Retail ETFs Rattle As Tariffs, Yields, Consumer Caution Pressure Big-Box Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 21 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TJX?
Source: Benzinga
Retail Market Overview: Major U.S. retailers are experiencing declining profits and cautious consumer spending, with companies like Target and Lowe's adjusting earnings estimates downward due to economic uncertainty and high interest rates impacting discretionary purchases.
ETF Performance and Strategy: Retail ETFs are reflecting the current market volatility, with funds like VanEck Retail ETF and ProShares Online Retail ETF facing challenges; however, those focusing on digital retail and innovation may find resilience amidst broader sector weaknesses.
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Analyst Views on TJX
Wall Street analysts forecast TJX stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 154.180
Low
150.00
Averages
169.81
High
193.00
Current: 154.180
Low
150.00
Averages
169.81
High
193.00
About TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc. is an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer in the United States (U.S.) and worldwide. The Company's segments include Marmaxx and HomeGoods, both in the U.S., TJX Canada and TJX International, including Europe and Australia. The TJ Maxx and Marshalls chains sell family apparel, including footwear and accessories, home fashions, including home basics, decorative accessories, and giftware and other merchandise. The HomeGoods segment operates HomeGoods and Homesense chains. HomeGoods offers an eclectic assortment of home fashions, including furniture, rugs, lighting, soft home, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware, as well as expanded pet and gourmet food departments. The TJX Canada segment operates the Winners, HomeSense and Marshalls chains in Canada, offering a range of home decor, furniture, and seasonal home merchandise. The TJX International segment operates the TK Maxx and Homesense chains in Europe and the TK Maxx chain in Australia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Market Decline: The stock market experienced a significant drop on Thursday, with the S&P 500 falling below its 50-day moving average, indicating a notable deterioration in market sentiment that could lead to decreased investor confidence and increased selling pressure.
- Intensifying AI Trade: As the AI disruption trade intensifies, there is a growing focus on related tech stocks, which, despite potential short-term volatility, are still viewed favorably for their long-term potential, possibly attracting more capital inflows.
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- Investor Strategy Reevaluation: In light of increasing market volatility, investors may need to reassess their investment strategies to navigate potential risks and opportunities, particularly in the AI sector.
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- S&P 500 Forecast: Wall Street analysts predict an 18% increase in the S&P 500 to 8,200 over the next year, reflecting optimistic market sentiment about economic recovery, which may attract more investors into the market.
- Sector Performance: The information technology and consumer discretionary sectors are expected to grow by 33% and 22%, respectively, indicating that these industries will be focal points for investors, particularly through exposure via Vanguard ETFs.
- Vanguard Tech ETF Performance: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, equivalent to an annual growth of 24%, showcasing its strong performance in the tech sector, despite underperforming during market corrections.
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- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain exposure to these sectors through the Vanguard Information Technology ETF and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF, which heavily feature stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, as well as Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, reflecting a strong focus on tech and consumer goods.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: TJX Companies plans to release its fourth quarter and full year Fiscal 2026 sales and earnings results on February 25, 2026, at 9:30 a.m. ET, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Executive Conference Call: At 11:00 a.m. ET on the same day, CEO Ernie Herrman will hold a conference call to discuss the results and operational trends, which is expected to provide investors with valuable insights into the company's performance and future outlook.
- Real-Time Webcast: The call will be available via a live webcast on TJX.com, ensuring that the public can access the latest company updates in real-time, thereby enhancing engagement with investors.
- Company Background Information: As a leading off-price retailer with over 5,100 stores, TJX offers products at prices 20% to 60% below full-price retailers, showcasing its competitive advantage and value proposition in the market.
See More
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- Trading Activity Overview: Senator John Hickenlooper of Colorado disclosed four six-figure stock transactions at the start of 2026, indicating his active presence in the market, which may influence investor interest in his future trades.
- Stock Performance Analysis: The senator's two stock sales were categorized as partial sales, suggesting he may still hold shares in those companies, while Lowe's and TJX stocks have risen by 10.8% and 22.8% respectively over the past year, potentially prompting him to take profits.
- Trading History Review: Hickenlooper has been active in trading since taking office in 2021, with the recent transactions marking his first purchases since September 2025, reflecting his sensitivity to market dynamics and adjustments in investment strategy.
- Market Monitoring Recommendation: Investors should continue to monitor Hickenlooper's trading activities, particularly in light of his trading performance over the past year and prevailing market trends, as this may provide critical insights for investment decisions.
See More
