income ETF (FTHI) has an implied analyst target price of $26.97, indicating a potential upside of 13.24% from its current trading price of $23.82.
Notable Holdings: Key underlying holdings with significant upside potential include Grand Canyon Education Inc (41.36% upside), MercadoLibre Inc (37.09% upside), and ONEOK Inc (28.05% upside) based on their respective analyst target prices.
Market Sentiment: The disparity between current trading prices and analyst target prices raises questions about whether analysts are justified in their optimistic projections or if they are out of touch with recent market developments.
Investor Considerations: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analyst targets, as high price targets may lead to downgrades if they are based on outdated information.










