Analyst upgrades Nutrien to Overweight, raising price target to $77
Nutrien Ltd's stock rose by 4.68% during regular trading, reaching a 20-day high.
Morgan Stanley analyst Vincent Sinisi upgraded Nutrien from Equal-Weight to Overweight, increasing the price target from $70 to $77, reflecting improved confidence in the company's profitability. This upgrade comes amid a broader market decline, with the Nasdaq-100 down 0.61% and the S&P 500 down 0.50%.
The upgrade is expected to enhance investor sentiment towards Nutrien, potentially attracting more buyers and supporting further price appreciation.
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- Phosphate Margin Recovery: Scotiabank analysts indicate that Mosaic's phosphate stripping margins have bottomed after a challenging 2025, with expectations for margin expansion as demand normalizes, particularly in Brazil and India, positioning Mosaic as one of the strongest fertilizer stories for 2026.
- Nitrogen Market Outlook: While nitrogen prices remain firm due to seasonality and geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Scotiabank anticipates that rising global supply and the potential for renewed Chinese exports will pressure prices and margins in the second half of the year, urging caution among investors.
- Potash Market Tightness: The potash market appears tight in the near term, supported by low inventories in Brazil and ongoing restocking in Southeast Asia; however, Scotiabank warns that new production capacity and slowing demand growth could lead to oversupply by late 2026, limiting upside for prices and equities.
- Cautious Industry Stance: Despite the fertilizer rally improving the earnings outlook for 2026, Scotiabank maintains a cautious stance on other fertilizer makers, downgrading CF Industries closer to a Sell rating due to expected nitrogen margin pressures, while Nutrien and Yara are deemed fairly valued with long-term supply risks.
Focus on Soft Commodities: The article emphasizes the importance of paying attention to soft commodities, which are often overshadowed by the rally in hard commodities like gold and silver.
Market Dynamics: It suggests that the current market dynamics warrant a closer look at soft commodities, as they may present significant investment opportunities.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Nutrien Ltd. plans to announce its fourth quarter 2025 financial results after market close on February 18, providing investors with critical performance data and future outlook.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call on February 19 at 10:00 a.m. EST to discuss the results and outlook, with investors able to join by dialing 1-800-990-2777 or 1-416-855-9085.
- Webcast Access: The conference call will be available via webcast on Nutrien's Investor Events page, with the link accessible for 12 months post-call, ensuring investors can retrieve information at their convenience.
- Company Overview: Nutrien is a leading global provider of crop inputs and services, focusing on investments that enhance business advantages and meet growers' needs, thereby creating long-term value.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Nutrien Ltd. plans to release its Q4 2025 earnings after market close on February 18, 2026, reflecting the company's latest performance in the agricultural inputs and services sector.
- Conference Call Timing: The company will hold a conference call on February 19, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. EST to discuss its results and outlook, which is expected to attract investor interest.
- Investor Access Method: Investors can join the call by dialing 1-800-990-2777 or 1-416-855-9085 and using conference ID: 93473, ensuring timely information dissemination.
- Webcast and Recording: The call will be available via webcast on Nutrien's Investor Events page, with a recording accessible post-call for up to 12 months, providing extended access for investors.

- Earnings Estimate Increase: CF Industries maintains its 2025 ammonia production forecast at 10 million tons, with management highlighting tight global nitrogen supply and low inventories, ensuring robust demand across North America, India, and Brazil, which is expected to drive future performance growth.
- Earnings Beat: CF Industries achieved a 6% earnings beat in Q3, with ammonia network utilization reaching 97% year-to-date, demonstrating the company's strong performance in efficient production and market demand, further solidifying its leadership in the nitrogen fertilizer market.
- Carbon Capture Revenue: The company anticipates that carbon capture, sequestration, and abatement projects will contribute $150 to $200 million in annual free cash flow by 2030, indicating CF's strategic advantage in sustainability and low-carbon product sales, enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Stock Potential Analysis: Although CF Industries' stock has hovered around $80 for the past five years, with earnings estimates rising and industry fundamentals improving, analysts have raised price targets to $95, suggesting the stock could break long-term resistance and aim for $100.









