Automakers Prepare for Decline in EV Sales Following Expiration of Tax Credit
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 01 2025
0mins
Source: WSJ
Impact of Expired Tax Credit: Automakers are facing challenges in selling electric vehicles (EVs) as the $7,500 tax credit that boosted sales has expired.
Predicted Market Decline: Ford's CEO, Jim Farley, forecasts that the EV market share could drop to between 4% and 5% of total sales by the end of the year without the tax incentive.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy F?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on F
Wall Street analysts forecast F stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for F is 13.65 USD with a low forecast of 11.00 USD and a high forecast of 16.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 13.800
Low
11.00
Averages
13.65
High
16.00
Current: 13.800
Low
11.00
Averages
13.65
High
16.00
About F
Ford Motor Company is an automobile company. The Company develops and delivers Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles, along with connected services. The Company’s segments include Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit. The Ford Blue segment primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. The Ford Model e segment primarily includes the sale of its electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. The Ford Pro segment primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, accessories, and services for commercial, government, and rental customers. The Ford Credit segment consists of the Ford Credit business on a consolidated basis, which is primarily vehicle-related financing and leasing activities. Its vehicle brands are Ford and Lincoln.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Seattle Seahawks Win Super Bowl, Dow Surpasses 50,000
- Market Surge: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged over 1,200 points on Friday, surpassing the 50,000 mark for the first time, closing the week up 2.5%, indicating a strong recovery in market sentiment despite earlier tech stock sell-offs.
- Bitcoin Rebound: Bitcoin rebounded above $70,000 on Friday, recovering from a sharp drop that nearly brought it below $60,000, reflecting a renewed confidence in the cryptocurrency market, although it remains over 50% off its all-time high.
- Super Bowl Advertising Boom: During the Super Bowl, NBC's average price for a 30-second ad reached $8 million, with some slots exceeding $10 million, highlighting strong demand in the advertising market, particularly from AI companies.
- Legal Battle Between Hims and Novo: Novo Nordisk is suing Hims & Hers over alleged copycat versions of its Wegovy obesity drug, leading Hims to announce the withdrawal of its product, which caused its shares to drop over 20% before the market opened.
See More
Seattle Seahawks Win Super Bowl with 29-13 Victory
- Market Surge: The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared over 1,200 points on Friday, surpassing the 50,000 mark for the first time, closing the week up 2.5%, indicating strong investor confidence despite a slight dip in futures trading this morning.
- Super Bowl Advertising Boom: NBC's 30-second ad spots averaged $8 million, with some exceeding $10 million, showcasing fierce competition in the advertising market as AI companies heavily invested in the event, highlighting the importance of brand visibility.
- Legal Action Intensifies: Novo Nordisk is suing Hims & Hers over its copycat weight-loss pills, leading Hims to announce the withdrawal of its product, resulting in a pre-market stock drop of over 20%, reflecting market sensitivity to legal risks.
- Meta Faces Major Trials: Meta is set to face two significant lawsuits in New Mexico and Los Angeles regarding the protection of child users and the mental health impacts on young users, which could have profound implications for its business and the social media industry.
See More
Detroit Automakers Face Challenge from Chinese EVs
- Intensifying Market Competition: Detroit automakers Ford and General Motors have been warned to reduce operations in China and focus on North America to counter the fierce competition from Chinese EV manufacturers, which could lead to a decline in their market share.
- Rise of Chinese EVs: Chinese EV makers are rapidly expanding globally, capturing nearly 10% of the European market with advanced technology and low prices, creating survival pressure for traditional automakers.
- Intellectual Property Sharing: Analysts emphasize that Detroit automakers need to learn from China's production models, particularly in terms of intellectual property sharing, to enhance their production efficiency and competitiveness, thereby avoiding market obsolescence.
- Potential Collaboration Opportunities: Ford is exploring partnerships with Chinese automakers, especially in the European market, which could provide new momentum for future growth and offer investors a long-term competitive advantage.
See More
3 Strategies to Calm Stock Market Anxiety Ahead of Key Jobs Report
Stock Market Outlook: The Super Bowl Indicator suggests a positive year for the stock market, particularly following the Seattle Seahawks' victory.
Investor Sentiment: Even skeptics of the Super Bowl Indicator can find reasons for optimism as the market approaches a significant January jobs report.
See More
U.S. Stock Futures Decline Amid Cautious Market Sentiment
- Market Sentiment Dips: Following a strong rebound on Friday, U.S. stock futures declined on Monday, reflecting cautious market sentiment amid concerns over upcoming economic data, particularly regarding inflation and labor market changes.
- Japanese Market Surge: The Nikkei 225 index broke the 57,000-point barrier for the first time, driven by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's landslide election victory and a high-profile endorsement from Trump, indicating a robust recovery in Japan that may attract more international investors.
- Stable Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury bond yield stood at 4.22%, while the two-year yield was at 3.50%, suggesting market expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy are stabilizing, with an 84.2% likelihood of rates remaining unchanged in March.
