AvidXchange To Go Private For 22% Premium In M&A Deal
Acquisition Announcement: AvidXchange Holdings, Inc. is set to be acquired by Corpay, Inc. and TPG Inc. for $10 per share, valuing the company at $2.2 billion, which represents a significant premium over its recent stock prices.
Future Prospects: The acquisition is expected to enhance Corpay's earnings starting in 2026, with plans for Corpay to potentially acquire full ownership of AvidXchange by 2028, allowing for strategic changes and profit growth.
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- Increased Pressure on Software Sector: The introduction of new AI tools by Anthropic has triggered a sell-off in software data provider shares, intensifying uncertainty in the private credit market, particularly regarding lending risks to software companies.
- Decline in Asset Management Stocks: Ares Management fell over 12%, Blue Owl Capital dropped more than 8%, and KKR and TPG saw declines of nearly 10% and 7%, respectively, reflecting investor concerns about AI's potential impact on cash flows and default risks.
- Rising Default Risks: UBS Group has warned that in an aggressive disruption scenario, default rates in U.S. private credit could rise to 13%, significantly higher than the projected stress for leveraged loans and high-yield bonds, estimated at 8% and 4%, respectively.
- Liquidity Issues Intensified: Although strains in private credit predate AI concerns, Jeffrey C. Hooke noted that existing liquidity and loan extension issues have been exacerbated by recent developments, adding new challenges to an already pressured sector.
- Market Capitalization Loss: The software sector's selloff has wiped out nearly $1 trillion in market capitalization, leading the Dow Jones US Asset Managers Index to decline nearly 5% this week, reflecting investor concerns over loan and leverage exposure.
- Declining Private Equity Deal Volumes: Morgan Stanley noted that technology services deal volumes account for nearly 21% of overall private equity activity, with TPG, Carlyle, and KKR slightly above this level, indicating weakened market confidence in software-related investments.
- Rising Loan Risks: Software borrowers are shouldering an average debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 7.4 times, significantly higher than the 5.9 times average across a $1 trillion loan pool studied by KBRA, highlighting the private credit market's heavy reliance on the software sector and its associated risks.
- Portfolio Review: Companies like Ares and KKR are reviewing their portfolios to assess the impact of AI on their software investments, demonstrating a cautious approach among asset managers in the face of market volatility.
- Transaction Size: TPG has agreed to acquire a majority stake in Sabre Industries for approximately $3.5 billion, valuing the company at this figure and highlighting strong interest in private markets for power infrastructure.
- Investment Return: The purchase price represents a fourfold increase on Blackstone's initial investment when it acquired Sabre in 2021, indicating significant growth potential in the power and communications infrastructure sector.
- Market Trends: The surge in demand for data centers driven by artificial intelligence and cloud computing places Sabre, a manufacturer of power infrastructure components, in a rapidly growing market that has attracted substantial private capital.
- Strategic Significance: Blackstone will retain a significant minority stake in Sabre, reflecting ongoing confidence in the power infrastructure market and leveraging an investment strategy focused on
- Acquisition Overview: TPG has agreed to acquire a majority stake in Sabre Industries through its TPG Rise Climate investing platform, which focuses on designing and manufacturing infrastructure for power and telecom companies and data centers, with the deal expected to close by Q2 2026.
- Strategic Investment Belief: TPG believes that investing in infrastructure companies that meet rising electricity demand and modernize the power grid will yield significant returns, as noted by TPG Partner Steven Mandel, emphasizing Sabre's leadership in transmission and distribution as central to these essential trends.
- Company Scale and Strength: Sabre employs approximately 2,800 people and boasts over 2.3 million square feet of purpose-built domestic manufacturing space, showcasing its robust production capacity and market position within the industry.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the deal, TPG's stock rose by 1.2%, while Blackstone's stock increased by 0.6%, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the transaction and recognition of future growth potential.

Majority Stake Acquisition: A firm is acquiring a majority stake in a power infrastructure company.
Valuation Details: The company is being valued at approximately $3.5 billion.

Deal Overview: A significant $3.5 billion deal has been announced for a power infrastructure firm, indicating a major investment in the energy sector.
Market Impact: The transaction is expected to influence market dynamics and potentially reshape the competitive landscape within the power infrastructure industry.
Strategic Importance: This deal highlights the growing importance of power infrastructure in the context of energy transition and sustainability efforts.
Future Prospects: Analysts suggest that this acquisition could lead to further consolidation in the industry, paving the way for new opportunities and challenges.








