Breaking Down the Components: IGE on Track for $55
ETF Analysis: The iShares North American Natural Resources ETF (IGE) has an implied analyst target price of $55.33, indicating a potential upside of 16.71% from its current trading price of $47.41.
Notable Holdings: Key underlying holdings with significant upside potential include Orla Mining Ltd (40.52% upside), NovaGold Resources Inc. (20.13% upside), and First Majestic Silver Corp (18.30% upside) based on their respective analyst target prices.
Market Sentiment: The disparity between current trading prices and analyst target prices raises questions about whether analysts are justified in their optimistic projections or if they are out of touch with recent market developments.
Investor Considerations: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analyst targets, as high price targets may lead to downgrades if they are based on outdated information.
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- Highest Silver Revenue: First Majestic Silver generated approximately 57% of its revenue from silver last year, the highest among its peers, demonstrating its strong competitive position in the silver market and solidifying its leadership role.
- Significant Investment Returns: An investment of $100 in First Majestic Silver a decade ago would now be worth over $610, reflecting an annualized return of nearly 20%, while the initiation of dividends in 2021 has further enhanced total returns for investors.
- Strategic Acquisitions Fuel Growth: The company's acquisition of Primero Mining in 2018 added the San Dimas mine, projected to produce 10.2 million ounces of silver equivalent by 2025, thereby enhancing its profitability during periods of rising silver prices.
- Outstanding Market Performance: First Majestic Silver has significantly increased shareholder value through its focused strategy on silver mining, allowing it to achieve substantial returns amid soaring silver prices, highlighting its unique advantages in the industry.
- Surging Silver Prices: Over the past year, silver prices have skyrocketed by more than 150%, and although there has been a recent dip, this trend has driven up First Majestic Silver's stock price, reflecting the company's strong performance in the precious metals market.
- Significant Investment Returns: An investment of $100 in First Majestic Silver a decade ago is now worth over $610, representing an annualized return of nearly 20%, and the initiation of dividends in 2021 has further enhanced total returns for investors.
- Successful Acquisition Strategy: The acquisition of Primero Mining in 2018 added the San Dimas mine to First Majestic's portfolio, which became its top silver-producing mine in 2025, producing 10.2 million ounces of silver equivalent, thereby boosting the company's production capacity.
- Market Expansion: The well-timed acquisition of Gatos Silver last year has further enhanced the company's ability to capitalize on rising silver prices, demonstrating the effectiveness of its strategy focused on acquiring silver mines and significantly increasing shareholder value.
- Market Volatility Analysis: Following a plunge of 10% in gold and 30% in silver prices around January 30, a rebound has occurred, highlighting the fragility of the commodities market, where investor reactions to tightening liquidity have exacerbated trading volatility.
- Investor Confidence Recovery: Despite recent price fluctuations, market experts assert that the fundamentals for gold and silver have not deteriorated; rather, a rapid shift in leverage usage and geopolitical tensions have led to panic selling among traders.
- Buying Opportunity for Gold and Silver: Market consensus suggests that now is a good time to buy gold and silver on the dip, particularly for companies like Agnico Eagle Mines and First Majestic Silver, which are expected to see significant dividend and earnings growth supported by analysts.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: For risk-averse investors, gold and silver ETFs offer a relatively simple and low-risk way to invest, making them an ideal choice for those looking to capitalize on rising metal prices while diversifying their risk and potential returns.
- Gold Price Decline: Spot gold fell over 1% to $4,899.8 per ounce, reflecting market uncertainty about future trends, which may lead investors to reassess their asset allocation strategies.
- Silver Futures Surge: March 2026 silver futures rose approximately 62% to $85.1 per ounce, indicating strong market demand for silver, particularly after price corrections that attracted significant speculative capital.
- Zhongcai Futures Profitability: According to the Financial Times, Zhongcai Futures earned over $500 million during the silver rout, demonstrating its successful establishment of large short positions amidst market volatility, thereby solidifying its position in the industry.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite declines in silver mining stocks like First Majestic and Hecla Mining by over 2%, retail sentiment for iShares Silver Trust and SPDR Gold Shares ETF remains in the 'extremely bullish' territory, indicating strong investor confidence in future market performance.
- Acquisition Deal: First Majestic Silver's $970 million acquisition of Gatos Silver grants it a 70% stake in the Los Gatos Joint Venture, significantly enhancing its silver production capacity in Mexico and positioning it as a larger-scale silver producer.
- Production Performance: In Q4 2024, First Majestic produced 4.2 million ounces of silver, a 77% year-over-year increase, with the Los Gatos mine contributing 1.5 million ounces, driving the annual total to a record 15.4 million ounces, an 84% increase.
- Financial Results: In Q3, First Majestic achieved record quarterly revenues of $285.1 million, a 95% increase from the previous year, with operating cash flow rising to $141.3 million and free cash flow reaching $98.8 million, resulting in a record cash position of $568.9 million, indicating robust financial health.
- Shareholder Returns: The company plans to increase its dividend from 1% to 2% of net quarterly revenue starting in 2026, and if silver prices remain high, it is expected to provide significantly higher returns to shareholders, further boosting investor confidence.
- Gold Futures Rebound: March 2026 gold futures surged 5.9% to $4,912 per ounce, indicating a recovery in market sentiment after a three-day decline, with expectations of further increases to $7,500 in the future.
- Silver Futures Surge: March 2026 silver futures jumped 12.8% to $86.8 per ounce, reflecting a reassessment of prices by investors, with potential for silver to reach $300 by summer 2026.
- Market Sentiment Reset: Analyst Peter Fertig noted that the market was oversold following Trump's nomination of a new Fed chair, and the current rebound is attracting profit-taking investors back into the market, highlighting strong demand for precious metals.
- Mining Stocks Rise: The rebound in precious metal prices lifted shares of silver miners like First Majestic and Hecla Mining by around 5%, while gold miners Newmont and Barrick Gold saw increases of 4% and 5%, respectively, indicating optimistic sentiment towards mining stocks.











