Matador Resources Co rises amid market weakness
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 16 2024
0mins
Should l Buy MTDR?
Source: 4
Matador Resources Co experienced a price increase of 7.94%, crossing above its 5-day SMA, while the broader market showed signs of weakness with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.80% and the S&P 500 down 0.11%.
This rise comes amid sector rotation as investors are focusing on heavily shorted stocks, anticipating a market rebound driven by tax refunds. Wells Fargo's analysis highlights potential gains in stocks like Matador Resources, suggesting that the company could benefit from this shift in investor sentiment.
The implications of this movement indicate that Matador Resources Co is gaining traction among investors, potentially positioning itself for further growth as market conditions evolve.
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Analyst Views on MTDR
Wall Street analysts forecast MTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTDR is 57.08 USD with a low forecast of 50.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 45.750
Low
50.00
Averages
57.08
High
70.00
Current: 45.750
Low
50.00
Averages
57.08
High
70.00
About MTDR
Matador Resources Company is an independent energy company. The Company is engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. It operates through two segments: exploration and production and midstream. The exploration and production segment are engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States and is focused primarily on the oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. The midstream segment conducts midstream operations in support of the Company’s exploration, development and production operations and provides natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services and produce water disposal services to third parties.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Capital Framework Advantage: The analyst noted that MGY's low reinvestment rate and modest production growth underpin free cash flow stability, providing relative downside protection compared to higher-reinvestment peers.
- Matador Resources Downgrade: In contrast, Matador Resources (MTDR) was downgraded to Equal Weight with a $47 price target, indicating market concerns over its capital intensity and productivity variability, suggesting challenges for its growth-oriented strategy in the current market.
- Permian Resources Leadership: The analyst favors Permian Resources (PR) as a top pick among oil-weighted E&Ps, expecting robust execution to drive oil production toward the high end of Q4 guidance, showcasing its competitive edge in the industry.
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Matador Resources Dividend and Options Analysis
- Dividend Expectation Analysis: Matador Resources Co's dividend history suggests that the current 3.5% annualized yield may persist amidst profitability fluctuations, prompting investors to monitor earnings changes to assess dividend sustainability.
- Volatility Assessment: With a trailing twelve-month volatility of 48% based on the last 251 trading days' closing prices, Matador's stock exhibits significant price fluctuations, necessitating caution in option strategy selection by investors.
- Options Trading Dynamics: On Tuesday, the put volume among S&P 500 components reached 802,997 contracts, while call volume hit 1.61M, indicating a strong preference for call options, reflecting investor optimism about future price increases.
- Risk-Reward Consideration: When contemplating selling June covered calls at a $45 strike price, investors must weigh potential rewards against the risk of capping upside beyond $45 to ensure sound investment decisions.
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- Earnings Release Plan: Matador Resources Company plans to release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 operational and financial results after market close on February 24, 2026, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Conference Call Arrangement: Management will host a conference call on February 25, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Central Time to review the financial results and operational highlights for 2025, aiming to bolster investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Future Guidance Release: Alongside the earnings report, Matador expects to provide operational and financial guidance for 2026, indicating a positive outlook and strategic planning for future growth.
- Diverse Business Model: As an independent energy company, Matador focuses on the exploration and development of oil and gas resources in the U.S., particularly in the oil-rich Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in Texas and New Mexico, showcasing its competitive positioning and market strategy.
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- Herc Holdings Outlook: Herc Holdings has declined 15% over the past year, yet KeyBanc upgraded its rating to overweight with a $200 price target, implying a 27% upside, reflecting confidence that initial integration challenges post-HEES deal are largely resolved.
- Cost Synergy Goals: Herc aims to achieve approximately $125 million in targeted cost synergies by the end of FY26, with analysts believing that a stabilized salesforce will allow the company to focus on this goal, thereby enhancing profitability.
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Matador Resources Declares $1.5 Annual Dividend, Attracting Value Investors
- Dividend Appeal: Matador Resources Co's annual dividend of $1.5 per share, paid quarterly, attracts value investors seeking stable returns, reflecting the company's strong profitability and appealing valuation.
- Importance of Dividend History: Dividend Channel emphasizes the significance of studying a company's past dividend history to assess the likelihood of continued payments, aiding investors in evaluating future dividend sustainability.
- Investor Focus: The most recent ex-dividend date for the company was November 10, 2025, indicating transparency and stability in dividend payments, which may enhance investor confidence.
- Value Investment Strategy: By utilizing a proprietary DividendRank formula, investors can identify the most attractive stocks, further driving research and investment interest in Matador Resources.
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Contrarian Investment Strategy: Validea's Contrarian Investor model, based on David Dreman's strategy, identifies unpopular mid- and large-cap stocks with improving fundamentals, highlighting Matador Resources Co (MTDR) as a notable mid-cap value stock in the Oil & Gas Operations industry.
Matador Resources Overview: Matador Resources is an independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the U.S., particularly in the Delaware Basin, and operates through exploration and production as well as midstream segments.
Stock Rating Update: The rating for Matador Resources increased from 61% to 69% based on its fundamentals and valuation, indicating growing interest, with scores above 80% suggesting stronger interest from the strategy.
