Asia stocks dip as tech losses weigh, China stimulus cheer wanes By Investing.com
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 16 2024
0mins
Should l Buy TSM?
Source: Investing.com
Asian Stock Market Decline: Most Asian stocks fell, particularly in the technology sector, following a weak outlook from ASML, a key chipmaker, which led to significant losses in major markets like Japan and South Korea.
Chinese Economic Concerns: Optimism over potential Chinese stimulus measures diminished as the government failed to provide clear details, coupled with weak economic indicators, leading to further declines in Chinese stock indexes.
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Analyst Views on TSM
Wall Street analysts forecast TSM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TSM is 313.46 USD with a low forecast of 63.24 USD and a high forecast of 390.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 348.850
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
Current: 348.850
Low
63.24
Averages
313.46
High
390.00
About TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based integrated circuit foundry service provider. The Company is primarily engaged in integrated circuit manufacturing services. It offers advanced process technologies, specialised process solutions, advanced photomask and silicon stacking, and packaging-related technologies, while supporting a comprehensive design ecosystem. The Company's products serve diverse electronic sectors including artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, wired and wireless communications, automotive and industrial equipment, personal computing, information applications, consumer electronics, smart internet of things, and wearable devices.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: TSMC's Q4 revenue reached $33.73 billion, reflecting a 25.5% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong demand in the semiconductor market and reinforcing its leadership position.
- Strong Profit Margins: The company reported a profit margin of 48.3%, indicating its competitive advantage in high-end chip manufacturing, effectively controlling costs while achieving high returns.
- Advanced Process Technology: In 2023, over half of TSMC's revenue came from chips larger than 7nm, with significant increases in the production of 3nm and 5nm chips, as 3nm chips accounted for 28% of total shipments, showcasing ongoing investment in technological innovation.
- Robust Market Demand: With the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technologies, TSMC is experiencing increasing customer demand, solidifying its status as the world's largest chip foundry and is expected to benefit from the growth in AI infrastructure investments.
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- Market Growth Potential: According to Fortune Business Insights, the AI market is projected to grow from $375.9 billion this year to $2.48 trillion by 2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of 26.6%, which presents significant opportunities for related companies.
- TSMC's Industry Position: As the world's largest semiconductor foundry, TSMC produced over 11,800 products across 288 different processes in 2024, demonstrating its unparalleled influence and customer base in the industry.
- Strong Financial Performance: TSMC reported fourth-quarter revenue of $33.73 billion, a 25.5% increase year-over-year, with a profit margin of 48.3%, indicating robust profitability in a rapidly growing market.
- Technological Advancements and Market Demand: TSMC derived over half of its revenue from chips larger than 7 nanometers in 2023, but has significantly increased production of 3nm and 5nm chips, which now account for 28% and 35% of total shipments respectively, showcasing its agility in adapting to technological advancements and market demand shifts.
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- Semiconductor Capacity Statement: Taiwan's Vice Premier Cheng Li-chiun stated that moving 40% of semiconductor manufacturing capacity to the U.S. is impossible, highlighting Taiwan's critical role in the global semiconductor supply chain and potentially impacting U.S. tech strategies.
- International Investment Strategy: Cheng emphasized that Taiwan's international expansion and investments in the U.S. will be based on the premise of continued domestic investment, indicating Taiwan's strategic autonomy in the global market and commitment to its local economy.
- Workday CEO Transition: Workday announced the immediate return of co-founder Aneel Bhusri as CEO, succeeding Carl Eschenbach, which underscores the company's focus on leadership during the AI era and may influence market performance and shareholder confidence.
- AppLovin Report Retraction: Capitalwatch retracted a negative report on AppLovin, acknowledging significant inaccuracies, which not only helps restore Hao Tang's reputation but could also positively impact AppLovin's stock price.
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- Resignation Pressure: U.S. Representative Thomas Massie's public demand for Secretary of Commerce Lutnick's resignation, citing his ties to Jeffrey Epstein, indicates increasing political pressure that could jeopardize Lutnick's position stability.
- Market Prediction Shift: On Polymarket, Lutnick's likelihood of leaving the administration in 2026 is rated at 53%, closely aligning with Kash Patel's 55%, reflecting heightened uncertainty in the market that may affect investor confidence.
- Economic Policy Impact: As a key advocate for Trump's economic policies, Lutnick's departure could directly impact ongoing tariff policies and the review of the USMCA, thereby influencing the operational environment for affected companies.
- Investor Attention: Lutnick's oversight of converting CHIPS Act grants into direct government equity, including a 9.9% stake in Intel, suggests that his exit could provide immediate relief for companies currently burdened by his trade agenda.
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- Strong January Performance: The VanEck Semiconductor ETF surged 12% in January, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.5% increase, indicating a robust recovery in the semiconductor sector and heightened investor confidence.
- Key Holdings Contribution: Among the ETF's top ten holdings, Micron Technology led with a 45.4% stock price increase in January, primarily driven by strong demand for memory chips, which boosted the overall ETF performance.
- Strong Earnings Expectations: Nvidia, the ETF's largest holding at 18.3%, is set to report earnings on February 25, with management guiding for quarterly revenue of $65 billion, a 65% year-over-year growth, which could serve as a significant catalyst for future ETF performance.
- Exceptional Long-Term Returns: As of February 6, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF has delivered a 62.2% return over the past year, quadrupling the S&P 500's 15.4% return, underscoring its investment value in the AI and semiconductor sectors.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: CGDG's 52-week low is $27.6186 and high is $37.3794, with the latest trade at $37.35, indicating price stability near the high point, which may influence investor buying decisions.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest stock price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF shares outstanding focuses on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and market sentiment.
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