Company Reports Q4 Revenue of $4.4B, Below Consensus
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 26 2026
0mins
Should l Buy STLD?
Reports Q4 revenue $4.4B, consensus $4.53B. "The teams delivered solid operational and financial performance across our operating platforms in 2025, generating annual net sales of $18.2 billion, operating income of $1.5 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.2 billion," said Mark Millett, Chairman and CEO. "This performance demonstrates the strength and consistency of our cash generation, as we generated $1.4 billion in cash flow from operations during the year, after investing $450 million in growth working capital associated with our new aluminum products platform. Our three-year after-tax return-on-invested-capital of 14 percent is a testament to our ongoing high-return capital allocation strategy. We are growing, returning capital to shareholders, and maintaining strong returns as compared to best-in-class domestic manufacturers."
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Analyst Views on STLD
Wall Street analysts forecast STLD stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for STLD is 182.30 USD with a low forecast of 165.00 USD and a high forecast of 194.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 193.020
Low
165.00
Averages
182.30
High
194.00
Current: 193.020
Low
165.00
Averages
182.30
High
194.00
About STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc. is an industrial metals solutions company. Its Steel Operations segment consists of its EAF steel mills, producing steel from ferrous scrap and scrap substitutes, utilizing continuous casting and automated rolling mills, and numerous steel coating, processing lines and warehouse operations. Its Metals Recycling Operations segment includes its OmniSource ferrous and nonferrous processing, transportation, marketing, brokerage, and scrap management services primarily throughout the United States and in Central and Northern Mexico. Its Steel Fabrication Operations segment includes its New Millennium Building Systems’ joist and deck plants located throughout the United States, and in Northern Mexico. Its Aluminum Operations segment includes the recycled aluminum flat rolled products mill being constructed in Columbus, Mississippi, and two satellite recycled aluminum slab centers in the southwest United States and Central Mexico.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Community Note Response: Social media users flagged the White House's graph with a Community Note, highlighting its misleading nature and emphasizing that the actual increase was only 1.2%, showcasing public concern for government transparency and data accuracy.
- Stock Market Performance: Major U.S. steel companies have seen strong stock performance over the past year, indicating that the robust U.S. steel production could continue to drive stock gains for these firms, particularly as the government promotes domestic production.
- Historical Misleading Issues: The White House's official accounts have previously been flagged for misleading data, indicating ongoing challenges in information dissemination, particularly regarding economic data and policy communications.
See More
Market Sentiment Improves as Stocks Rise
- Market Sentiment Recovery: The CNN Money Fear & Greed Index showed an improvement in overall market sentiment on Monday, remaining in the 'Neutral' zone with a current reading of 55.3, up from 53.7, indicating a slight uptick in investor confidence.
- Strong Stock Performance: The Dow Jones index rose over 300 points on Monday, closing at 49,412.40, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.50% to 6,950.23, reflecting a recovery in market confidence ahead of significant earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
- Positive Economic Data: U.S. durable goods orders rose by 5.3% month-over-month in November, exceeding market expectations of a 3.7% increase, following a revised 2.1% decline in October, suggesting signs of economic recovery that could positively impact the stock market.
- Significant Stock Volatility: Revolution Medicines Inc shares dropped 17% on Monday amid reports that Merck is no longer in acquisition talks, while Steel Dynamics Inc reported disappointing fourth-quarter earnings, highlighting challenges faced by individual companies.
See More
Service Stocks Underperform in Afternoon Trading
- Service Sector Decline: In afternoon trading on Monday, service stocks fell by 0.3%, with The Trade Desk Inc (TTD) and Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) dropping 8.4% and 5.7% respectively, indicating a weakening trend that may affect investor confidence.
- ETF Performance Analysis: The iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF (IYC), closely tracking service stocks, declined 0.4% on the day, although it is up 2.17% year-to-date, suggesting that short-term volatility may prompt investors to reassess their strategies.
- Materials Sector Dynamics: The materials sector also showed weakness, with an overall decline of 0.1%, as Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR) and Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) both fell by 3.1%, reflecting challenges faced by the industry that could impact profitability.
- ETF Tracking Performance: The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB), associated with materials stocks, rose 0.3% on the day and is up 10.52% year-to-date, indicating that despite poor individual stock performance, the overall sector still holds some investment appeal.
See More
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- Steel Sector Earnings Miss: Steel Dynamics Inc. reported Q4 earnings of $1.82 per share, missing the $1.95 consensus estimate, with sales of $4.414 billion also falling short of the $4.575 billion forecast, indicating challenges within the industry.
- Oil and Gas Stocks Surge: Battalion Oil Corp. shares skyrocketed 379% to $6.13 after switching gas processing partners and boosting production, while Brand Engagement Network Inc. surged 196% to $48.79 following a strategic partnership announcement, highlighting strong investor interest.
- Economic Data Improvement: U.S. durable goods orders rose 5.3% month-over-month in November, exceeding the 3.7% market estimate, following a revised 2.1% decline in October, suggesting a gradual recovery in economic activity.
See More
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- Quarterly Sales Performance: Steel Dynamics reported Q4 net sales of $4.414 billion, although it fell short of the $4.575 billion analyst estimate, the year-over-year growth indicates the company's stability in the market.
- Net Income Growth: The company achieved a net income of $266 million in Q4, translating to $1.82 per diluted share, which is an increase from $207 million and $1.36 per share in the prior year, reflecting enhanced profitability.
- Annual Performance Review: For the full year 2025, Steel Dynamics reported net sales of $18.2 billion and net income of $1.2 billion, or $7.99 per share, showing a decline compared to 2024, yet still demonstrating strong market demand and operational capability.
- Future Outlook: The CEO indicated that improving market conditions are expected to support solid domestic demand for steel and aluminum products, particularly in the context of increased trade stability and a favorable interest rate environment.
See More
Steel Dynamics Declines, Yet Its Earnings Provide Optimism for the Industry in 2026.
- Stock Performance: Steel Dynamics’ stock initially surged after the company reported better-than-expected earnings.
- Market Reaction: Following the initial jump, the stock experienced a decline.
- Management Outlook: The company's management expressed optimism regarding the steel sector for the upcoming year.
- Earnings Report Impact: The earnings report had a significant impact on investor sentiment and stock volatility.
See More