- Stock Dynamics: FedEx shares rose 0.47% after announcing plans to acquire InPost for €7.8 billion, showcasing a proactive business expansion strategy, while ON Semiconductor fell 1.38% as analysts expect quarterly earnings to miss expectations.
See More
Movers: Hims & Hers, Novo Nordisk, Micron, Kroger, STMicroelectronics, Nvidia, and Others
- Stock Market Trends: Stock futures were declining on Monday as investors expressed concerns about the sustainability of a recent relief rally.
- Investor Sentiment: There is a prevailing uncertainty among investors regarding the market's ability to maintain upward momentum following last week's gains.
See More
Seattle Seahawks Win Super Bowl, Dow Surpasses 50,000
- Market Surge: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged over 1,200 points on Friday, surpassing the 50,000 mark for the first time, closing the week up 2.5%, indicating a strong recovery in market sentiment despite earlier tech stock sell-offs.
- Bitcoin Rebound: Bitcoin rebounded above $70,000 on Friday, recovering from a sharp drop that nearly brought it below $60,000, reflecting a renewed confidence in the cryptocurrency market, although it remains over 50% off its all-time high.
- Super Bowl Advertising Boom: During the Super Bowl, NBC's average price for a 30-second ad reached $8 million, with some slots exceeding $10 million, highlighting strong demand in the advertising market, particularly from AI companies.
- Legal Battle Between Hims and Novo: Novo Nordisk is suing Hims & Hers over alleged copycat versions of its Wegovy obesity drug, leading Hims to announce the withdrawal of its product, which caused its shares to drop over 20% before the market opened.
See More
Seattle Seahawks Win Super Bowl with 29-13 Victory
- Market Surge: The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared over 1,200 points on Friday, surpassing the 50,000 mark for the first time, closing the week up 2.5%, indicating strong investor confidence despite a slight dip in futures trading this morning.
- Super Bowl Advertising Boom: NBC's 30-second ad spots averaged $8 million, with some exceeding $10 million, showcasing fierce competition in the advertising market as AI companies heavily invested in the event, highlighting the importance of brand visibility.
- Legal Action Intensifies: Novo Nordisk is suing Hims & Hers over its copycat weight-loss pills, leading Hims to announce the withdrawal of its product, resulting in a pre-market stock drop of over 20%, reflecting market sensitivity to legal risks.
- Meta Faces Major Trials: Meta is set to face two significant lawsuits in New Mexico and Los Angeles regarding the protection of child users and the mental health impacts on young users, which could have profound implications for its business and the social media industry.
See More
Detroit Automakers Face Challenge from Chinese EVs
- Intensifying Market Competition: Detroit automakers Ford and General Motors have been warned to reduce operations in China and focus on North America to counter the fierce competition from Chinese EV manufacturers, which could lead to a decline in their market share.
- Rise of Chinese EVs: Chinese EV makers are rapidly expanding globally, capturing nearly 10% of the European market with advanced technology and low prices, creating survival pressure for traditional automakers.
- Intellectual Property Sharing: Analysts emphasize that Detroit automakers need to learn from China's production models, particularly in terms of intellectual property sharing, to enhance their production efficiency and competitiveness, thereby avoiding market obsolescence.
- Potential Collaboration Opportunities: Ford is exploring partnerships with Chinese automakers, especially in the European market, which could provide new momentum for future growth and offer investors a long-term competitive advantage.
See More
3 Strategies to Calm Stock Market Anxiety Ahead of Key Jobs Report
Stock Market Outlook: The Super Bowl Indicator suggests a positive year for the stock market, particularly following the Seattle Seahawks' victory.
Investor Sentiment: Even skeptics of the Super Bowl Indicator can find reasons for optimism as the market approaches a significant January jobs report.
See More
U.S. Stock Futures Decline Amid Cautious Market Sentiment
- Market Sentiment Dips: Following a strong rebound on Friday, U.S. stock futures declined on Monday, reflecting cautious market sentiment amid concerns over upcoming economic data, particularly regarding inflation and labor market changes.
- Japanese Market Surge: The Nikkei 225 index broke the 57,000-point barrier for the first time, driven by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's landslide election victory and a high-profile endorsement from Trump, indicating a robust recovery in Japan that may attract more international investors.
- Stable Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury bond yield stood at 4.22%, while the two-year yield was at 3.50%, suggesting market expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy are stabilizing, with an 84.2% likelihood of rates remaining unchanged in March.
- Stock Dynamics: FedEx shares rose 0.47% after announcing plans to acquire InPost for €7.8 billion, showcasing a proactive business expansion strategy, while ON Semiconductor fell 1.38% as analysts expect quarterly earnings to miss expectations.
See More
Movers: Hims & Hers, Novo Nordisk, Micron, Kroger, STMicroelectronics, Nvidia, and Others
- Stock Market Trends: Stock futures were declining on Monday as investors expressed concerns about the sustainability of a recent relief rally.
- Investor Sentiment: There is a prevailing uncertainty among investors regarding the market's ability to maintain upward momentum following last week's gains.
See More
