ATI Inc. Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and 2026 Guidance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5d ago
0mins
Should l Buy ATI?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Financial Performance: ATI reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $232 million, with margins expanding to 19.7%, reflecting a 180 basis point increase from the previous year, showcasing robust performance in aerospace and defense markets.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a midpoint adjusted EBITDA of $1 billion for 2026, representing a 16% year-over-year increase, and plans to achieve mid-teens growth in aerospace and defense, indicating sustained strong market demand.
- Capital Investment Plans: ATI plans to invest between $220 million and $240 million in 2026, focusing on projects like a new VIM furnace and remelt equipment, which are expected to generate $350 million in nickel revenue by mid-2028, further enhancing market competitiveness.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: In 2025, ATI repurchased $470 million in shares and repaid $150 million in debt in Q4, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing financial stability while creating value for shareholders.
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Analyst Views on ATI
Wall Street analysts forecast ATI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATI is 123.00 USD with a low forecast of 120.00 USD and a high forecast of 135.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 128.670
Low
120.00
Averages
123.00
High
135.00
Current: 128.670
Low
120.00
Averages
123.00
High
135.00
About ATI
ATI Inc. is a global manufacturer of technically advanced specialty materials and complex components. The Company produces specialty materials, highly differentiated by its materials science expertise and advanced process technologies. It produces high-performance materials and solutions for the global aerospace and defense markets, and has critical applications in electronics, medical and specialty energy. The Company’s segment includes High Performance Materials & Components (HPMC) and Advanced Alloys & Solutions (AA&S). The HPMC segment produces a wide range of high-performance materials, components, and advanced metallic powder alloys. These products are made from nickel-based alloys and superalloys, titanium and titanium-based alloys, and a variety of other specialty materials. The AA&S segment produces nickel-based alloys, titanium and titanium-based alloys, and specialty alloys in a variety of forms, including plate, sheet, and strip products.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
ATI Inc. Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and 2026 Guidance
- Strong Financial Performance: ATI reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $232 million, with margins expanding to 19.7%, reflecting a 180 basis point increase from the previous year, showcasing robust performance in aerospace and defense markets.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a midpoint adjusted EBITDA of $1 billion for 2026, representing a 16% year-over-year increase, and plans to achieve mid-teens growth in aerospace and defense, indicating sustained strong market demand.
- Capital Investment Plans: ATI plans to invest between $220 million and $240 million in 2026, focusing on projects like a new VIM furnace and remelt equipment, which are expected to generate $350 million in nickel revenue by mid-2028, further enhancing market competitiveness.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: In 2025, ATI repurchased $470 million in shares and repaid $150 million in debt in Q4, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing financial stability while creating value for shareholders.
See More
ATI Reports Q4 2025 Earnings with Mixed Results
- Earnings Beat: ATI's Q4 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $0.93 exceeded expectations by $0.06, indicating robust profitability despite revenue falling short of projections.
- Revenue Growth Stalls: The company reported Q4 revenue of $1.18 billion, a 0.9% year-over-year increase, yet it missed expectations by $10 million, reflecting a softening market demand.
- Aerospace & Defense Market Share Growth: Sales to the aerospace and defense sector accounted for 68% of Q4 sales, up from 65% in Q4 2024, suggesting an expanding market share that enhances future growth prospects.
- Significant Cash Flow Improvement: Adjusted free cash flow for fiscal year 2025 reached $380 million, a 53% increase over fiscal year 2024, providing stronger financial support for future investments and operations.
See More
ATI Reports $4.6 Billion in Annual Sales for 2025
- Annual Sales Growth: ATI achieved $4.6 billion in sales for 2025, marking the highest total since 2012, indicating strong demand in aerospace and defense markets, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $231.9 million, representing 19.7% of sales; although it showed a year-over-year decline, it still reflects the company's ongoing efforts in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns: Operating cash flow for 2025 reached $614 million, increasing over 50% year-over-year, enabling the company to repurchase $470 million in shares while repaying $150 million in debt, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Future Outlook: The company's guidance for fiscal year 2026 is optimistic, projecting adjusted earnings per share between $0.83 and $0.89, reflecting confidence in sustained demand in core markets, which may further boost investor sentiment.
See More
ATI Reports Record Annual Sales and Earnings for Fiscal Year 2025
- Record Sales Achievement: ATI's fiscal year 2025 sales reached $4.6 billion, marking the highest total since Q4 2012, indicating robust demand in the aerospace and defense markets, which is expected to further drive revenue growth in the future.
- Significant Net Income Growth: The net income for fiscal year 2025 was $404 million, with earnings per share at $2.85, reflecting a 10% and 12% increase from 2024, respectively, showcasing the company's improving profitability and competitive strength in the market.
- Strong Cash Flow Performance: Operating cash flow for fiscal year 2025 was $614 million, over 50% higher than in 2024, providing the company with the capital to repurchase $470 million in shares and repay $150 million in debt, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: ATI projects adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2026 to be between $975 million and $1.025 billion, reflecting confidence in sustained demand in core markets and plans to drive higher earnings and cash flows through strong operational execution.
See More
ATI Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 3rd
- Earnings Announcement Date: ATI is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 3rd before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.87, reflecting a 10.1% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvement in profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.19 billion, representing a slight decline of 0.8% year-over-year; while this indicates a minor drop, it still shows the company's ability to maintain stable revenue levels in a competitive market, reflecting its adaptability.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, ATI has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, which may bolster investor confidence and provide support for the stock price due to its strong performance track record.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting analysts maintain an optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially attracting more investor interest.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Lower on Friday, Dow Jones Falls 0.2%
- Market Performance Review: U.S. stocks closed mostly lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones falling approximately 0.2% to 49,359.33, indicating investor caution and contributing to a generally bearish market sentiment.
