Should I Buy FLR? FLR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Fluor Corp (FLR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

46.920

1 Day change

4.34%

52 Week Range

57.500

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is slipping below the pivot (~46.16) with near-term statistical drift slightly negative (next week/month).
Trend structure is still bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but momentum is cooling (MACD positive but contracting) and RSI is neutral—this looks more like a chop/pullback than a fresh breakout.
Options positioning is call-heavy (bullish skew), but implied volatility is very elevated (IV percentile ~84), suggesting the market is pricing a big move into upcoming catalysts (notably earnings on 2026-02-17).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today (no AI Stock Picker; no SwingMax), so there’s no strong systematic “buy now” confirmation.
No notable hedge fund/insider trend and no recent Congress trading data—no strong external “smart money” urgency to buy immediately.

Technical Analysis

Price context: Regular session -1.73% to ~45.66; post-market ~45.71 (+0.11%). Trading just below Pivot 46.161, which acts as near-term resistance.
Trend: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates the larger trend remains up.
Momentum: MACD histogram 0.0753 (above zero) but positively contracting → upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI: RSI_6 ~47 (neutral) → no oversold trigger for an impatient “buy the dip” entry.
Key levels: Support S1 ~44.599 then S2 ~43.634; Resistance R1 ~47.724 then R2 ~48.689. A clean reclaim of 46.16 and push toward 47.72 would improve the “buy now” case; losing 44.60 weakens it.
Pattern-based outlook (similar candlesticks): modest upside next day (+0.32%) but negative bias next week/month (-1.29% / -1.93%).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment/skew: Put/Call OI ratio 0.31 (calls dominate) and volume put/call 0.55 → generally bullish positioning.
Volatility: 30D IV ~70.9 vs historical vol ~32.8 → options are pricing unusually large moves (expensive premium), consistent with event risk.
IV percentile ~84.5 (elevated) → market expects turbulence; directional buyers may already be crowded on the call side.
Activity: Today’s options volume ~1,124 vs 10D avg ~15,067 (light participation) → bullish skew exists, but today’s flow isn’t strongly confirming urgency.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

on 2026-02-17 pre-market could be a catalyst if results/guide surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

shows sharp deterioration: revenue -17.73% YoY and very large net loss, negative EPS, and negative gross margin—this undermines near-term confidence.
with fading momentum (contracting MACD) → increases risk of a deeper pullback toward 44.60/43.63 before a better entry.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $3.368B, down -17.73% YoY → top-line contraction.
Profitability: Net income -$697M (down -1390.74% YoY) and EPS -4.30 (down -1487.10% YoY) → severe earnings setback in the reported snapshot.
Margins: Gross margin -13.33% (down -720% YoY) → indicates significant project/charge pressure in that period.
Growth read-through: despite narrative of improved contract structure (more reimbursable), the latest reported quarter in this dataset reflects weak execution/charges; the next earnings (QDEC 2025) becomes pivotal for confirming a turnaround.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent tone is mixed but leans constructive: multiple Buys remain, though some price targets were trimmed.
UBS (2025-11-13): Buy, PT lowered to $52 from $56 → still positive, but slightly less upside.
Truist (2025-11-10): Buy, PT raised to $56 from $51, citing Q3 beat/guidance raise and improved segment performance.
Baird (2025-11-10): Neutral, PT lowered to $48 from $52 → more cautious stance.
Street pros/cons view: Pros center on risk-reduced contract mix, backlog visibility, and buyback potential; cons focus on cyclicality, execution/charge risk, and NuScale-related uncertainty/overhang.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FLR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FLR is 49.25 USD with a low forecast of 40 USD and a high forecast of 57 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 44.970

Low

Averages

49.25

High

Current: 44.970

Low

Averages

49.25

High

Citi

Sell

downgrade

AI Analysis

2025-12-10

Reason

Citi

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-12-10

downgrade

Sell

Reason

Citi lowered the firm's price target on NuScale Power (SMR) to $18.50 from $37.50 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares. The firm attributes the stock's 52% decline in the past quarter to Fluor's (FLR) plans to monetize its stake and uncertainty around NuScale's first firm contract. Citi thinks the stock will remain pressured as the company's sales from existing contracts decline and Fluor continues to sell shares. NuScale inking a contract with the Tennessee Valley Authority in the near- to medium-term seems unlikely, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

UBS

Steven Fisher

Buy

downgrade

$56 -> $52

2025-11-13

Reason

UBS

Steven Fisher

Price Target

$56 -> $52

2025-11-13

downgrade

Buy

Reason

UBS analyst Steven Fisher lowered the firm's price target on Fluor to $52 from $56 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

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FLR Should I Buy

FLR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Fluor Corp (FLR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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