Affirm's Strategic Partnerships and Analyst Upgrade Boost Outlook
Affirm Holdings Inc. has seen its stock price decline by 3.07%, hitting a 20-day low amid broader market gains, with the Nasdaq-100 up 0.56% and the S&P 500 up 0.15%.
The recent announcement of a strategic partnership with Bolt, making Affirm the default buy now, pay later provider for Bolt's U.S. checkout, is expected to enhance merchant sales conversion rates and customer satisfaction. Additionally, Needham analyst Kyle Peterson upgraded Affirm's rating from Hold to Buy with a price target of $100, reflecting optimism about the company's growth potential.
These developments suggest that Affirm is positioning itself well in the competitive e-commerce landscape, and the analyst upgrade may attract more investor interest, potentially stabilizing the stock in the near future.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Affirm's revenue surged 30% year-over-year to $1.12 billion in Q2, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.06 billion, indicating strong demand for its buy-now-pay-later services.
- Increased Credit Loss Provisions: The company reported a jump in credit loss provisions to $214.2 million in Q2, up from nearly $153 million a year ago, reflecting potential challenges from rising credit risks despite solid overall revenue performance.
- Interest Income Boost: Affirm's interest income grew by 21%, primarily driven by a 22% increase in average net loans held for investment, which supports the company's profitability even amid credit loss pressures.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Affirm expects Q3 revenue to range between $970 million and $1 billion, with analysts averaging $975.7 million, showcasing confidence in future performance despite a 4% drop in stock price during after-hours trading.
- Strong Performance: Affirm Holdings reported fiscal Q2 revenues and volumes exceeding expectations, prompting management to raise its fiscal 2026 guidance, indicating resilience in the market.
- Growth Outlook Adjustment: While the company anticipates 32%-33% volume growth for fiscal 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of 29%, analysts expressed disappointment over the fourth quarter's GMV performance, suggesting risks of slowing growth.
- Analyst Rating Changes: JPMorgan analyst Reginald Smith maintained an Overweight rating on Affirm but reduced the price target from $94 to $79, reflecting a cautious outlook on future growth.
- Market Reaction: Affirm's shares fell 1.26% to $59.42 in premarket trading on Friday, indicating investor concerns regarding the company's slowing growth trajectory.
- Earnings Beat: Affirm reported earnings per share of 37 cents for Q2, surpassing the consensus estimate of 30 cents, indicating improved profitability that may attract more investor interest.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company posted revenue of $1.12 billion, exceeding the expected $1.05 billion, demonstrating strong business expansion and market demand, which is likely to drive stock price appreciation.
- Customer and Merchant Growth: Active customers increased by 23% to 25.8 million, while active merchants rose by 42% to 478,000, showcasing Affirm's competitive edge and appeal in the market, potentially laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Guidance Upgrade: Affirm raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to between $4.08 billion and $4.14 billion, reflecting confidence in future performance, which may enhance market sentiment towards its stock.
- Stock Performance: Affirm Holdings' stock declined on Friday despite reporting strong fiscal second-quarter earnings.
- Analyst Opinions: Some analysts believe the market reaction to the earnings report is unjustified.
- Earnings Beat: Affirm reported Q2 2026 earnings of $0.37 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.30, indicating improved profitability that may boost investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved quarterly revenue of $1.12 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $1.06 billion, reflecting strong market demand that supports future business expansion.
- Strategic Partnership: Affirm's collaboration with Virgin Media O2 introduces transparent and flexible hardware financing options for O2 customers, enhancing O2's competitiveness in the SIM-free market, which is expected to attract more customers and increase sales.
- Positive Outlook: Affirm anticipates Q3 revenue between $970 million and $1 billion, and Q4 between $1.060 billion and $1.090 billion, while raising its FY26 revenue guidance to $4.09 billion to $4.15 billion, demonstrating confidence in future growth.











