Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the chart trend is still bearish and momentum is deteriorating.
Price is sitting right on key support (~165.3); a short-term bounce is possible, but the downtrend hasn’t reversed.
Options imply elevated event risk into earnings (very high IV), increasing the chance of a sharp move either direction.
With no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal today, there’s no strong tactical “must-buy now” trigger from the provided proprietary systems.
Momentum: MACD histogram -1.203 and negatively expanding → selling pressure is strengthening, not stabilizing.
RSI(6): 32.857 → weak/near-oversold, which can allow a bounce, but by itself is not a reversal signal.
Key levels: Support S1 ~165.325 (price ~165.4 is essentially on support); next support S2 ~152.109 if 165 breaks. Major overhead pivot/resistance ~186.717; further resistance R1 ~208.109.
Setup interpretation: This is a “falling knife at support” setup—tradable for a bounce only after confirmation, but currently not confirming.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.72 → more calls than puts outstanding (mildly bullish longer-dated positioning).
Flow (Volume): Put/Call volume ratio 1.07 → slightly more puts traded today (near-term caution/hedging).
Volatility: 30D IV 76.28 with IV percentile 94.02 → options are pricing unusually large moves (event-driven, likely earnings).
Activity: Today’s volume 12,659 is below the 30-day average (88.61% of avg), but open interest is elevated vs average (111.38%), suggesting positioning already built into the event.
Technical Summary
Sell
8
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
can attract dip buyers for a reflex rally if support holds.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Event risk: Extremely high IV signals the market expects a big move around earnings; downside gaps are plausible if guidance disappoints.
Overall read: Growth remains strong, but the quarter shows profitability/margin slippage, which makes the stock more sensitive to guidance/expectations.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Mixed but constructive—several price target cuts across software/cyber (valuation/multiple compression), offset by a fresh upgrade.
Latest actions:
Jefferies: Hold, PT cut to $185 from $225 (valuation risk despite achievable growth).
BTIG: Upgraded to Buy, PT $199 (partner checks strong; share gains in Zero Trust/SASE).
Multiple Buy/Outperform reiterations with trimmed targets (e.g., Citi/Mizuho/Truist) reflect confidence in the business but lower sector multiples.
Wall Street cons: Valuation sensitivity, software sentiment weak, and guidance/earnings execution risk amplified into the upcoming report.
Wall Street analysts forecast NET stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NET is 253.24 USD with a low forecast of 131 USD and a high forecast of 318 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
25 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NET stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NET is 253.24 USD with a low forecast of 131 USD and a high forecast of 318 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 163.050
Low
131
Averages
253.24
High
318
Current: 163.050
Low
131
Averages
253.24
High
318
Jefferies
Hold
downgrade
$225 -> $185
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$225 -> $185
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Jefferies lowered the firm's price target on Cloudflare to $185 from $225 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. While the firm says Q4 revenue growth guidance of 28% year-over-year at the midpoint "looks achievable and is supported by strong VAR survey results," valuation raises some risk given souring software sentiment, the analyst tells investors in a preview.
BTIG
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$199
2026-02-04
New
Reason
BTIG
Price Target
$199
2026-02-04
New
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
As previously reported, BTIG upgraded Cloudflare to Buy from Neutral with a $199 price target. After having spoken to five partners with a view on over $100M in combined annual Cloudflare sales over the last couple of weeks, the firm tells investors its checks were "consistently strong on multiple fronts." The firm, which sees Cloudflare rapidly gaining share in Zero Trust and SASE, thinks the company's long term growth opportunity in its core web application protection market is "underappreciated," the analyst added.
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