CNBC Daily Open: U.S. Stocks Pull Back from Peaks as Broadcom Drives Tech Market Decline
AI Stock Sell-off: The sell-off in AI stocks continued, with Broadcom shares dropping over 11%, impacting major U.S. indexes, while tech stocks like Nvidia and AMD also fell, despite Broadcom's strong earnings report.
Market Performance: While the Dow Jones rose 1.1% for the week due to financial stocks, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined by 0.6% and 1.6%, respectively, as investor concerns about an AI bubble persisted.
China's Economic Slowdown: China's retail sales and industrial production growth missed forecasts, indicating a deepening economic slowdown, with fixed asset investment contracting year-on-year.
Copper Price Surge: Copper prices are expected to soar due to increased demand from the energy transition and AI sectors, with Citi analysts predicting significant price hikes driven by electrification and infrastructure needs.
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- China Market Contribution: AMD's Q4 sales of $390 million in GPUs to China significantly boosted results, although management forecasts only $100 million in revenue for Q1, indicating potential volatility in future sales from this dynamic market.
- Data Center Revenue Growth: AMD's data center revenue surged 39% year-over-year to $5.4 billion, driven by record CPU and GPU sales, highlighting strong demand in the AI sector, with eight of the ten largest AI companies now utilizing its GPUs.
- Client and Gaming Segment Performance: Revenue from the client and gaming segments rose 34% and 50% respectively, totaling $3.9 billion, although the company anticipates a meaningful decline in semi-custom revenue in 2026, which could impact future growth potential.
- Overall Financial Performance: AMD's total revenue for Q4 climbed 34% year-over-year to $10.27 billion, with gross margin increasing to 54%, and adjusted earnings per share rising 40% to $1.53, surpassing market expectations and demonstrating robust performance amid high investor expectations.
- Oracle Stock Rise: Oracle shares increased by 2% after DA Davidson upgraded its rating from neutral to buy, with analysts believing that a revamped OpenAI will regain its position as Google's top competitor, enhancing collaboration potential with Oracle.
- STMicroelectronics Partnership Expansion: STMicroelectronics saw a 7% stock increase following a multi-billion-dollar partnership announcement with Amazon Web Services to support infrastructure for cloud and AI data centers, which is expected to drive future revenue growth for the company.
- Kroger CEO Transition: Kroger's shares jumped nearly 5% after the Wall Street Journal reported that former Walmart executive Greg Foran will be appointed as the new CEO, indicating a potential strategic shift that could enhance the company's performance in a competitive retail market.
- Hims & Hers Health Crisis: Hims & Hers stock plummeted 18% after it withdrew its copycat weight-loss pill following legal threats from Novo Nordisk, highlighting the importance of intellectual property in the market and potentially impacting Hims & Hers' future product strategy.
Stock Market Outlook: The Super Bowl Indicator suggests a positive year for the stock market, particularly following the Seattle Seahawks' victory.
Investor Sentiment: Even skeptics of the Super Bowl Indicator can find reasons for optimism as the market approaches a significant January jobs report.
- Dow Jones Surge: On Friday, the Dow Jones index surged over 1,200 points during trading, closing at 50,115.67, marking a historic high that signifies a strong market recovery and may attract more investors.
- Strong Performance of S&P 500 and Nasdaq: The S&P 500 rose by 1.97% to close at 6,932.30, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.18% to 23,031.21, indicating a robust rebound in tech and large-cap stocks, further boosting market confidence.
- Analyst Rating Discrepancies: Despite daily new stock picks from Wall Street analysts, the wide variance in analyst ratings and price targets leaves investors confused about which analyst opinions to trust, potentially impacting the effectiveness of investment decisions.
- Market Sentiment Recovery: The Dow's milestone of surpassing 50,000 points reflects optimistic expectations for economic recovery, which could lead to increased capital inflow into the stock market, thereby driving further overall market gains.
- Earnings Performance: Amazon reported Q4 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.95, slightly below the $1.97 expected by analysts, while its revenue of $213.4 billion exceeded the $211.3 billion forecast, indicating strong revenue performance despite the earnings miss.
- Capital Expenditure Forecast: Amazon's projected capital expenditures for 2026 are set at $200 billion, a significant increase from $132 billion in 2025; although this raised market concerns, CEO Andy Jassy emphasized that most of the spending will address high demand for AWS services.
- AWS Growth Momentum: AWS experienced a 24% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching an annualized revenue run rate of $142 billion, with a backlog of $244 billion, reflecting robust growth in the cloud services market and a 40% increase in backlog year-over-year.
- Advertising Revenue Surge: Amazon's advertising revenue rose 22% year-over-year to $21.3 billion in Q4, with significant contributions from sponsored product ads and Prime Video ads, further solidifying its competitive edge in the e-commerce sector.
- AI Memory Chip Progress: Samsung is close to securing Nvidia's certification for its latest AI memory chip, HBM4, with shipments to Nvidia and AMD expected next month, thereby addressing the growing demand for memory chips and enhancing the company's position in the competitive semiconductor market.
- Market Rebound: Tech stocks and the broader market rebounded on Friday, with Nvidia shares rising nearly 8%, reflecting investor confidence in the recovery of the chip industry, although Nvidia's stock remains down 11% from its peak on November 3, indicating market volatility.
- Supply-Demand Dynamics: The ongoing shortage of memory chips has driven up shares of chipmakers like Micron, SanDisk, and Western Digital, as investors anticipate robust demand and rising prices, providing a favorable backdrop for Samsung's market performance.
- Regulatory Challenges: Nvidia is awaiting approval for the sale of its H200 chips in China; while Beijing is close to approving imports, the U.S. is considering additional restrictions, and this complex diplomatic situation may impact Nvidia's market performance and stock price fluctuations.











