CEO Millett: Strong Steel and Aluminum Demand, Favorable Market Conditions Ahead
"We anticipate that improving market conditions, including increased trade stability and a more favorable interest rate environment, will support solid domestic demand for steel and aluminum products," continued CEO Millett. "Steel pricing has improved, and customer optimism remains solid across our businesses, as demand continues to be steady. Additionally, discussions with our customers further underscore the growing importance of lower-carbon, domestically produced steel and aluminum products, positioning our businesses for a sustainable long-term competitive advantage. As unfair trade practices diminish, policy clarity improves, and U.S. manufacturing continues to expand, we believe a favorable market environment will follow. The aluminum team is continuing with the successful commissioning and startup of the company's Columbus, Mississippi aluminum flat rolled products mill and San Luis Potosi satellite recycled aluminum slab center. The cast houses and hot strip mill are operating extremely well, and commissioning is ongoing in other areas of the facility. The teams shipped products for the industrial and beverage can sectors, receiving product qualifications from several customers. They also produced and shipped aluminum hot band for use in automotive applications. We continue commissioning the cold mill and other downstream operations, including the CASH line. It is an extremely exciting time for all of us. There is still much to be done, yet much has also been accomplished. We have deliberately aligned our growth strategy with our customers' developing needs, prioritizing product excellence, supply-chain efficiency, and sustainability. Building on our strong positions in steel, we are expanding into high recycled-content aluminum to serve adjacent markets where customer demand is accelerating. This opportunity spans the counter-cyclical beverage can and packaging segment and extends to automotive, industrial, and construction applications. Backed by a performance-based culture and a proven ability to develop and operate cost-efficient, high-margin mills, we are well positioned to deliver attractive long-term value through this expansion. Our unwavering commitment to the health and safety of our teams, families, and communities underpins our ability to meet both current and future customer needs. Our differentiated culture and business model continue to drive performance, while strong cash flow generation and disciplined execution of our long-term strategy are strengthening our financial position," concluded Millett.
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- Steel Production Data: The White House reported U.S. steel production at 80.8 million tons for 2024, rising to 81.8 million tons in 2025, reflecting a 1.2% increase; however, the graph misleadingly suggested a doubling of production, prompting public scrutiny.
- Community Note Response: Social media users flagged the White House's graph with a Community Note, highlighting its misleading nature and emphasizing that the actual increase was only 1.2%, showcasing public concern for government transparency and data accuracy.
- Stock Market Performance: Major U.S. steel companies have seen strong stock performance over the past year, indicating that the robust U.S. steel production could continue to drive stock gains for these firms, particularly as the government promotes domestic production.
- Historical Misleading Issues: The White House's official accounts have previously been flagged for misleading data, indicating ongoing challenges in information dissemination, particularly regarding economic data and policy communications.
- Market Sentiment Recovery: The CNN Money Fear & Greed Index showed an improvement in overall market sentiment on Monday, remaining in the 'Neutral' zone with a current reading of 55.3, up from 53.7, indicating a slight uptick in investor confidence.
- Strong Stock Performance: The Dow Jones index rose over 300 points on Monday, closing at 49,412.40, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.50% to 6,950.23, reflecting a recovery in market confidence ahead of significant earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
- Positive Economic Data: U.S. durable goods orders rose by 5.3% month-over-month in November, exceeding market expectations of a 3.7% increase, following a revised 2.1% decline in October, suggesting signs of economic recovery that could positively impact the stock market.
- Significant Stock Volatility: Revolution Medicines Inc shares dropped 17% on Monday amid reports that Merck is no longer in acquisition talks, while Steel Dynamics Inc reported disappointing fourth-quarter earnings, highlighting challenges faced by individual companies.
- Service Sector Decline: In afternoon trading on Monday, service stocks fell by 0.3%, with The Trade Desk Inc (TTD) and Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) dropping 8.4% and 5.7% respectively, indicating a weakening trend that may affect investor confidence.
- ETF Performance Analysis: The iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF (IYC), closely tracking service stocks, declined 0.4% on the day, although it is up 2.17% year-to-date, suggesting that short-term volatility may prompt investors to reassess their strategies.
- Materials Sector Dynamics: The materials sector also showed weakness, with an overall decline of 0.1%, as Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR) and Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) both fell by 3.1%, reflecting challenges faced by the industry that could impact profitability.
- ETF Tracking Performance: The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB), associated with materials stocks, rose 0.3% on the day and is up 10.52% year-to-date, indicating that despite poor individual stock performance, the overall sector still holds some investment appeal.
- Strong Dow Performance: The Dow Jones index rose over 100 points on Monday, gaining 0.33% to reach 49,259.65, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding economic recovery.
- Steel Sector Earnings Miss: Steel Dynamics Inc. reported Q4 earnings of $1.82 per share, missing the $1.95 consensus estimate, with sales of $4.414 billion also falling short of the $4.575 billion forecast, indicating challenges within the industry.
- Oil and Gas Stocks Surge: Battalion Oil Corp. shares skyrocketed 379% to $6.13 after switching gas processing partners and boosting production, while Brand Engagement Network Inc. surged 196% to $48.79 following a strategic partnership announcement, highlighting strong investor interest.
- Economic Data Improvement: U.S. durable goods orders rose 5.3% month-over-month in November, exceeding the 3.7% market estimate, following a revised 2.1% decline in October, suggesting a gradual recovery in economic activity.
- Quarterly Sales Performance: Steel Dynamics reported Q4 net sales of $4.414 billion, although it fell short of the $4.575 billion analyst estimate, the year-over-year growth indicates the company's stability in the market.
- Net Income Growth: The company achieved a net income of $266 million in Q4, translating to $1.82 per diluted share, which is an increase from $207 million and $1.36 per share in the prior year, reflecting enhanced profitability.
- Annual Performance Review: For the full year 2025, Steel Dynamics reported net sales of $18.2 billion and net income of $1.2 billion, or $7.99 per share, showing a decline compared to 2024, yet still demonstrating strong market demand and operational capability.
- Future Outlook: The CEO indicated that improving market conditions are expected to support solid domestic demand for steel and aluminum products, particularly in the context of increased trade stability and a favorable interest rate environment.

- Stock Performance: Steel Dynamics’ stock initially surged after the company reported better-than-expected earnings.
- Market Reaction: Following the initial jump, the stock experienced a decline.
- Management Outlook: The company's management expressed optimism regarding the steel sector for the upcoming year.
- Earnings Report Impact: The earnings report had a significant impact on investor sentiment and stock volatility.










