AppFolio, Inc. (APPF) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript
Revenue $249 million, growing 21% year-over-year. Growth attributed to winning new customers, growth in total units under management, and more customers choosing premium tiers.
Core Solutions Revenue $54 million, a 17% year-over-year increase. Driven by new customer acquisition, growth in units under management, and adoption of premium tiers.
Value-Added Services Revenue $192 million, a 22% year-over-year increase. Growth due to greater use of risk mitigation services, new screening offerings, online payments, and credit/debit card usage for rent payments.
Non-GAAP Operating Margin 23.5%, compared to 28.7% last year. Decrease due to an additional $13 million expense for annual corporate bonus plan overattainment and increased data center spend.
Cost of Revenue (exclusive of depreciation and amortization) 36% of revenue, compared to 34% last year. Increase due to higher credit card adoption, data center spend, and bonus plan overattainment.
Sales, Marketing, R&D, and G&A Expense 39% of revenue, compared to 35% last year. Increase reflects investments in innovation, sales capacity, and the addition of the LiveEasy business.
Employee Count 1,703 employees, a 10% increase from Q3 2024. Growth in most functional areas and addition of LiveEasy business.
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- Stock Index Declines: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.43%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.36%, and the Nasdaq 100 decreased by 1.28%, reflecting cautious investor sentiment following President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair, which raised concerns about future monetary policy.
- Producer Prices Rise: The US December Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.5% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, both exceeding market expectations, indicating heightened inflationary pressures that could influence the Fed's policy decisions moving forward.
- Mining Stocks Plummet: Mining stocks faced significant sell-offs as gold and silver prices dropped sharply, with Coeur Mining and Hecla Mining declining over 17% and 15%, respectively, reflecting a pessimistic outlook on precious metals amid rising dollar strength.
- Positive Earnings Outlook: Despite the overall market decline, 102 S&P 500 companies are set to report earnings this week, with 77% of the 143 companies that have reported so far exceeding expectations, indicating resilience in corporate profitability, with S&P earnings growth projected to reach 8.4% in Q4.
- Inflation Data Impact: The US December Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.5% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, exceeding expectations, indicating heightened inflationary pressures that could lead the Fed to maintain high interest rates, negatively impacting the stock market.
- Fed Chair Nomination: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, with markets perceiving him as cautious towards rate cuts, which pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to a one-week high of 4.277%, exacerbating downward pressure on stocks.
- Earnings Outlook: With 102 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week, 77% of the 143 companies that have reported so far have beaten expectations, demonstrating corporate earnings resilience that may provide support for the market.
- Government Shutdown Risk: Trump reached a tentative deal with Senate Democrats to avert a government shutdown, but the House will take 72 hours to vote, and if unresolved quickly, it could negatively affect market sentiment in the short term.
- Inflation Data Surprises: The US December Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.5% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, exceeding expectations of 0.2% and 2.8%, indicating heightened inflationary pressures that could influence Fed policy decisions.
- Fed Chair Nomination Impact: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, with markets perceiving him as more hawkish, leading to a rise in the 10-year T-note yield to a one-week high of 4.277%, further exacerbating downward pressure on stocks.
- Strong Earnings Reports: With 102 S&P 500 companies set to report earnings this week, 77% of the 143 companies that have reported so far have beaten expectations, and S&P earnings growth is projected to reach 8.4% in Q4, showcasing corporate resilience amid market volatility.
- Government Shutdown Risk Eases: Trump reached a tentative deal with Senate Democrats to avert a government shutdown, which, while requiring a 72-hour House vote, is expected to have minimal impact on federal operations if resolved quickly.
- 2026 Revenue Guidance: AppFolio's 2026 revenue guidance of $1.1B to $1.12B fell short of the $1.13B market expectation, leading to an 8% drop in shares during early trading, reflecting investor anxiety about future growth prospects.
- Q4 Performance Exceeds Expectations: Although Q4 results surpassed market estimates with unit growth accelerating to 8% year-over-year (up from 7% last quarter), the lack of clear targets/frameworks disappointed investors, impacting market confidence.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: Piper Sandler maintained an Overweight rating on AppFolio but cut its price target from $350 to $245, while JPMorgan and D.A. Davidson also lowered their targets to $300 and $275 respectively, indicating a cautious market outlook on future growth.
- Optimistic Operating Margin Guidance: Despite the revenue guidance falling short, AppFolio's operating margin guidance of 25.5%-27.5%, with a midpoint of 26.5% slightly above the consensus estimate of 26.2%, indicates positive progress in core ARPU expansion and premium tier adoption.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Top Wall Street analysts have adjusted their ratings on several companies, indicating a shift in market sentiment that could influence investor decisions and market trends.
- Upgrades and Downgrades: While specific upgrades and downgrades are not detailed, such changes typically have a direct impact on the stock prices of the affected companies, prompting investors to pay close attention to these shifts.
- Market Reaction Expectations: Adjustments in analyst ratings may lead to short-term volatility in the stocks involved, and investors should consider these professional insights when contemplating buy or sell actions.
- Investor Decision Impact: As analysts revise their views on stocks, investors may reassess their portfolios, potentially affecting overall market sentiment and liquidity.
- Significant Revenue Growth: AppFolio reported Q4 revenue of $248 million, a 22% year-over-year increase, with full-year revenue reaching $951 million, reflecting strong growth potential driven by AI innovations.
- Enhanced Customer Satisfaction: 96% of customers reported improved overall business performance after switching to AppFolio, while 94% noted increased resident satisfaction, indicating substantial success in enhancing customer experience.
- Expansion in Managed Units: By the end of Q4, AppFolio managed approximately 9.4 million units with 22,096 customers, representing an 8% and 2% increase from the previous quarter, respectively, showcasing sustained market demand.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CFO Eaton projected 2026 annual revenue between $1.1 billion and $1.12 billion, with expected non-GAAP operating margins between 25.5% and 27.5%, reflecting the company's confidence and strategic positioning for future growth.