About David Dreman and Validea: David Dreman is a renowned investor known for his successful mutual fund, and Validea is an investment research service that analyzes stocks based on the strategies of legendary investors, aiming to provide insights for long-term market outperformance.
See More
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- Rating Change: Wells Fargo upgraded Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) from Underweight to Equal Weight with a $22 price target, reflecting recognition of the company's execution and capital framework amid current macro pressures.
- Capital Framework Advantage: The analyst noted that MGY's low reinvestment rate and modest production growth underpin free cash flow stability, providing relative downside protection compared to higher-reinvestment peers.
- Matador Resources Downgrade: In contrast, Matador Resources (MTDR) was downgraded to Equal Weight with a $47 price target, indicating market concerns over its capital intensity and productivity variability, suggesting challenges for its growth-oriented strategy in the current market.
- Permian Resources Leadership: The analyst favors Permian Resources (PR) as a top pick among oil-weighted E&Ps, expecting robust execution to drive oil production toward the high end of Q4 guidance, showcasing its competitive edge in the industry.
See More
Matador Resources Dividend and Options Analysis
- Dividend Expectation Analysis: Matador Resources Co's dividend history suggests that the current 3.5% annualized yield may persist amidst profitability fluctuations, prompting investors to monitor earnings changes to assess dividend sustainability.
- Volatility Assessment: With a trailing twelve-month volatility of 48% based on the last 251 trading days' closing prices, Matador's stock exhibits significant price fluctuations, necessitating caution in option strategy selection by investors.
- Options Trading Dynamics: On Tuesday, the put volume among S&P 500 components reached 802,997 contracts, while call volume hit 1.61M, indicating a strong preference for call options, reflecting investor optimism about future price increases.
- Risk-Reward Consideration: When contemplating selling June covered calls at a $45 strike price, investors must weigh potential rewards against the risk of capping upside beyond $45 to ensure sound investment decisions.
See More
Matador Resources to Release Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results on February 24, 2026
- Earnings Release Plan: Matador Resources Company plans to release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 operational and financial results after market close on February 24, 2026, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Conference Call Arrangement: Management will host a conference call on February 25, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Central Time to review the financial results and operational highlights for 2025, aiming to bolster investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Future Guidance Release: Alongside the earnings report, Matador expects to provide operational and financial guidance for 2026, indicating a positive outlook and strategic planning for future growth.
- Diverse Business Model: As an independent energy company, Matador focuses on the exploration and development of oil and gas resources in the U.S., particularly in the oil-rich Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in Texas and New Mexico, showcasing its competitive positioning and market strategy.
See More
Wells Fargo Sees Rebound Potential in Heavily Shorted Stocks, Herc Target Price Implies 27% Upside
- Market Rebound Expectations: Wells Fargo anticipates a market 'reflation' and short squeeze driven by tax refunds averaging $800 per person, which will propel stock prices higher, particularly for lagging stocks with significant short positions.
- Herc Holdings Outlook: Herc Holdings has declined 15% over the past year, yet KeyBanc upgraded its rating to overweight with a $200 price target, implying a 27% upside, reflecting confidence that initial integration challenges post-HEES deal are largely resolved.
- Cost Synergy Goals: Herc aims to achieve approximately $125 million in targeted cost synergies by the end of FY26, with analysts believing that a stabilized salesforce will allow the company to focus on this goal, thereby enhancing profitability.
- Vera Therapeutics Potential: Wells Fargo highlights Vera Therapeutics, projecting that its lead drug atacicept will excel in a multibillion-dollar market, expected to outperform consensus and alleviate concerns regarding competitive risks.
See More
Matador Resources Declares $1.5 Annual Dividend, Attracting Value Investors
- Dividend Appeal: Matador Resources Co's annual dividend of $1.5 per share, paid quarterly, attracts value investors seeking stable returns, reflecting the company's strong profitability and appealing valuation.
- Importance of Dividend History: Dividend Channel emphasizes the significance of studying a company's past dividend history to assess the likelihood of continued payments, aiding investors in evaluating future dividend sustainability.
- Investor Focus: The most recent ex-dividend date for the company was November 10, 2025, indicating transparency and stability in dividend payments, which may enhance investor confidence.
- Value Investment Strategy: By utilizing a proprietary DividendRank formula, investors can identify the most attractive stocks, further driving research and investment interest in Matador Resources.
See More
Daily Upgrade Report for Validea's David Dreman Strategy - December 17, 2025
Contrarian Investment Strategy: Validea's Contrarian Investor model, based on David Dreman's strategy, identifies unpopular mid- and large-cap stocks with improving fundamentals, highlighting Matador Resources Co (MTDR) as a notable mid-cap value stock in the Oil & Gas Operations industry.
Matador Resources Overview: Matador Resources is an independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the U.S., particularly in the Delaware Basin, and operates through exploration and production as well as midstream segments.
Stock Rating Update: The rating for Matador Resources increased from 61% to 69% based on its fundamentals and valuation, indicating growing interest, with scores above 80% suggesting stronger interest from the strategy.
About David Dreman and Validea: David Dreman is a renowned investor known for his successful mutual fund, and Validea is an investment research service that analyzes stocks based on the strategies of legendary investors, aiming to provide insights for long-term market outperformance.
See More
