Fluor Corp Raises Earnings Outlook Amid Recovery Signs
Fluor Corp's stock rose by 5.01% as it crossed above the 5-day SMA, indicating positive momentum despite a slight decline in the broader market with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.28% and the S&P 500 down 0.01%.
The increase in stock price is attributed to Fluor's third-quarter update, which revealed an upward revision of its full-year earnings outlook, signaling a gradual recovery in business performance after disappointing second-quarter results. The company's backlog now exceeds $20 billion, driven by strong demand in the Urban Solutions segment, particularly in metals and mining, which is likely to attract renewed investor interest. Furthermore, Fluor has begun realizing substantial profits from its investment in NuScale Power, enhancing shareholder confidence.
This positive outlook suggests that Fluor is well-positioned for future growth, especially with anticipated new client projects in the pharmaceutical sector and ongoing construction of data centers, indicating strong growth potential in the coming years.
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- Infrastructure Demand Surge: Fluor is expected to see a nearly 4% revenue decline in 2024, yet the urgency of infrastructure projects makes investing in FLR stock appealing, particularly as the demand for nuclear facility construction is set to triple by 2050 in the U.S.
- Cybersecurity Market Expansion: Palo Alto Networks reported a record 3,322 data breaches in 2022, a 79% increase from 2020, highlighting strong demand for its cybersecurity services, with projected revenue growth of 14% this year and 13% next year, indicating sustained market leadership.
- IBM's AI Transformation: IBM achieved a 12% year-over-year revenue growth last quarter, primarily driven by sales of AI-capable mainframes and software, particularly strong in automation and data management, showcasing its enhanced competitiveness in the artificial intelligence race.
- Investment Risks and Returns: While Fluor did not make the Motley Fool's list of top stocks, its potential in infrastructure and nuclear energy warrants consideration, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty, prompting investors to weigh risks against potential returns.
- Fluor's Outlook: Fluor (FLR) is expected to see a nearly 4% decline in full-year revenue for 2023, yet the urgency of infrastructure projects may drive a stock rebound, currently priced at $47.04 with a market cap of $7.6 billion, indicating potential for future growth.
- Rising Cybersecurity Demand: Palo Alto Networks (PANW) anticipates a 14% revenue growth this year and 13% next year, amidst a surge in data breaches to 3,322, highlighting strong demand for high-level cybersecurity services, with a current stock price of $159.43.
- IBM's Recovery: International Business Machines (IBM) achieved a 12% year-over-year growth last quarter, primarily driven by sales of AI-capable mainframes and software, with a current stock price of $299.04 and a market cap of $279 billion, indicating its strengthening competitiveness in the AI sector.
- Investor Confidence: Despite Fluor and Palo Alto Networks not sustaining stock price increases, analysts remain optimistic about their prospects, particularly for Palo Alto, which has a price target of $228.79, suggesting a 37% upside from its current price.
- NuScale Power Struggles: NuScale Power's stock has declined approximately 30% over the past year, although it rebounded over 20% since early 2026; however, concerns arose after major investor Fluor sold its stake and the company missed earnings expectations, undermining confidence in its technological promises.
- Oklo's Strong Momentum: Oklo's stock skyrocketed in 2025 despite significant volatility, and its partnership with Meta has provided substantial market credibility, positioning it for continued strong growth into 2026.
- Financial Comparison: Oklo boasts around $1.2 billion in cash and marketable securities, significantly outpacing NuScale, which relies on limited engineering revenue and has yet to achieve profitability, thus facing greater financial pressure.
- Technological Development Paths: While NuScale is further along in technology development, it must transition from engineering revenue to actual contract deployment, whereas Oklo is gaining market recognition through partnerships with hyperscalers, potentially making it the winner in the next decade.
- Market Recovery: Following a decade-long slump post-Fukushima, the nuclear energy market is rebounding due to rising power demands and AI market expansion, with global nuclear capacity projected to increase by 2.6 times by 2050.
- Cameco's Growth Potential: As the world's second-largest uranium miner, Cameco's uranium price has surged from $18 per pound in 2016 to $94, with expectations to reach $100, prompting the company to restart idled mines to meet demand; analysts forecast revenue and EPS growth of 9% and 91%, respectively, from 2024 to 2027.
- NuScale's Innovation: NuScale's small modular reactors (SMRs) are designed for deployment in areas unsuitable for conventional reactors; while still in the front-end engineering phase, a contract with the Tennessee Valley Authority will facilitate expansion before 2032.
- Investment Value: Despite Cameco's P/E ratio of 69 and NuScale's P/S ratio of 37, both companies' strategic investments and growing market demand may support their high valuations, positioning them as key players in the future of nuclear energy.
- Stock Rebound: Fluor's stock surged 16.6% in January 2026 after a nearly 20% decline in 2025, indicating a rebound in investor confidence, particularly due to the growth in its business backlog.
- Growing Backlog: As of Q3 2023, Fluor's Urban Solutions segment had a backlog exceeding $20 billion, representing about 75% of the company's total backlog, highlighting its significant market share in fast-growing sectors.
- Long-Term Project Outlook: Fluor anticipates approximately $90 billion in new project awards over the next several years, with earnings from these projects not expected until at least 2027, laying a solid foundation for long-term growth.
- Investment Return Potential: Fluor's investment in NuScale Power yielded over $400 million, strengthening its financial position and allowing a focus on core operations, which is expected to drive future business growth.
- NuScale Investment Update: Fluor was an early investor in NuScale Power, which aims to build small modular nuclear reactors, and is positioning itself as a key partner in construction projects, particularly in Romania, indicating its strategic focus in the nuclear energy sector.
- Equity Monetization Plan: Fluor plans to sell the remainder of its NuScale stake in 2026, having already generated $605 million from stock sales in late 2025; while this transaction strengthens the balance sheet, it does not alter Fluor's core business model.
- Contract Structure Improvement: The management is addressing the issues with fixed-price contracts, with 82% of its backlog now consisting of reimbursable contracts, and 99% of the $3.4 billion in contracts signed in Q3 2025 being reimbursable, which will enhance business consistency.
- Cyclical Industry Risks: Despite improvements in contract structures, the construction industry remains inherently cyclical, with economic downturns leading to project delays or cancellations, necessitating careful evaluation of Fluor's performance amid economic fluctuations.











