Columbia Sportswear's Upbeat FY26 Guidance Boosts Shares Despite Q4 Disappointment
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4d ago
0mins
Should l Buy COLM?
Source: seekingalpha
- Brand Momentum: Columbia Sportswear's CEO Tim Boyle highlighted that consumer enthusiasm for new product collections has driven brand momentum, with FY26 net sales expected to rise by 1% to 3%, reaching $3.43B to $3.50B, surpassing market expectations of $3.42B.
- Earnings Forecast Upgrade: The company anticipates FY26 earnings per share to range between $3.20 and $3.65, significantly above the market estimate of $2.99, indicating strong brand performance and potential for future growth.
- Quarterly Performance Decline: Despite the optimistic FY26 outlook, Columbia expects Q1 net sales to decline by 2.5% to 4%, ranging from $747M to $759M, below the $788.8M estimate, reflecting short-term challenges.
- Dividend Payment Plan: The company announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share to be paid on March 20 to shareholders of record as of March 9, demonstrating a commitment to ongoing shareholder returns.
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Analyst Views on COLM
Wall Street analysts forecast COLM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for COLM is 54.67 USD with a low forecast of 39.00 USD and a high forecast of 75.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 61.070
Low
39.00
Averages
54.67
High
75.00
Current: 61.070
Low
39.00
Averages
54.67
High
75.00
About COLM
Columbia Sportswear Company is a multi-brand global in outdoor, active and lifestyle products, including apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment. It provides products through four brands: Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear and prAna. Its Columbia brand offers authentic, high-value outdoor apparel, footwear, accessories and equipment products suited for hiking, trail running, snow, and fishing and hunting activities, as well as everyday outdoor activities. SOREL brand offers footwear. Its Mountain Hardwear brand continues to offer essential, premium apparel, accessories and equipment products for climbers, mountaineers, skiers, snowboarders, and trail athletes. Its prAna brand offers apparel and accessories. Its products are designed to be used for all seasons, activities and locations. It sells its products in more than 110 countries and operate in four reportable segments: United States, Latin America and Asia Pacific (LAAP), Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and Canada.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Forecast Upgrade: The company anticipates FY26 earnings per share to range between $3.20 and $3.65, significantly above the market estimate of $2.99, indicating strong brand performance and potential for future growth.
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- Dividend Payment Plan: The company announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share to be paid on March 20 to shareholders of record as of March 9, demonstrating a commitment to ongoing shareholder returns.
See More
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- Performance Forecast Changes: Over the past year, Columbia has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time; however, in the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and six downward revisions, signaling market concerns about future performance.
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- Sales Growth: The company achieved quarterly sales of $580.620 million, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $533.890 million, demonstrating strong market demand and driving sustained performance growth.
- Stock Surge: Following the positive earnings report, Cirrus Logic's shares jumped 7.6% to $134.10 on Wednesday, reflecting market optimism regarding the company's future growth potential.
- Optimistic Guidance: Cirrus Logic provided fourth-quarter sales guidance that is expected to exceed market estimates, further solidifying its competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
See More
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- International Growth: Columbia Sportswear reported Q4 2025 net sales of $1.1 billion, a 2% year-over-year decline, yet international markets thrived, particularly LAAP with a 10% increase, demonstrating the effectiveness of the ACCELERATE Growth Strategy and enhancing brand competitiveness globally.
- Commitment to Shareholder Returns: Management announced $201 million in share repurchases and $66 million in dividends for FY2025, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder value while maintaining a robust cash position of $791 million and no debt.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company anticipates net sales growth of 1% to 3% for FY2026, despite ongoing U.S. tariff pressures, with management expressing confidence in the market acceptance of new product lines like the Amaze Puff, signaling successful brand differentiation.
- Gross Margin Changes: Q4 gross margin expanded by 50 basis points to 51.6%, despite tariff impacts, primarily due to improved inventory management that reduced the need for promotions and clearance activities, thereby enhancing the company's profitability.
See More
Columbia (COLM) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
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- Brand Momentum: Columbia Sportswear's CEO Tim Boyle highlighted that consumer enthusiasm for new product collections has driven brand momentum, with FY26 net sales expected to rise by 1% to 3%, reaching $3.43B to $3.50B, surpassing market expectations of $3.42B.
- Earnings Forecast Upgrade: The company anticipates FY26 earnings per share to range between $3.20 and $3.65, significantly above the market estimate of $2.99, indicating strong brand performance and potential for future growth.
- Quarterly Performance Decline: Despite the optimistic FY26 outlook, Columbia expects Q1 net sales to decline by 2.5% to 4%, ranging from $747M to $759M, below the $788.8M estimate, reflecting short-term challenges.
- Dividend Payment Plan: The company announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share to be paid on March 20 to shareholders of record as of March 9, demonstrating a commitment to ongoing shareholder returns.
See More
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- Earnings Announcement: Columbia Sportswear is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 3rd after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.19, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 33.9%, indicating mounting pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Decline: The expected revenue for Q4 is $1.03 billion, representing a staggering 99.1% year-over-year drop, which highlights the company's struggle to grow in a highly competitive market, potentially undermining investor confidence.
- Performance Forecast Changes: Over the past year, Columbia has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time; however, in the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and six downward revisions, signaling market concerns about future performance.
- Executive Changes: The company recently appointed Peter J. Bragdon and Joseph P. Boyle as co-presidents, aiming to restart growth through leadership adjustments, although the market remains cautious about its future trajectory.
See More
