AMPL Options Analysis: $10.00 Put Contract Offers Attractive Yield
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 16 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AMPL?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $10.00 put option is 35 cents, allowing investors to sell-to-open and commit to buying shares at $10.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $9.65, which is attractive compared to the current market price of $10.06, representing a 1% discount.
- Yield Potential: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield a 3.50% return on cash commitment, equating to an annualized yield of 36.50%, highlighting the potential profitability of this strategy.
- Call Option Opportunity: The $11.00 call option has a current bid of 20 cents, and if investors buy AMPL shares at $10.06 and sell this call, they could achieve an 11.33% total return if the stock is called away, although they risk missing out on further upside.
- Risk Assessment: Current analytics indicate a 55% chance of the $10.00 put expiring worthless and a 61% chance for the $11.00 call, suggesting investors should monitor these probabilities to refine their investment strategies.
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Analyst Views on AMPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AMPL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMPL is 15.00 USD with a low forecast of 13.00 USD and a high forecast of 18.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 7.310
Low
13.00
Averages
15.00
High
18.00
Current: 7.310
Low
13.00
Averages
15.00
High
18.00
About AMPL
Amplitude, Inc. provides a digital analytics platform that helps companies unlock the power of their products. The Company’s Digital Analytics Platform helps businesses understand how people are using their products so they can build digital experiences. Its platform comprises several primary offerings: Amplitude Analytics, Amplitude Session Replay, Amplitude Feature Experimentation, Amplitude Web Experimentation, Amplitude Activation and Amplitude Guides and Surveys. Amplitude Analytics is the cornerstone of the platform and provides real-time insights into user behavior. Amplitude Activation unifies data across multiple sources, creating a single, enriched dataset that fuels analytics and personalization. Amplitude Guides and Surveys helps companies to deploy in-product guides, tours, and surveys, using the power of behavioral insights to fuel great results. The Company's portfolio includes InfiniGrow, which is an AI marketing analytics platform.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Amplitude's Q3 revenue rose 16% to $347 million, with remaining performance obligations increasing 37% to $391.9 million, indicating enhanced customer confidence and longer contract signings.
- Product Portfolio Expansion: The launch of new features like AI visibility and web experimentation allows marketers to conduct experiments faster, which is expected to further enhance customer satisfaction and revenue streams, solidifying its leadership in product analytics.
- Strong Market Position: Amplitude serves 27% of the Fortune 500, recognized as a leader in digital analytics by Forrester Wave and named best in product analytics by G2, which strengthens its competitive edge in the market.
- Attractive Valuation: With a market cap of $1.4 billion and a price-to-sales ratio of just 4, the potential for the stock to double or triple is evident if it can exceed the projected 14% revenue growth in 2026.
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- Accelerating Revenue Growth: Amplitude's revenue rose 16% to $347 million in Q3, with remaining performance obligations increasing by 37% to $391.9 million, indicating enhanced customer confidence and laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- AI Product Innovations: The company launched AI visibility tools and web experimentation features, enabling marketers to run experiments faster, thereby enhancing the competitiveness of its product portfolio and expected to attract more customers and increase revenue.
- Market Positioning Advantage: Amplitude currently serves 27% of Fortune 500 companies and is rated as a leader in digital analytics by Forrester Wave, which not only boosts its market reputation but also provides strong support for future customer growth.
- Attractive Valuation: Trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 4, Amplitude's valuation appears relatively reasonable among small-cap cloud software companies, and if it achieves revenue growth of up to 18% in 2026, its market cap could double or triple, indicating strong investment potential.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Amplitude's Q3 revenue rose 16% to $347 million, with remaining performance obligations increasing 37% to $391.9 million, indicating enhanced customer confidence and longer contract signings.
- Product Portfolio Expansion: The introduction of new AI visibility tools and web experimentation features enables marketers to run experiments faster, improving customer experience and expected to drive additional revenue while attracting new clients, solidifying its leadership in product analytics.
- Attractive Market Valuation: With a current price-to-sales ratio of just 4, this valuation appears appealing for a small-cap cloud software company with accelerating growth potential, suggesting a possible doubling or tripling of market cap in the future.
- Modest Analyst Expectations: Although Wall Street's revenue growth forecast for 2026 is only 14%, the improvement of GAAP revenue growth to 18% in Q3 indicates substantial room for Amplitude to exceed market expectations, potentially driving stock price increases.
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- Small-Cap Advantage: In early 2023, the Russell 2000 outperformed the S&P 500 for the first 14 trading days, demonstrating strong rebound potential despite a nearly 2% drop on January 23, indicating a favorable shift towards small-cap stocks.
- Valuation Gap: With the S&P 500 trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28 compared to the Russell 2000 ETF's 19.5, which is about a third lower, this valuation disparity may encourage a rotation from large-cap to small-cap stocks, potentially driving further gains in the latter.
- Interest Rate Downtrend: Following three rate cuts totaling 75 basis points by the Federal Reserve at the end of last year, the Russell 2000 surged 17% over the past six months, and further rate cuts could favor small-cap stocks, especially if they catch the market by surprise.
- Diverse Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain exposure to small-cap stocks through the iShares Russell 2000 ETF or opt for more focused ETFs like the Vanguard Russell 2000 Growth ETF and Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF, while individual stocks like Amplitude and Innodata also show strong growth potential.
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- Small-Cap Index Performance: The Russell 2000 has surged 17% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, indicating a strong rebound potential for small-cap stocks that may attract more investor interest.
- Valuation Discrepancy: Currently, the Russell 2000 ETF trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5, about one-third lower than the S&P 500's 28, which could encourage a rotation of funds from large-cap to small-cap stocks, driving further gains in small-cap valuations.
- Interest Rate Impact: Following three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve last year, reducing the benchmark rate by 75 basis points, the Russell 2000 has benefited, demonstrating small-cap stocks' sensitivity to macroeconomic factors, with expectations for additional rate cuts likely to favor them further.
- Investment Opportunities: Investors can easily gain exposure to small-cap stocks through the iShares Russell 2000 ETF or more focused small-cap ETFs like the Vanguard Russell 2000 Growth ETF and Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF, with small-caps poised for breakout growth in the near future.
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- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $10.00 put option is 35 cents, allowing investors to sell-to-open and commit to buying shares at $10.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $9.65, which is attractive compared to the current market price of $10.06, representing a 1% discount.
- Yield Potential: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield a 3.50% return on cash commitment, equating to an annualized yield of 36.50%, highlighting the potential profitability of this strategy.
- Call Option Opportunity: The $11.00 call option has a current bid of 20 cents, and if investors buy AMPL shares at $10.06 and sell this call, they could achieve an 11.33% total return if the stock is called away, although they risk missing out on further upside.
- Risk Assessment: Current analytics indicate a 55% chance of the $10.00 put expiring worthless and a 61% chance for the $11.00 call, suggesting investors should monitor these probabilities to refine their investment strategies.
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