Analysts ‘Cautious About Near-Term Volatility’ In AI Demand on Lackluster Nvidia Upgrade
Near-term AI Hardware Demand Concerns: Daiwa analysts express caution regarding the near-term volatility of AI hardware demand following Computex 2025, noting a lack of strong indicators for demand growth and limited advancements in Nvidia's server offerings.
Long-term Optimism Amidst Caution: Despite short-term concerns, the analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook for AI computing demand, driven by ongoing developments in agentic and physical AI, while highlighting potential risks for companies like AMD, IBM, and Dell if demand remains low.
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- Amazon's Poor Performance: Currently, Amazon's stock is down 2.4%, with a year-to-date decline of 11.1%, indicating market concerns about its future growth prospects, which may affect investor confidence and lead to capital outflows.
- IBM Stock Fluctuation: International Business Machines (IBM) shares are down 1.9%, highlighting challenges in the current market environment that could impact its future investment appeal and market share.
- Microsoft's Resilience: In contrast to Amazon, Microsoft shares are up 1.9%, indicating relative strength in the market, which may attract more investor interest in its growth potential.
- Dow Component Dynamics: The stock movements of Amazon, IBM, and Microsoft reflect varying performances among Dow components, prompting investors to monitor how these changes affect overall market sentiment.

- CFO Departure: Kyndryl Holdings' chief financial officer is leaving the company amid an ongoing accounting review.
- Earnings Report: The company reported weaker-than-expected earnings, contributing to a decline in its stock price.
- Musk Ordered to Testify: A federal judge has ruled that Elon Musk must testify regarding his role in dismantling USAID, rejecting his legal team's attempt to avoid questioning, which could impact Musk's reputation and future business endeavors.
- Alphabet Beats Earnings Estimates: Alphabet reported fourth-quarter revenue of $113.83 billion, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of $111.31 billion, with earnings per share of $2.82 exceeding expectations of $2.63, indicating strong performance in advertising and cloud services that may drive stock price increases.
- Amazon Delivery Milestone: Amazon announced it delivered over 13 billion items globally in 2025, with more than 8 billion items reaching U.S. Prime members the same or next day, a speed enhancement that will further strengthen its competitive position in the e-commerce market.
- Tesla's New Model Launch: Tesla unveiled a new All-Wheel Drive variant of the Model Y in the U.S. and Puerto Rico following Elon Musk's announcement of discontinuing the Model S and X, which could attract more consumers and enhance market share.
- Investment Return Potential: A $5,000 investment in Amazon in early 2003 would now be worth approximately $1.25 million, illustrating the wealth-building potential of investing in emerging industries, with IonQ as a leading small player in quantum computing hoping to achieve similar returns.
- Technological Breakthroughs and Market Competition: IonQ achieved 99.99% 2-qubit gate fidelity last year, representing a 10 billion times improvement over past standards, and despite competition from tech giants like Alphabet and IBM, IonQ's advancements in quantum computing technology remain significant.
- Financial Status and Profitability Challenges: IonQ reported $68 million in revenue for the first nine months of 2025, a 117% increase year-over-year, yet it faces $406 million in operating losses, highlighting severe profitability challenges, and with less than $1.1 billion in liquidity, it may need to dilute shares or incur debt to sustain operations.
- Investment Risk Assessment: For a $5,000 investment to grow to $1 million, IonQ's market cap must increase from $12.5 billion to $2.5 trillion; while this target is below Alphabet's $4 trillion market cap, IonQ's financial losses and market competition significantly diminish the likelihood of achieving such a goal.
- Infrastructure Demand Surge: Fluor is expected to see a nearly 4% revenue decline in 2024, yet the urgency of infrastructure projects makes investing in FLR stock appealing, particularly as the demand for nuclear facility construction is set to triple by 2050 in the U.S.
- Cybersecurity Market Expansion: Palo Alto Networks reported a record 3,322 data breaches in 2022, a 79% increase from 2020, highlighting strong demand for its cybersecurity services, with projected revenue growth of 14% this year and 13% next year, indicating sustained market leadership.
- IBM's AI Transformation: IBM achieved a 12% year-over-year revenue growth last quarter, primarily driven by sales of AI-capable mainframes and software, particularly strong in automation and data management, showcasing its enhanced competitiveness in the artificial intelligence race.
- Investment Risks and Returns: While Fluor did not make the Motley Fool's list of top stocks, its potential in infrastructure and nuclear energy warrants consideration, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty, prompting investors to weigh risks against potential returns.










