Santander Brasil upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2025
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Should l Buy BSBR?
Goldman Sachs Upgrade: Goldman Sachs has upgraded Santander Brasil's rating from Sell to Neutral, increasing the price target from $4.20 to $4.70, anticipating stable return on equity at 17% for 2025 and 2026.
Loan Growth and Margins: While Santander Brasil's loan growth is expected to lag behind peers due to a conservative strategy, the bank achieved significant net interest margin expansion in Q4, which may bolster short-term margins.
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Analyst Views on BSBR
About BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil SA (Cayman Islands Branch) is a Cayman Islands-based company. The Company operated as a branch of Banco Santander Brasil SA in Brazil which provides commercial banking.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Banco Santander Brasil Q4 Revenue Decline and Financial Metrics Overview
- Revenue Decline: Banco Santander Brasil reported Q4 revenue of R$21.09 billion, down 1.9% year-over-year, indicating challenges in the market environment and weakened customer demand, which could impact future profitability and market share.
- Net Interest Income Fluctuation: The net interest income stood at R$15.3 billion, reflecting a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter increase but a 4.0% year-over-year decline, highlighting pressure on the bank's profitability model from the interest rate environment, potentially raising investor concerns about future earnings.
- Stable ROAE: The return on average equity (ROAE) remained stable at 17.6%, with a slight year-over-year decline of 0.1 percentage points, indicating that despite challenges, the bank maintains a relatively stable capital return level, although long-term growth potential may be constrained.
- Rising Efficiency Ratio: The efficiency ratio reached 38.8%, up 0.8 percentage points from a year earlier and 1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter, reflecting the negative impact of poor market net interest income performance on operational efficiency, suggesting a need for measures to improve cost control.
See More
Banco Santander Reports Profit Growth for FY 2025
- Significant Profit Growth: Banco Santander reported an attributable profit of €14.101 billion for FY 2025, marking a 12% increase from €12.574 billion in FY 2024, indicating a robust enhancement in profitability that is expected to further boost shareholder returns.
- Steady Revenue Increase: The bank's total income reached €16.113 billion in Q4, up 1% year-over-year, while total income for FY 2025 was €58.67 billion, reflecting a 0.5% growth from the previous year, showcasing the company's success in revenue diversification and strengthening its market competitiveness.
- Acquisition Strategy: Banco Santander has agreed to acquire Webster Financial Corp. for approximately $12.3 billion, which is expected to expand its market share and drive double-digit revenue growth by 2027, enhancing overall profitability.
- Commitment to Buybacks: The board has approved a €5 billion share buyback program aimed at returning capital to shareholders against FY 2025 and 2026 earnings, demonstrating confidence in future performance and a strong commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
See More
Webster Financial to be Acquired by Banco Santander
- Acquisition Overview: Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) has agreed to be acquired by Banco Santander (SAN) in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $12.3 billion, providing Webster shareholders with $48.75 in cash and 2.0548 Santander American Depository Shares per common share, highlighting Santander's commitment to Webster.
- Shareholder Value Enhancement: Based on Santander's closing price on February 2, 2026, Webster's per-share value is set at $75.59, representing a 16% premium to its 10-day volume-weighted average price and more than twice its fourth-quarter 2025 tangible book value, indicating a positive impact on shareholder value.
- Management Changes: Following the completion of the transaction, Webster will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Santander, with Webster's Chairman and CEO John R. Ciulla taking on the role of CEO of Santander Bank, while Christiana Riley will continue as Santander's U.S. Country Head, ensuring continuity in leadership.
- Strategic Significance and Future Outlook: Ciulla emphasized that this acquisition combines complementary strengths, enhancing scale and capabilities while creating new growth opportunities, with a continued focus on clients and communities, and the deal is expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals.
See More
Banco Santander Brasil Q4 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Announcement Date: Banco Santander Brasil is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 4 before market open, with significant implications for its stock price as investors await performance insights.
- EPS Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.20, reflecting a staggering 94.7% year-over-year decline, indicating severe profitability challenges that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Forecast Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $4.11 billion, representing an 80.9% year-over-year drop, highlighting the company's struggles in the current economic climate and potentially exacerbating market concerns about future growth.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four downward revisions, indicating analyst divergence regarding the company's future performance, which may influence investor decisions.
See More
Banco Santander to Hold Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call at 4:00 AM ET
Conference Call Announcement: Banco Santander SA will hold a conference call on October 29, 2025, at 4:00 AM ET to discuss its Q3 2025 earnings results.
Webcast Access: Interested parties can access the live webcast by visiting the provided link to the company's official document.
See More
Santander Q2 Results Rise, Confirms FY25 Targtes; Plans EUR 1.7 Bln Buyback
Financial Performance: Banco Santander reported a 7% increase in attributable profit for Q2, reaching 3.43 billion euros, with total income growing by 5% to 15.47 billion euros.
