Austin Housing Market Cools Down Amid Seller Surplus
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy RKT?
Source: Newsfilter
- Supply-Demand Imbalance: Redfin reports that Austin's housing market has a staggering 128% more sellers than buyers, granting buyers significant negotiating power and indicating a softening market with a buyer-friendly environment.
- Extended Listing Times: In December 2022, the typical home in Austin spent 106 days on the market, up from 91 days a year earlier, marking the slowest December since 2012 and highlighting a notable decline in market activity.
- Declining Home Prices: Austin's median home sale price dropped 4.2% year-over-year in December, ranking third among the top 50 metros for price declines, with many sellers facing losses, reflecting the pressures of market correction.
- Cautious Buyer Sentiment: Despite the market shift favoring buyers, many prospective homeowners remain on the sidelines, opting to continue renting until mortgage rates fall below 5%, indicating concerns over high monthly payments associated with homeownership.
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Analyst Views on RKT
Wall Street analysts forecast RKT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RKT is 22.18 USD with a low forecast of 18.00 USD and a high forecast of 25.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 19.200
Low
18.00
Averages
22.18
High
25.00
Current: 19.200
Low
18.00
Averages
22.18
High
25.00
About RKT
Rocket Companies, Inc. is a fintech platform including mortgage, real estate and personal finance businesses: Rocket Mortgage, Redfin, Mr. Cooper, Rocket Homes, Rocket Close, Rocket Money, and Rocket Loans. The Company's full suite of products empowers its clients across financial wellness, personal loans, home search, mortgage finance, title and closing. Through these businesses, it delivers client solutions leveraging its Rocket platform. It operates in two segments: Direct to Consumer and Partner Network. In the Direct to Consumer segment, clients have the ability to interact with Rocket Mortgage digitally and/or with the Company's mortgage bankers. It provides client service and leverages its brand to strengthen its wholesale relationships, through Rocket Pro, as well as enterprise partnerships, both driving growth in its Partner Network segment. The Company's capabilities span the entirety of homeownership, such as home search, financing, title, closing and servicing.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Ad Theme: Rocket and Redfin's Super Bowl ad titled 'America Needs Neighbors Like You' tells the story of two girls from different backgrounds, emphasizing the importance of empathy and human connection in communities, aiming to inspire Americans to value neighborhood relationships.
- Family Relocation Trends: Nearly 40% of households with children relocate, with 20% moving due to major family transitions, highlighting the emotional impact on teens, as over 60% of parents report their children experience social anxiety around moving.
- Neighborhood Relationship Status: While only a quarter of Americans can name most of their neighbors, nearly 70% have helped or received help from a neighbor in the past year, indicating the potential value of neighborhood relationships.
- Homeownership Impact: 71% of homeowners report a stronger sense of community, with Rocket and Redfin emphasizing that homeownership is not just a transaction but a crucial foundation for community stability and neighborliness.
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Cost Comparison for Seattle and Boston Fans Attending the Big Game
- Cost Analysis: Seattle and Boston fans face costs of $12,681 and $13,031 respectively to attend the game, which equates to 2.8 times and 3.1 times their monthly mortgage payments, highlighting the financial strain of travel expenses on household budgets.
- Housing Cost Pressure: The median monthly mortgage payment is $4,528 in Seattle and $4,228 in Boston, indicating that typical households must allocate half of their income to mortgage payments, significantly exceeding the 30% rule of thumb and limiting discretionary spending.
- Value of Experience: Redfin's chief economist notes that while the cost of attending the game is equivalent to several months' mortgage payments, for fans who prioritize experiences, such spending can be rational if it fits within their budget, illustrating the K-shaped economy phenomenon.
- Economic Uncertainty Impact: Persistently high mortgage rates and rental prices make it difficult for many Americans to afford housing, exacerbating concerns over large expenditures, especially amid economic uncertainty.
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Cost Analysis for Seattle and Boston Fans Traveling to the Big Game
- High Travel Costs: Seattle fans traveling to the game face costs of approximately $12,681, equivalent to three months of mortgage payments, highlighting the financial strain of attending major events.
