Ford's Q4 Earnings Estimates and Analyst Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Source: Benzinga
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Ford is projected to report Q4 revenue of $41.53 billion, a 15.6% increase from $35.92 billion in the same quarter last year, indicating the company's consistent market performance with seven revenue beats in the last ten quarters.
- Profitability Changes: Analysts expect Ford to report earnings of $0.18 per share, down 53.8% from $0.39 in the previous year, yet the company has surpassed earnings estimates in eight of the last ten quarters, reflecting volatility in profitability.
- Strategic Adjustments Impact: RBC analyst highlighted Ford's cancellation of three EV models and the end of F-150 Lightning production, leading to an estimated $8.5 billion pre-tax asset writedown in Q4, demonstrating the company's response to a slowing EV market.
- Future Outlook: Ford aims for 50% hybrid and electric sales by 2030, with analysts suggesting that achieving profitability in the Model E segment by 2029 could provide a $4.9 billion EBIT boost, aiding in offsetting $5.5 billion in net debt by 2026.
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Analyst Views on F
Wall Street analysts forecast F stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for F is 13.65 USD with a low forecast of 11.00 USD and a high forecast of 16.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 13.800
Low
11.00
Averages
13.65
High
16.00
Current: 13.800
Low
11.00
Averages
13.65
High
16.00
About F
Ford Motor Company is an automobile company. The Company develops and delivers Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles, along with connected services. The Company’s segments include Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit. The Ford Blue segment primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. The Ford Model e segment primarily includes the sale of its electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. The Ford Pro segment primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, accessories, and services for commercial, government, and rental customers. The Ford Credit segment consists of the Ford Credit business on a consolidated basis, which is primarily vehicle-related financing and leasing activities. Its vehicle brands are Ford and Lincoln.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Ford Set to Release Quarterly Results, Focus on Profitability
- Profit Guidance Downgrade: Ford lowered its FY25 profit guidance in October due to a devastating fire at the Novelis plant, with Wall Street expecting an EPS of $0.19 and revenue of $41.78 billion for the quarter, indicating a decline of over 13%, which could pressure investor confidence.
- Declining Market Share: Analysts highlight that Ford's revenue and margins are under pressure with limited growth and declining market share, and while the long-term outlook may be positive, short-term sales could weaken due to a deteriorating economy, particularly with EV sales plummeting by 69.2%.
- Weak Sales Data: Ford's vehicle sales in January fell by 5.3% compared to January 2025, indicating challenges in a competitive market that could impact future profitability and market positioning, raising concerns among investors.
- Earnings Forecast Adjustments: Over the past three months, Ford's EPS estimates have seen 10 upward revisions against three downward revisions, showing a mixed outlook, and while the company has historically beaten estimates 88% of the time, cautious sentiment may affect stock performance.
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Ford's Q4 Earnings Estimates and Analyst Insights
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Ford is projected to report Q4 revenue of $41.53 billion, a 15.6% increase from $35.92 billion in the same quarter last year, indicating the company's consistent market performance with seven revenue beats in the last ten quarters.
- Profitability Changes: Analysts expect Ford to report earnings of $0.18 per share, down 53.8% from $0.39 in the previous year, yet the company has surpassed earnings estimates in eight of the last ten quarters, reflecting volatility in profitability.
- Strategic Adjustments Impact: RBC analyst highlighted Ford's cancellation of three EV models and the end of F-150 Lightning production, leading to an estimated $8.5 billion pre-tax asset writedown in Q4, demonstrating the company's response to a slowing EV market.
- Future Outlook: Ford aims for 50% hybrid and electric sales by 2030, with analysts suggesting that achieving profitability in the Model E segment by 2029 could provide a $4.9 billion EBIT boost, aiding in offsetting $5.5 billion in net debt by 2026.
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- Profit Guidance Downgrade: Ford lowered its FY25 profit guidance in October due to a devastating fire at the Novelis plant, with Wall Street expecting an EPS of $0.19 and revenue of $41.78 billion for the quarter, indicating a decline of over 13%, which could pressure investor confidence.
- Declining Market Share: Analysts highlight that Ford's revenue and margins are under pressure with limited growth and declining market share, and while the long-term outlook may be positive, short-term sales could weaken due to a deteriorating economy, particularly with EV sales plummeting by 69.2%.
- Weak Sales Data: Ford's vehicle sales in January fell by 5.3% compared to January 2025, indicating challenges in a competitive market that could impact future profitability and market positioning, raising concerns among investors.
- Earnings Forecast Adjustments: Over the past three months, Ford's EPS estimates have seen 10 upward revisions against three downward revisions, showing a mixed outlook, and while the company has historically beaten estimates 88% of the time, cautious sentiment may affect stock performance.
See More
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- Revenue Growth Expectations: Ford is projected to report Q4 revenue of $41.53 billion, a 15.6% increase from $35.92 billion in the same quarter last year, indicating the company's consistent market performance with seven revenue beats in the last ten quarters.
- Profitability Changes: Analysts expect Ford to report earnings of $0.18 per share, down 53.8% from $0.39 in the previous year, yet the company has surpassed earnings estimates in eight of the last ten quarters, reflecting volatility in profitability.
- Strategic Adjustments Impact: RBC analyst highlighted Ford's cancellation of three EV models and the end of F-150 Lightning production, leading to an estimated $8.5 billion pre-tax asset writedown in Q4, demonstrating the company's response to a slowing EV market.
- Future Outlook: Ford aims for 50% hybrid and electric sales by 2030, with analysts suggesting that achieving profitability in the Model E segment by 2029 could provide a $4.9 billion EBIT boost, aiding in offsetting $5.5 billion in net debt by 2026.
See More
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- Super Bowl Advertising Boom: NBC's 30-second ad spots averaged $8 million, with some exceeding $10 million, showcasing fierce competition in the advertising market as AI companies heavily invested in the event, highlighting the importance of brand visibility.
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