- Weekly Loss Overview: Last week, the S&P 500 dropped 0.4%, the Dow lost 0.3%, and the Nasdaq declined 0.7%, illustrating ongoing market pressure amid economic uncertainties that have affected investor confidence.
- Analyst Rating Dynamics: Benzinga's Analyst Ratings API offers high-quality stock ratings, and while the accuracy of market analysts varies, the platform's rating changes can provide valuable trading signals, aiding investors in making informed decisions in a volatile market.
- Stock Recommendation Updates: Analyst Ruben Roy maintained a Buy rating on nLIGHT Inc, raising the price target from $40 to $45, indicating an expected upside of about 3%, reflecting optimism regarding the company's future performance.
See More
ATI Inc. Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and 2026 Guidance
- Strong Financial Performance: ATI reported Q4 2025 revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $232 million, with margins expanding to 19.7%, reflecting a 180 basis point increase from the previous year, showcasing robust performance in aerospace and defense markets.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates a midpoint adjusted EBITDA of $1 billion for 2026, representing a 16% year-over-year increase, and plans to achieve mid-teens growth in aerospace and defense, indicating sustained strong market demand.
- Capital Investment Plans: ATI plans to invest between $220 million and $240 million in 2026, focusing on projects like a new VIM furnace and remelt equipment, which are expected to generate $350 million in nickel revenue by mid-2028, further enhancing market competitiveness.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: In 2025, ATI repurchased $470 million in shares and repaid $150 million in debt in Q4, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing financial stability while creating value for shareholders.
See More
ATI Reports Q4 2025 Earnings with Mixed Results
- Earnings Beat: ATI's Q4 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $0.93 exceeded expectations by $0.06, indicating robust profitability despite revenue falling short of projections.
- Revenue Growth Stalls: The company reported Q4 revenue of $1.18 billion, a 0.9% year-over-year increase, yet it missed expectations by $10 million, reflecting a softening market demand.
- Aerospace & Defense Market Share Growth: Sales to the aerospace and defense sector accounted for 68% of Q4 sales, up from 65% in Q4 2024, suggesting an expanding market share that enhances future growth prospects.
- Significant Cash Flow Improvement: Adjusted free cash flow for fiscal year 2025 reached $380 million, a 53% increase over fiscal year 2024, providing stronger financial support for future investments and operations.
See More
ATI Reports $4.6 Billion in Annual Sales for 2025
- Annual Sales Growth: ATI achieved $4.6 billion in sales for 2025, marking the highest total since 2012, indicating strong demand in aerospace and defense markets, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $231.9 million, representing 19.7% of sales; although it showed a year-over-year decline, it still reflects the company's ongoing efforts in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns: Operating cash flow for 2025 reached $614 million, increasing over 50% year-over-year, enabling the company to repurchase $470 million in shares while repaying $150 million in debt, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Future Outlook: The company's guidance for fiscal year 2026 is optimistic, projecting adjusted earnings per share between $0.83 and $0.89, reflecting confidence in sustained demand in core markets, which may further boost investor sentiment.
See More
ATI Reports Record Annual Sales and Earnings for Fiscal Year 2025
- Record Sales Achievement: ATI's fiscal year 2025 sales reached $4.6 billion, marking the highest total since Q4 2012, indicating robust demand in the aerospace and defense markets, which is expected to further drive revenue growth in the future.
- Significant Net Income Growth: The net income for fiscal year 2025 was $404 million, with earnings per share at $2.85, reflecting a 10% and 12% increase from 2024, respectively, showcasing the company's improving profitability and competitive strength in the market.
- Strong Cash Flow Performance: Operating cash flow for fiscal year 2025 was $614 million, over 50% higher than in 2024, providing the company with the capital to repurchase $470 million in shares and repay $150 million in debt, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: ATI projects adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2026 to be between $975 million and $1.025 billion, reflecting confidence in sustained demand in core markets and plans to drive higher earnings and cash flows through strong operational execution.
See More
ATI Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 3rd
- Earnings Announcement Date: ATI is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 3rd before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.87, reflecting a 10.1% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvement in profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.19 billion, representing a slight decline of 0.8% year-over-year; while this indicates a minor drop, it still shows the company's ability to maintain stable revenue levels in a competitive market, reflecting its adaptability.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, ATI has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, which may bolster investor confidence and provide support for the stock price due to its strong performance track record.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting analysts maintain an optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, potentially attracting more investor interest.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Lower on Friday, Dow Jones Falls 0.2%
- Market Performance Review: U.S. stocks closed mostly lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones falling approximately 0.2% to 49,359.33, indicating investor caution and contributing to a generally bearish market sentiment.
- Weekly Loss Overview: Last week, the S&P 500 dropped 0.4%, the Dow lost 0.3%, and the Nasdaq declined 0.7%, illustrating ongoing market pressure amid economic uncertainties that have affected investor confidence.
- Analyst Rating Dynamics: Benzinga's Analyst Ratings API offers high-quality stock ratings, and while the accuracy of market analysts varies, the platform's rating changes can provide valuable trading signals, aiding investors in making informed decisions in a volatile market.
- Stock Recommendation Updates: Analyst Ruben Roy maintained a Buy rating on nLIGHT Inc, raising the price target from $40 to $45, indicating an expected upside of about 3%, reflecting optimism regarding the company's future performance.
See More