- Heavy Rent Burden: Seattle renters are spending the equivalent of half a year's rent, while Boston renters are paying over four months' rent, illustrating the impact of high rental costs on fans' travel decisions.
- Significant Economic Pressure: In both Seattle and Boston, typical households must allocate half of their income to mortgage payments, far exceeding the 30% guideline, which restricts discretionary spending, particularly for large events.
- Experience Value Assessment: Redfin's chief economist notes that while travel costs are steep, for some fans, spending several months' housing payments for a memorable experience feels rational, reflecting the K-shaped economic divide in today's society.
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- Market Context: Nearly 40% of households with children relocate at some point, with one-in-five moving due to major family transitions, highlighting the emotional challenges families face, particularly teens who often experience social anxiety around moving.
- Community Connection: While only a quarter of Americans know most of their neighbors by name, nearly 70% have helped or received help from a neighbor in the past year, indicating that building neighborly relationships is crucial for fostering a sense of belonging in communities.
- Impact of Homeownership: The Chief Marketing Officer of Rocket emphasizes that homeownership is more than a transaction; it is foundational for community thriving, with 71% of homeowners reporting a strong sense of community, illustrating the interdependence of stability and neighborliness.
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Austin Housing Market Slows to 106 Days on Market
- Market Slowdown: According to a report from Redfin, the typical home in Austin, TX, spent 106 days on the market in December, up from 91 days a year earlier, marking the slowest December since 2012 and indicating a significant market slowdown.
- National Comparison: Nationwide, the typical home under contract in December took 60 days, an increase of 6 days from the previous year, reflecting a general weakness in the real estate market amid growing economic uncertainty.
- Buyer Advantage: Homebuyers in Austin are gaining more bargaining power as the market slows, with many able to make offers below the listing price, highlighting a supply-demand imbalance where there were 128% more sellers than buyers in December.
- Price Decline: The median home sale price in Austin dropped 4.2% year-over-year in December, the third-largest decline among the top 50 metros, with many sellers facing losses, reflecting market adjustments and buyer resistance to high prices.
See More
Austin Housing Market Cools Down Amid Seller Surplus
- Supply-Demand Imbalance: Redfin reports that Austin's housing market has a staggering 128% more sellers than buyers, granting buyers significant negotiating power and indicating a softening market with a buyer-friendly environment.
- Extended Listing Times: In December 2022, the typical home in Austin spent 106 days on the market, up from 91 days a year earlier, marking the slowest December since 2012 and highlighting a notable decline in market activity.
- Declining Home Prices: Austin's median home sale price dropped 4.2% year-over-year in December, ranking third among the top 50 metros for price declines, with many sellers facing losses, reflecting the pressures of market correction.
- Cautious Buyer Sentiment: Despite the market shift favoring buyers, many prospective homeowners remain on the sidelines, opting to continue renting until mortgage rates fall below 5%, indicating concerns over high monthly payments associated with homeownership.
See More
The Importance of Neighborhood Relationships
- Ad Theme: Rocket and Redfin's Super Bowl ad titled 'America Needs Neighbors Like You' tells the story of two girls from different backgrounds, emphasizing the importance of empathy and human connection in communities, aiming to inspire Americans to value neighborhood relationships.
- Family Relocation Trends: Nearly 40% of households with children relocate, with 20% moving due to major family transitions, highlighting the emotional impact on teens, as over 60% of parents report their children experience social anxiety around moving.
- Neighborhood Relationship Status: While only a quarter of Americans can name most of their neighbors, nearly 70% have helped or received help from a neighbor in the past year, indicating the potential value of neighborhood relationships.
- Homeownership Impact: 71% of homeowners report a stronger sense of community, with Rocket and Redfin emphasizing that homeownership is not just a transaction but a crucial foundation for community stability and neighborliness.
See More
Cost Comparison for Seattle and Boston Fans Attending the Big Game
- Cost Analysis: Seattle and Boston fans face costs of $12,681 and $13,031 respectively to attend the game, which equates to 2.8 times and 3.1 times their monthly mortgage payments, highlighting the financial strain of travel expenses on household budgets.
