Not a good buy right now: the stock is reacting negatively after earnings (sharp post-market drop), which typically keeps near-term price pressure elevated.
Long-term fundamentals look strong (AI/server-driven growth and margin expansion), but the current tape is signaling “sell the news,” so risk/reward for an immediate entry is unfavorable.
If you must act immediately (impatient entry), this setup is more consistent with a HOLD/avoid-new-buy than a clean BUY.
Technical Analysis
Price action: regular session weakness followed by a large post-market selloff (implies a breakdown of nearby support levels and a bearish short-term trend shift).
Momentum: MACD histogram remains above zero (still positive), but it is contracting—bullish momentum is fading.
RSI(6) ~48: neutral, offering no oversold “snapback” signal to justify an aggressive buy.
Trend structure: moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), supporting the longer-term uptrend; however, the post-market gap down likely damages the near-term trend.
Levels: prior supports S1 238 and S2 ~230 were key; the post-market price (222) suggests a break below these levels, which is technically negative and often leads to further chop/downside before stabilization.
Implied vol is elevated (IV percentile ~85.6; 30D IV ~59.8 vs HV ~72.2), consistent with event-driven uncertainty; options are relatively expensive.
Options volume is below its 30D average (~75.7%), suggesting sentiment isn’t escalating via options flows despite the selloff—more “repricing” than capitulation.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
growth: revenue +34.1% YoY; net income +213.5% YoY; EPS +217.2% YoY; gross margin +10.9% YoY—fundamentals are moving in the right direction.
Sector catalyst: U.S. review of Nvidia export licenses to China could create demand reallocation opportunities (though it also adds sector uncertainty).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Immediate catalyst is bearish: despite a revenue beat in the news flow, the stock dropped ~8% post-market—suggests guidance/expectations reset, positioning unwind, or “too-high bar.”
Technical damage: post-market move implies breaking key supports (around 238/230), which often attracts trend-following selling.
Product-cycle headline risk: chatter about potential MI450-series delays (even if disputed) can weigh on AI-GPU narrative momentum.
Wall Street cons: execution/timing risk on next-gen AI GPU ramps, elevated expectations (stock can drop even on beats), and ongoing heavyweight competition.
Politicians/influentials: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds/insiders reported as neutral (no notable recent trend).
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMD is 284.1 USD with a low forecast of 200 USD and a high forecast of 377 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
36 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMD is 284.1 USD with a low forecast of 200 USD and a high forecast of 377 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
27 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 192.500
Low
200
Averages
284.1
High
377
Current: 192.500
Low
200
Averages
284.1
High
377
BofA
Buy
maintain
$260 -> $280
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$260 -> $280
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on AMD (AMD) to $280 from $260 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm, which anticipates AMD's server CPU business to continue growing strong double-digits in calendar 2026 on continued product execution, share gains versus Intel (INTC) and rising demand for AI inference head node, continues to like AMD as "a credible alternative merchant AI GPU supplier" to Nvidia (NVDA), the analyst tells investors after earnings.
Mizuho
Outperform -> NULL
downgrade
$285 -> $275
2026-02-04
New
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$285 -> $275
2026-02-04
New
downgrade
Outperform -> NULL
Reason
Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on AMD to $275 from $285 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm reduced the price target post the earnings report to reflect higher spending.
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