Diebold Nixdorf Reports Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results with Strong Guidance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy DBD?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Strong Financial Performance: Diebold Nixdorf's Q4 and full year 2025 results show growth in net income and free cash flow, with an upward revision in 2026 guidance indicating robust financial health.
- Share Buyback Authorization: The announcement of a new share buyback plan is expected to further enhance earnings per share, boost investor confidence, and drive stock price appreciation.
- Impressive Stock Performance: Currently priced at $80.30, Diebold Nixdorf has achieved a 6.23% one-day return, a 15.29% return over 30 days, and a remarkable 72.32% total return over the past year, reflecting market optimism about its future growth.
- Valuation Analysis: While the stock is perceived as slightly overvalued by 1.6%, its current P/E ratio of 30.4x is below the fair ratio of 37.6x, suggesting a margin of safety that may attract value investors' interest.
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Analyst Views on DBD
Wall Street analysts forecast DBD stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 75.590
Low
80.00
Averages
80.00
High
80.00
Current: 75.590
Low
80.00
Averages
80.00
High
80.00
About DBD
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated automates, digitizes and transforms the way people bank and shop. The Company is engaged in providing hardware, software, and services to global blue-chip banking and retail clients. The Company’s segments include Banking and Retail. Its Banking segment offers services, such as the operation of integrated core components to maximize security and drive efficient operations for monitoring and cash management; implementation services; maintenance and availability services; managed services; cash and branch automation services; its AllConnect Data Engine, which provides data-driven intelligence; and its Transaction Middleware, which is an adaptable cloud-native transaction processing platform. Its retail product portfolio includes both modular and integrated, all-in-one POS as well as self-service solutions, such as SCO and self-service kiosks that address changing consumer shopping journeys, as well as retailers’ and store staff’s automation requirements.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Financial Performance: Diebold Nixdorf's Q4 and full year 2025 results show growth in net income and free cash flow, with an upward revision in 2026 guidance indicating robust financial health.
- Share Buyback Authorization: The announcement of a new share buyback plan is expected to further enhance earnings per share, boost investor confidence, and drive stock price appreciation.
- Impressive Stock Performance: Currently priced at $80.30, Diebold Nixdorf has achieved a 6.23% one-day return, a 15.29% return over 30 days, and a remarkable 72.32% total return over the past year, reflecting market optimism about its future growth.
- Valuation Analysis: While the stock is perceived as slightly overvalued by 1.6%, its current P/E ratio of 30.4x is below the fair ratio of 37.6x, suggesting a margin of safety that may attract value investors' interest.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Diebold Nixdorf reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.1 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, driven by robust growth in both banking and retail sectors, which enhances the company's competitive position in the market.
- Record Free Cash Flow: The company achieved a record free cash flow of $239 million, doubling from the previous year, reflecting its sustainable cash generation capabilities and bolstering investor confidence in long-term growth prospects.
- Improved Profitability: Adjusted EBITDA reached $164 million, up 46% year-over-year, with EBITDA margins expanding to 14.9%, indicating significant progress in cost control and operational efficiency improvements.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Diebold Nixdorf projects 2026 revenue between $3.86 billion and $3.94 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected in the range of $510 million to $535 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth and ongoing profitability.
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- Financial Performance Release: Diebold Nixdorf announced its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for 2025 on February 12, 2026, highlighting the company's ongoing transformation in banking and retail, although specific financial metrics were not disclosed, market interest in its performance remains high.
- Executive Conference Call: CEO Octavio Marquez and CFO Tom Timko will hold a conference call at 8:30 AM ET on the same day to discuss financial performance, expected to provide deeper insights and future outlook, potentially impacting investor confidence.
- Investor Relations Information: Detailed financial reports and a replay of the investor call are available on Diebold Nixdorf's website, enhancing communication with investors and demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and shareholder value.
- Global Business Presence: Diebold Nixdorf operates in over 100 countries with approximately 20,000 employees, serving as a leading technology and services partner, continuously driving digital transformation in banking and retail to enhance market competitiveness.
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- Earnings Beat: Diebold Nixdorf reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $3.02, surpassing expectations by $1.37, indicating strong profitability that may boost investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth Slows: The company achieved $1.1 billion in revenue for Q4, an 11.2% year-over-year increase, yet it fell short of expectations by $10 million, reflecting intensified market competition and demand fluctuations that could challenge future performance.
- Strong Order Growth: Order entry grew by 17%, indicating a recovery in market demand, and although revenue growth was only about 2%, this trend could lay the groundwork for future revenue increases.
- 2026 Outlook: Diebold Nixdorf projects total revenue for 2026 to be between $3.86 billion and $3.94 billion, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $5.25 and $5.75, suggesting a cautiously optimistic view on future growth.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Diebold Nixdorf is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 12 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.65, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 70.1%, indicating significant improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts anticipate that Diebold Nixdorf's Q4 revenue will reach $1.11 billion, representing a 12.2% year-over-year growth, which suggests a positive performance amid recovering market demand and may bolster investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Diebold Nixdorf has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, indicating a certain level of stability in financial performance that could influence market expectations for its future results.
- Market Analysis Perspective: Despite Diebold Nixdorf's strong financial outlook, market analysts generally view the company as overvalued and of low quality, which could negatively impact investor decisions and necessitate cautious consideration.
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- Consumer Preference: More than two-thirds of Australian consumers prefer self-checkout when shopping alone, in a hurry, or wanting to avoid long queues, indicating that retailers must enhance self-checkout experiences to meet customer expectations.
- Need for Experience Improvement: Despite 95% consumer satisfaction with self-service technology, shoppers still seek improvements in checkout delays, trust issues, and system flexibility, compelling retailers to act to prevent customer loss.
- AI Technology Investment: Retailers are increasingly investing in AI-driven self-checkout solutions that not only reduce friction points at checkout but also enhance security, indicating that AI is becoming a key competitive advantage in the retail sector.
- Hybrid Checkout Models: Innovative hybrid checkout models allow for flexible switching between self-service and attended modes, helping retailers improve in-store process efficiency while attracting and retaining staff, showcasing a proactive shift in addressing industry challenges.
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