TJX Should I Buy
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Buy TJX now. The stock is trading near a key support zone (around S1 ~147) with a weakening downside momentum (MACD negative but contracting) and bullish options positioning (put/call ratios < 1). Fundamentals from the latest reported quarter remain strong (FY2026 Q3 growth + margin expansion), and Wall Street price targets imply meaningful upside from ~150. The main near-term risk signals are heavy insider selling and recent congressional selling, but given the current technical setup near support and supportive sentiment, TJX is a good buy right now for an impatient investor.
Price/Trend: TJX closed strong in the regular session (+1.59%) and is flat post-market (~149.86), sitting below the pivot (151.843) and close to support (S1 147.276). This is a “near-support” entry area.
Momentum:
Key levels to trade against:
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Setup summary: With price near S1 and bearish momentum waning, the risk/reward is favorable for a buy now, targeting a move back toward the pivot/156 area.
Earnings catalyst upcoming: QJAN 2026 earnings on 2026-02-25 (pre-market). Elevated options activity suggests traders are actively positioning into this window.
Operating momentum narrative remains strong in news flow: same-store sales +5% and gross margin expansion highlighted repeatedly; reinforces “quality retailer” sentiment.
Analyst upgrades/raised targets: multiple firms recently raised price targets (UBS up to $193; Deutsche initiated/resumed Buy with $184), supporting the upside narrative.
Macro tailwinds cited by analysts: easier comparisons, potential tax refund boost/consumer resilience, tariff mitigation/reform optionality.
Business momentum/expansion optionality: continued share gains in off-price; international growth and new market entries (e.g., Spain plan referenced by analysts).
Insider selling is a clear negative signal: insiders are selling and the selling amount increased ~2103% over the last month.
Congressional trading is net negative: 2 sales, 0 purchases in the last 90 days (cautious signal).
Valuation risk (per news): shares cited around ~33x forward earnings; limits “multiple expansion” upside and can amplify pullbacks on any earnings disappointment.
Technical overhead: price is still below the pivot (151.843); failure to reclaim it quickly can keep the stock range-bound between ~147–152.
Latest quarter: FY2026 Q3
Interpretation: This is clean, broad-based improvement—revenue growth accelerating earnings, with margin expansion amplifying EPS. The quarter supports the bull case that TJX is executing well even in a mixed retail backdrop.
Recent trend: clearly improving/constructive. Multiple firms raised price targets and reiterated Buys/Outperforms/Overweights (UBS to $193; Deutsche Buy $184; Bernstein to $170; Baird to $168; Barclays to $172; Citi to $168). A notable counterweight is Wells Fargo at Equal Weight with a $150 target (near the current price), implying less upside in their base case.
Wall Street pros:
Wall Street cons:
Bottom line on Street view: Consensus tone is bullish with targets broadly above the current price, supporting a buy decision here.
