Red Cat Holdings (NASDAQ: RCAT) Pre-announces Q4 Sales of $24M-$26.5M, Stock Surges 11%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 13 2026
0mins
Should l Buy RCAT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Strong Sales Forecast: Red Cat anticipates Q4 2025 revenue between $24 million and $26.5 million, exceeding analyst expectations and indicating robust demand in the military drone sector.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite an initial surge of over 11% in the morning, Red Cat's stock was only up 2.6% by 11:45 a.m. ET, reflecting market concerns regarding the company's profitability.
- Annual Performance Growth: The company expects total revenue for 2025 to be between $38 million and $41 million, representing an approximate 153% year-over-year increase, although overall performance fails to meet profitability expectations.
- Concerning Cash Flow: With cash reserves of $184 million, Red Cat can sustain operations, but it faces losses exceeding $52 million this year, and analysts do not forecast profitability before 2028, indicating significant financial challenges ahead.
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Analyst Views on RCAT
Wall Street analysts forecast RCAT stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 11.250
Low
12.00
Averages
15.00
High
18.00
Current: 11.250
Low
12.00
Averages
15.00
High
18.00
About RCAT
Red Cat Holdings Inc is a Puerto Rico-based provider of products, services, and solutions to the drone industry. The Company provides its services to the enterprise, military, and consumer markets via designing, developing, marketing, and drone software and products' sales. Red Cat's Golden Eagle drones are approved by the Department of Defense for reconnaissance, public safety, and inspection applications. Through its wholly owned subsidiaries, Teal Drones and FlightWave Aerospace, The Company develops American-made hardware and software that support military, government, and public safety operations across air, land, and sea. Its Family of Systems, led by Black Widow, delivers tactical capabilities in small, unmanned aircraft systems (sUAS). The Company's offering also includes uncrewed surface vessels (USVs), delivering integrated platforms designed to enhance safety and multi-domain mission effectiveness.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Trial Phase: The first evaluation event, 'Gauntlet I,' is set for February 18, 2025, at Fort Benning, where military operators will directly control vendor systems, with approximately $150 million in prototype delivery orders expected to be issued post-evaluation, marking an acceleration in the procurement process.
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- Launch of Golf Survey Services: ZenaTech has initiated golf course survey services in Florida with plans for nationwide expansion, having completed drone-enabled surveys for five championship-level golf courses in the past year, showcasing its technical capabilities and market potential in complex environments.
- Enhanced Technological Advantage: By utilizing advanced drone mapping and analytics, ZenaTech's services can deliver accurate topographic and vegetation health data faster and more efficiently than traditional ground surveys, significantly improving the quality and speed of client decision-making.
- Strategic Expansion Plans: ZenaTech aims to build a global multi-service DaaS network by acquiring established, profitable service companies, intending to enhance service efficiency and reduce operational costs through drone innovation, thereby gaining a competitive edge in a crowded market.
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- Clear Investment Objective: The fund seeks to achieve daily investment results of 200% of the daily percentage change in Red Cat Holdings' stock price, allowing investors to gain transparency and accessibility within an ETF structure, suitable for those who understand leverage risks.
- Risk Advisory: This fund is not suitable for all investors, particularly those who do not intend to actively monitor their portfolios, as its leveraged strategy could lead to the loss of the entire principal within a single trading day, significantly increasing risk compared to traditional investments.
- Market Volatility Impact: Since the fund's performance relies on compounded daily returns, holding it for longer periods may result in performance that diverges significantly from RCAT's actual performance, necessitating careful assessment of potential market volatility risks.
See More
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