A tech investment strategy to safeguard against potential Nvidia earnings letdown
Market Context: The article discusses the current market volatility and investor sentiment ahead of Nvidia's Q3 earnings report, highlighting concerns over a potential government shutdown and the impact of recent market events.
Nvidia Earnings Expectations: Nvidia is expected to report significant growth in earnings and revenues, with GAAP quarterly earnings projected at $1.20 and revenues at $59.98 billion, raising questions about how the stock will react post-announcement.
Hedging Strategy: Inside Edge Capital is implementing a QQQ put spread hedge to protect client portfolios, with specific strike prices and potential maximum gains outlined, reflecting a proactive approach to managing risk.
Investment Advisory Disclaimer: The content emphasizes that the opinions expressed are those of the author and do not constitute financial advice, urging readers to consult their own financial advisors before making investment decisions.
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- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.

- Market Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 2.5% and closed above 50,000 for the first time.
- Nasdaq Struggles: In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite ended the week down 1.8%, despite a strong rally on Friday.

- Private Credit Sector: The emergence of private credit "cockroaches" indicates a shift in the market, particularly affecting the software sector.
- Investment Opportunities: This situation may present new investment opportunities in shares of business development companies that hold the debt of these affected companies.

- Private Credit Sector: The private credit sector is facing challenges, likened to "cockroaches" emerging from the software industry.
- Opportunities in Business Development Companies: This situation may present investment opportunities in business development companies that hold the debt of affected firms.
Report Overview: Recent reports from investment and research firms provide insights into analysts' perspectives on various companies.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in these reports do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of Barron’s.
Investment Services: Some report issuers may have existing or potential investment-banking relationships with the companies analyzed.
Purpose of Reports: The reports serve as a sampling of market analysis rather than definitive investment advice.
- Weak Job Data: ADP's report indicates that the U.S. labor market showed little change in January, with hiring growth falling short of expectations, reflecting a sluggish economic recovery that may negatively impact the stock market.
- Increased Investment Risks: Private equity firms like KKR and Blackstone face challenges from Anthropic's B2B strategy in the enterprise software sector, potentially affecting their investment returns amid rapid AI advancements.
- AMD Stock Volatility: Despite AMD's quarterly results exceeding expectations, its stock dropped 10%, indicating market concerns about future growth, while analysts' target price adjustments reflect uncertainty in the market.
- Texas Instruments Acquisition Plan: Texas Instruments has agreed to acquire Silicon Laboratories for $7.5 billion, and although its stock fell 3.5%, this move will enhance its market share in connectivity chips for industrial and consumer applications, demonstrating a strategic focus on future growth.







