Is CIBC (TSX:CM) Still Priced Low Following Its 44% Surge? A New Assessment of the Bank's Valuation
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 20 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CM?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Stock Performance: Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) has seen a significant stock increase of about 44% over the past year and 19% in the last three months, with a recent share price of CA$128.17.
Valuation Insights: Analysts have raised their price target for CIBC to around CA$123, indicating it may be slightly overvalued at 4.6%, while a different model suggests a fair value closer to CA$182.71.
Growth and Risks: The bank's growth narrative is supported by resilient profit margins, but risks such as rising mortgage delinquencies and regulatory costs could impact future performance.
Investment Opportunities: Investors are encouraged to explore other high-growth stocks and undervalued opportunities beyond the financial sector, utilizing tools like Simply Wall Street's stock screener.
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Analyst Views on CM
Wall Street analysts forecast CM stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 95.300
Low
84.94
Averages
93.02
High
99.34
Current: 95.300
Low
84.94
Averages
93.02
High
99.34
About CM
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is a North American financial institution. The Company's segments include Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, and Capital Markets. Canadian Personal and Business Banking segment provides personal and business clients across Canada with financial advice, services and solutions through banking centers, mobile and online channels. Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management segment provides relationship-oriented banking and wealth management services. U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management segment is focused on middle-market and mid-corporate companies, entrepreneurs, high-net-worth individuals and families, as well as operating personal and small business banking services in six United States markets. Capital Markets segment provides integrated global markets products and services, investment banking and corporate banking solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Clear Investment Strategy: The fund focuses on capital preservation and consistent cash flow, primarily investing in direct and specialty lending, including asset-based lending in real estate and infrastructure, ensuring a disciplined approach to senior secured positions at the top of the capital structure.
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- Fund Launch: CIBC Asset Management has introduced the CIBC Diversified Private Credit Fund, aiming to provide a diversified portfolio of senior secured floating-rate loans through its proprietary origination network, targeting an annual return of 8%.
- Risk Management Strategy: The Fund focuses on capital preservation and consistent cash flow, leveraging CIBC's bank lending platform to provide exposure to direct and specialty lending, ensuring income stability amidst market fluctuations.
- Market Demand Response: The launch of the Fund reflects CIBC's strategic evolution in the private markets platform, responding to the increasing demand from institutional investors for income stability and portfolio diversification, aiming to capture opportunities arising from changing market conditions.
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See More
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- Financial Consensus: According to Simplii Financial's poll, 96% of Canadian couples agree on the importance of financial alignment, with 81% feeling financially compatible and 79% reporting they make a great team in managing finances, indicating that shared financial goals are enhancing trust and collaboration between partners.
- Communication Frequency: The survey reveals that 75% of couples discuss financial matters weekly or a few times a month, and although 44% admit that money conversations can be challenging, most couples maintain good communication habits that promote financial stability and mutual confidence.
- Dating Standards: 88% of Canadians consider shared financial goals important, with 49% using financial status in dating decisions and 74% emphasizing the importance of a financially secure partner, reflecting how financial values are significantly influencing modern dating choices.
- Financial Responsibility: 51% of individuals maintain consistent patterns of financial responsibility during dates, while 56% indicate one partner takes the primary role in financial management, and 57% believe they are better at managing personal finances than their partners, showcasing confidence and independence within relationships.
See More
Loonie Strength Driven by USD Decline
- Loonie Strength Analysis: CIBC notes that the recent strength of the loonie is primarily due to the broad decline of the USD, indicating an increased demand for the Canadian dollar that could positively impact Canadian exports.
- Market Reaction: The weakness of the USD makes the loonie more attractive relative to other currencies, potentially leading investors to reassess their portfolios in North America, thereby increasing trading volume for the loonie.
- Economic Impact: A stronger loonie may affect Canada's export competitiveness, particularly in the energy and raw materials sectors, prompting businesses to adjust pricing strategies to cope with the challenges posed by currency fluctuations.
- Future Outlook: CIBC anticipates that if the USD continues to weaken, the loonie may appreciate further, which could have profound implications for Canada's economic recovery, especially amid increasing global economic uncertainty.
See More
Bank of Canada Expected to Hold Rates Steady
- Rate Stability Expectation: CIBC analysts Ali Jaffery and Andrew Grantham note that the Bank of Canada is widely expected to keep rates steady, reflecting a cautious approach towards economic growth that may influence market expectations for future monetary policy.
- Market Reaction Analysis: The general expectation of stable rates may lead investors to adopt a wait-and-see attitude in the short term, potentially affecting liquidity in both equity and bond markets.
- Economic Growth Consideration: This decision by the central bank may stem from concerns over slowing economic growth, particularly amid increasing global economic uncertainty, which could impact consumer and business confidence.
- Policy Impact Assessment: Keeping rates unchanged may affect Canada's real estate market, especially as high-rate environments maintain borrowing costs for homebuyers, thereby influencing market activity levels.
See More
CIBC Maintains Neutral Rating with C$27 Price Target
- Rating Maintenance: CIBC Capital Markets announced on Wednesday that it is maintaining a neutral rating on a certain company, indicating a cautious outlook on market prospects without making a bullish price prediction.
- Price Target Set: CIBC has set a price target of C$27, reflecting a conservative estimate of the company's future performance, which may influence investor decisions and market sentiment.
- Market Reaction: The maintenance of this rating and price target could lead to decreased investor attention on the company's stock, potentially affecting its trading volume and liquidity in the short term.
- Industry Impact: CIBC's neutral rating may prompt follow-up from other analysts in the industry, further influencing the overall market perception and investment strategies regarding the company.
See More
CIBC Launches Diversified Private Credit Fund for Institutional Investors
- Growing Market Demand: As the number of publicly traded companies in the U.S. declines, investor interest in private market investments, particularly in credit, is rising, indicating a pressing need for diversified investment strategies.
- Fund Structure Advantage: The open-ended fund launched by CIBC is designed for Canadian institutional investors seeking diversified private credit exposure, aiming to deliver resilient income and attractive risk-adjusted returns through a multi-sector private credit allocation.
- Clear Investment Strategy: The fund focuses on capital preservation and consistent cash flow, primarily investing in direct and specialty lending, including asset-based lending in real estate and infrastructure, ensuring a disciplined approach to senior secured positions at the top of the capital structure.
- Flexible Portfolio Approach: CIBC Asset Management's Global Head of Alternative Investing, Ohm Srinivasan, noted that the fund combines the scale and underwriting discipline of a bank platform with the flexibility of a dynamic, multi-sector credit approach to meet institutional investors' needs for income stability and portfolio diversification across market cycles.
See More
CIBC Launches Diversified Private Credit Fund Aiming for 8% Annual Returns
- Fund Launch: CIBC Asset Management has introduced the CIBC Diversified Private Credit Fund, aiming to provide a diversified portfolio of senior secured floating-rate loans through its proprietary origination network, targeting an annual return of 8%.
- Risk Management Strategy: The Fund focuses on capital preservation and consistent cash flow, leveraging CIBC's bank lending platform to provide exposure to direct and specialty lending, ensuring income stability amidst market fluctuations.
- Market Demand Response: The launch of the Fund reflects CIBC's strategic evolution in the private markets platform, responding to the increasing demand from institutional investors for income stability and portfolio diversification, aiming to capture opportunities arising from changing market conditions.
- Professional Team Support: Managed by over 400 lending professionals from CIBC Asset Management, the Fund utilizes its extensive network across North America and Europe to ensure optimal investment outcomes through dynamic allocation and tactical deployment.
See More
