Nov Inc invests in Natura Resources and signs supply chain agreement
Nov Inc. experienced a price decline of 5.17% and crossed below its 20-day SMA amid broader market weakness, with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.18% and the S&P 500 down 0.41%.
This decline comes despite Nov Inc.'s strategic investment in Natura Resources, where it sold its advanced nuclear development company Shepherd Power and signed a supply chain agreement to support Natura's deployment of molten salt reactor units. The COO of Nov highlighted the significant growth opportunities in the power market over the next decade, indicating a strong future outlook for the company.
The collaboration with Natura positions Nov Inc. to leverage its manufacturing expertise in a growing sector, potentially enhancing its market influence and addressing critical energy needs in the coming years.
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- Leadership Transition: New CEO Jose Bayardo acknowledged the contributions of former CEO Clay Williams during the earnings call, emphasizing stability during the leadership change, which enhances investor confidence in the company's direction.
- Financial Performance: Q4 revenue reached $2.28 billion, reflecting a 5% sequential increase but a 1% year-over-year decline, with EBITDA at $267 million, demonstrating resilience despite a 6% drop in global drilling activity.
- Cost Control Initiatives: The company is accelerating its $100 million cost-out program, focusing on facility consolidations and exiting underperforming product lines to enhance operational efficiency and optimize resource allocation in response to market challenges.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates a slight contraction in overall upstream spending for 2026, particularly in North America, while maintaining an optimistic view for a market recovery in the second half of the year, emphasizing a continued focus on organic growth and effective capital utilization.
- Amazon Earnings Preview: Amazon is set to release its earnings report on Thursday, with its stock dropping 2.4% ahead of the announcement, indicating cautious investor sentiment that may impact short-term market confidence.
- Alphabet's Strong Performance: Alphabet exceeded Wall Street expectations in its fourth-quarter earnings report released on Wednesday, although its stock fell about 1% in after-hours trading; the projected capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to reach between $175 billion and $185 billion, nearly double that of 2025, reflecting a strong commitment to future growth.
- Qualcomm's Disappointing Guidance: Qualcomm reported quarterly earnings that surpassed expectations, yet its stock fell 9% in after-hours trading due to disappointing forward guidance, highlighting investor concerns about future performance, with shares down nearly 13% year-to-date in 2026.
- Strong Consumer Staples Sector: The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) has risen for four consecutive days, gaining over 1% each day and hitting new highs in the past three sessions, indicating strong performance in 2026 with over 12% growth year-to-date, making it the third-best performing sector in the market.
- Earnings Highlights: NOV's Q4 2023 GAAP EPS of $0.21 missed expectations by $0.04, while revenue of $2.28 billion, down 1.3% year-over-year, beat estimates by $110 million, indicating resilience amid challenges.
- Cash Flow Performance: The fourth quarter saw cash flow from operations of $573 million and free cash flow of $472 million, demonstrating strong cash management that supports future investments and shareholder returns.
- Annual Performance Overview: For the full year, NOV reported revenues of $8.74 billion, net income of $145 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $1.03 billion, showcasing stability in a challenging market environment.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, NOV returned $505 million of capital to shareholders, reflecting the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder value while maintaining financial health.
- Revenue and Profit Decline: NOV reported Q4 2025 revenues of $2.28 billion, down 1% year-over-year, with a net loss of $78 million, primarily due to increased tax rates and other expenses, indicating profitability challenges for the company.
- Strong Cash Flow Performance: Despite the decline in net income, NOV generated $1.25 billion in cash from operations and $876 million in free cash flow for 2025, reflecting ongoing improvements in operational efficiency and cash management.
- Orders and Market Outlook: The company booked $532 million in new orders in Q4 2025, achieving a book-to-bill ratio of 73%, indicating stable backlog levels despite weak market demand, which suggests potential growth opportunities ahead.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: In 2025, NOV returned $505 million in capital to shareholders, including $315 million in stock repurchases and $190 million in dividends, demonstrating the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder value through effective capital management.
- Rating Upgrade: Barclays upgraded NOV from Underweight to Equal Weight with a price target increase from $15 to $20, reflecting confidence in new CEO Jose Bayardo's efforts to reposition the company's portfolio, despite ongoing structural disadvantages in a capital discipline environment.
- Strategic Overhaul: CEO Bayardo is taking a 'clean slate' approach to evaluate options for the company, as analysts believe NOV's portfolio has not significantly changed since the peak of the last upstream spending cycle in 2014, indicating a need for substantial reform to align with industry trends.
- Upstream Spending Outlook: Analyst J. David Anderson expresses optimism that upstream spending will begin to rise again in 2027, noting that NOV's revenue heavily relies on capex from oilfield service companies and offshore drillers, yet he sees limited downside risk to estimates.
- Market Cycle Analysis: While NOV's portfolio remains largely unchanged compared to the previous cycle from 2005-2014, analysts emphasize the need for the company to adapt to new market dynamics to address challenges posed by the upcoming convergence of the 2026 cycle.
- Sales Warning: Novo Nordisk released its earnings report early, projecting a decline in sales and profit growth this year primarily due to lower prices in the U.S. and the loss of exclusivity for its weight loss drugs Wegovy and Ozempic in China, Brazil, and Canada, which may dampen market confidence.
- Stock Reaction: Following the warning, Novo Nordisk's share price tumbled significantly, reflecting investor concerns about future performance, which could impact the company's competitiveness and investor confidence in global markets.
- Market Impact: European stocks are expected to open flat to higher, with the FTSE and DAX slightly up, and the CAC 40 rising by 0.24%, indicating a cautiously optimistic market sentiment ahead of upcoming earnings reports, despite overall sentiment being affected by a short-lived sell-off in cryptocurrencies and precious metals.
- Earnings Focus: On Wednesday, several companies including Novo Nordisk, Banco Santander, and GSK are set to report earnings, with the market closely monitoring these reports for their implications on overall economic and industry trends, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty.