Future Plans: The bank reaffirmed its fiscal targets for 2025, announcing a new share buyback program of approximately 1.7 billion euros and projecting at least 10 billion euros in share buybacks from 2025 and 2026 earnings.
See More
Banco Santander Brasil Q4 Revenue Decline and Financial Metrics Overview
- Revenue Decline: Banco Santander Brasil reported Q4 revenue of R$21.09 billion, down 1.9% year-over-year, indicating challenges in the market environment and weakened customer demand, which could impact future profitability and market share.
- Net Interest Income Fluctuation: The net interest income stood at R$15.3 billion, reflecting a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter increase but a 4.0% year-over-year decline, highlighting pressure on the bank's profitability model from the interest rate environment, potentially raising investor concerns about future earnings.
- Stable ROAE: The return on average equity (ROAE) remained stable at 17.6%, with a slight year-over-year decline of 0.1 percentage points, indicating that despite challenges, the bank maintains a relatively stable capital return level, although long-term growth potential may be constrained.
- Rising Efficiency Ratio: The efficiency ratio reached 38.8%, up 0.8 percentage points from a year earlier and 1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter, reflecting the negative impact of poor market net interest income performance on operational efficiency, suggesting a need for measures to improve cost control.
See More
Banco Santander Reports Profit Growth for FY 2025
- Significant Profit Growth: Banco Santander reported an attributable profit of €14.101 billion for FY 2025, marking a 12% increase from €12.574 billion in FY 2024, indicating a robust enhancement in profitability that is expected to further boost shareholder returns.
- Steady Revenue Increase: The bank's total income reached €16.113 billion in Q4, up 1% year-over-year, while total income for FY 2025 was €58.67 billion, reflecting a 0.5% growth from the previous year, showcasing the company's success in revenue diversification and strengthening its market competitiveness.
- Acquisition Strategy: Banco Santander has agreed to acquire Webster Financial Corp. for approximately $12.3 billion, which is expected to expand its market share and drive double-digit revenue growth by 2027, enhancing overall profitability.
- Commitment to Buybacks: The board has approved a €5 billion share buyback program aimed at returning capital to shareholders against FY 2025 and 2026 earnings, demonstrating confidence in future performance and a strong commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
See More
Webster Financial to be Acquired by Banco Santander
- Acquisition Overview: Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) has agreed to be acquired by Banco Santander (SAN) in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $12.3 billion, providing Webster shareholders with $48.75 in cash and 2.0548 Santander American Depository Shares per common share, highlighting Santander's commitment to Webster.
- Shareholder Value Enhancement: Based on Santander's closing price on February 2, 2026, Webster's per-share value is set at $75.59, representing a 16% premium to its 10-day volume-weighted average price and more than twice its fourth-quarter 2025 tangible book value, indicating a positive impact on shareholder value.
- Management Changes: Following the completion of the transaction, Webster will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Santander, with Webster's Chairman and CEO John R. Ciulla taking on the role of CEO of Santander Bank, while Christiana Riley will continue as Santander's U.S. Country Head, ensuring continuity in leadership.
- Strategic Significance and Future Outlook: Ciulla emphasized that this acquisition combines complementary strengths, enhancing scale and capabilities while creating new growth opportunities, with a continued focus on clients and communities, and the deal is expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals.
See More
Banco Santander Brasil Q4 Earnings Preview
- Earnings Announcement Date: Banco Santander Brasil is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 4 before market open, with significant implications for its stock price as investors await performance insights.
- EPS Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.20, reflecting a staggering 94.7% year-over-year decline, indicating severe profitability challenges that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Forecast Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $4.11 billion, representing an 80.9% year-over-year drop, highlighting the company's struggles in the current economic climate and potentially exacerbating market concerns about future growth.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions with no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four downward revisions, indicating analyst divergence regarding the company's future performance, which may influence investor decisions.
See More
Banco Santander to Hold Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call at 4:00 AM ET
Conference Call Announcement: Banco Santander SA will hold a conference call on October 29, 2025, at 4:00 AM ET to discuss its Q3 2025 earnings results.
Webcast Access: Interested parties can access the live webcast by visiting the provided link to the company's official document.
See More
Santander Q2 Results Rise, Confirms FY25 Targtes; Plans EUR 1.7 Bln Buyback
Financial Performance: Banco Santander reported a 7% increase in attributable profit for Q2, reaching 3.43 billion euros, with total income growing by 5% to 15.47 billion euros.
Future Plans: The bank reaffirmed its fiscal targets for 2025, announcing a new share buyback program of approximately 1.7 billion euros and projecting at least 10 billion euros in share buybacks from 2025 and 2026 earnings.
See More
