Breakingviews - Wall Street Discovers Boundaries in Hong Kong's Resurgence
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 05 2025
0mins
Source: Reuters
Sino-American Trade Truce: The recent Global Financial Leaders gathering in Hong Kong was marked by a sense of relief due to a truce in the Sino-American trade war and a rebound in Chinese equities, allowing for open discussions about global trade and investment opportunities.
Hong Kong's Financial Landscape: Despite geopolitical tensions, U.S. financial firms are maintaining their presence in China, with American banks' cross-border claims on Chinese residents nearing all-time highs, indicating ongoing business potential.
Challenges for Investment Banking: While offshore investment banking revenue from Chinese clients is rebounding, it remains below previous levels, and rising global protectionism is limiting Chinese companies' ability to acquire overseas assets, impacting U.S. banks' market share.
Future of Hong Kong as a Financial Hub: Hong Kong's appeal may broaden beyond China, but the dominance of Chinese firms in new listings and the potential sidelining of Western banks suggest a shift in the financial landscape, with wealth management expected to grow in importance.
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Analyst Views on JPM
Wall Street analysts forecast JPM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JPM is 341.38 USD with a low forecast of 260.00 USD and a high forecast of 400.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
19 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 310.160
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
Current: 310.160
Low
260.00
Averages
341.38
High
400.00
About JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company. The Company is engaged in investment banking, financial services for consumers and small businesses, commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management. The Company operates through three segments: Consumer & Community Banking (CCB), Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB), and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM). Its CCB segment offers products and services to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, digital and telephone banking. Its CIB segment consists of banking and payments and markets and securities services, and offers a suite of investment banking, lending, payments, market-making, financing, custody and securities products and services to a global base of corporate and institutional clients. AWM segment offers investment and wealth management solutions. It offers multi-asset investment management solutions, retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, estate planning, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Decline in Asset Management Stocks: Ares Management fell over 12%, Blue Owl Capital dropped more than 8%, and KKR and TPG saw declines of nearly 10% and 7%, respectively, reflecting investor concerns about AI's potential impact on cash flows and default risks.
- Rising Default Risks: UBS Group has warned that in an aggressive disruption scenario, default rates in U.S. private credit could rise to 13%, significantly higher than the projected stress for leveraged loans and high-yield bonds, estimated at 8% and 4%, respectively.
- Liquidity Issues Intensified: Although strains in private credit predate AI concerns, Jeffrey C. Hooke noted that existing liquidity and loan extension issues have been exacerbated by recent developments, adding new challenges to an already pressured sector.
See More
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- Issuer Transition: In early 2026, JPMorgan Chase was selected as the new issuer of the Apple Card, taking over from Goldman Sachs, which stated that this move would help it narrow its business focus, highlighting Apple's ongoing expansion in consumer finance.
- Market Position: JPMorgan Chase is the largest credit card issuer in the U.S., managing approximately 150 million credit cards, while the Apple Card has over 12 million users; although this addition is modest, it still presents new cross-selling opportunities for the bank.
- User Demographics: Research indicates that Apple Card users are predominantly aged 20 to 40, accounting for about 70% of the user base, which allows JPMorgan Chase to effectively promote its premium credit card products, such as the Chase Sapphire Reserve, thereby enhancing customer loyalty.
- Future Outlook: While the specific financial terms of JPMorgan Chase's acquisition of the Apple Card business remain unclear, this partnership is expected to bring a significant influx of new customers to the bank, potentially invigorating its stock and strengthening its competitive position in the market.
See More
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- Market Share Expansion: As the largest credit card issuer in the U.S., JPMorgan Chase currently provides credit for approximately 150 million cards, while the Apple Card has over 12 million users; although this addition is not dramatically impactful, it presents significant cross-selling opportunities for Chase.
- User Demographics: Research indicates that Apple Card users are predominantly aged 20 to 40, accounting for about 70% of the user base, which provides JPMorgan Chase with a prime opportunity to market its higher-end products, such as the Chase Sapphire Reserve, to this younger demographic, enhancing customer loyalty.
- Future Outlook: While the specific financial details of JPMorgan Chase's acquisition of the Apple Card business remain unclear, this partnership is expected to bring a substantial number of new customers to Chase, potentially invigorating its stock and boosting market confidence in its growth prospects.
See More