- Housing Cost Pressure: The median monthly mortgage payment is $4,528 in Seattle and $4,228 in Boston, indicating that typical households must allocate half of their income to mortgage payments, significantly exceeding the 30% rule of thumb and limiting discretionary spending.
- Value of Experience: Redfin's chief economist notes that while the cost of attending the game is equivalent to several months' mortgage payments, for fans who prioritize experiences, such spending can be rational if it fits within their budget, illustrating the K-shaped economy phenomenon.
- Economic Uncertainty Impact: Persistently high mortgage rates and rental prices make it difficult for many Americans to afford housing, exacerbating concerns over large expenditures, especially amid economic uncertainty.
See More
Cost Analysis for Seattle and Boston Fans Traveling to the Big Game
- High Travel Costs: Seattle fans traveling to the game face costs of approximately $12,681, equivalent to three months of mortgage payments, highlighting the financial strain of attending major events.
- Heavy Rent Burden: Seattle renters are spending the equivalent of half a year's rent, while Boston renters are paying over four months' rent, illustrating the impact of high rental costs on fans' travel decisions.
- Significant Economic Pressure: In both Seattle and Boston, typical households must allocate half of their income to mortgage payments, far exceeding the 30% guideline, which restricts discretionary spending, particularly for large events.
- Experience Value Assessment: Redfin's chief economist notes that while travel costs are steep, for some fans, spending several months' housing payments for a memorable experience feels rational, reflecting the K-shaped economic divide in today's society.
See More
Rocket and Redfin Launch Super Bowl Ad Highlighting Community Values
- Ad Theme: Rocket Companies and Redfin's Super Bowl ad, titled 'America Needs Neighbors Like You,' tells the story of two girls from different backgrounds, showcasing the resilience of human connections and the importance of neighborly support in building strong communities.
- Market Context: Nearly 40% of households with children relocate at some point, with one-in-five moving due to major family transitions, highlighting the emotional challenges families face, particularly teens who often experience social anxiety around moving.
- Community Connection: While only a quarter of Americans know most of their neighbors by name, nearly 70% have helped or received help from a neighbor in the past year, indicating that building neighborly relationships is crucial for fostering a sense of belonging in communities.
- Impact of Homeownership: The Chief Marketing Officer of Rocket emphasizes that homeownership is more than a transaction; it is foundational for community thriving, with 71% of homeowners reporting a strong sense of community, illustrating the interdependence of stability and neighborliness.
See More
Austin Housing Market Slows to 106 Days on Market
- Market Slowdown: According to a report from Redfin, the typical home in Austin, TX, spent 106 days on the market in December, up from 91 days a year earlier, marking the slowest December since 2012 and indicating a significant market slowdown.
- National Comparison: Nationwide, the typical home under contract in December took 60 days, an increase of 6 days from the previous year, reflecting a general weakness in the real estate market amid growing economic uncertainty.
- Buyer Advantage: Homebuyers in Austin are gaining more bargaining power as the market slows, with many able to make offers below the listing price, highlighting a supply-demand imbalance where there were 128% more sellers than buyers in December.
- Price Decline: The median home sale price in Austin dropped 4.2% year-over-year in December, the third-largest decline among the top 50 metros, with many sellers facing losses, reflecting market adjustments and buyer resistance to high prices.
See More
Austin Housing Market Cools Down Amid Seller Surplus
- Supply-Demand Imbalance: Redfin reports that Austin's housing market has a staggering 128% more sellers than buyers, granting buyers significant negotiating power and indicating a softening market with a buyer-friendly environment.
- Extended Listing Times: In December 2022, the typical home in Austin spent 106 days on the market, up from 91 days a year earlier, marking the slowest December since 2012 and highlighting a notable decline in market activity.
- Declining Home Prices: Austin's median home sale price dropped 4.2% year-over-year in December, ranking third among the top 50 metros for price declines, with many sellers facing losses, reflecting the pressures of market correction.
- Cautious Buyer Sentiment: Despite the market shift favoring buyers, many prospective homeowners remain on the sidelines, opting to continue renting until mortgage rates fall below 5%, indicating concerns over high monthly payments associated with homeownership.
See More
