Golub Capital's Perspective on the Resilience of Private Credit Amid the Software Crisis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CRM?
Source: Barron's
Company Overview: Golub Capital BDC is a business development company that has a long history of lending to the software industry.
Earnings Call Focus: The recent earnings call highlighted concerns and discussions surrounding the impact of AI on the software sector, referred to as the "software AI apocalypse."
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Analyst Views on CRM
Wall Street analysts forecast CRM stock price to rise
42 Analyst Rating
31 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 185.430
Low
223.00
Averages
326.95
High
405.00
Current: 185.430
Low
223.00
Averages
326.95
High
405.00
About CRM
Salesforce, Inc. is a provider of customer relationship management (CRM) technology. The Company helps organizations of any size reimagine their business for the world of artificial intelligence (AI). With Agentforce, its platform, organizations can bring humans together with AI agents to drive customer success on one deeply unified platform. With the Salesforce platform, it delivers a single source of truth, connecting customer data with integrated AI across systems, apps and devices to help companies sell, service, market and conduct commerce from anywhere. Agentforce is a new layer of the Salesforce platform that enables companies to build and deploy AI agents that can respond to inputs, make decisions and take action autonomously across business functions. Agentforce includes a suite of customizable agents for use across sales, service, marketing and commerce. Datablazer is a data-driven innovator, which leverages the Company’s platform to unlock insights and drive decisions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surge in Capital Expenditures: Tech giants like Amazon and Google have significantly raised their capital expenditure outlooks, with Amazon projecting spending to reach $200 billion, far exceeding the $147 billion consensus, which could impact stock performance and investor confidence.
- Intensified Market Competition: The rapid advancement of AI technology raises questions about the value of enterprise software, leading investors to adopt a pessimistic view on the future of traditional software companies, especially in labor-intensive areas that may face workforce reductions due to AI adoption.
- Investor Confidence Shaken: Despite significant advancements by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI in the AI space, market confidence in traditional software companies is waning, resulting in poor stock performance over the past six months and raising concerns about future profitability.
See More
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- Market Volatility Intensifies: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both fell over 1% last week due to AI concerns, with sell-offs in Financial Services, Consumer Discretionary, and tech stocks indicating the potential impact of AI across multiple industries.
- Logistics Sector Hit: Shares of C.H. Robinson and Universal Logistics dropped 11% and 9%, respectively, after a Florida-based company announced a new tool to scale freight volumes without increasing headcount, highlighting AI's threat to traditional logistics models.
- Wealth Management Turmoil: Charles Schwab and Raymond James saw their stocks decline by 10% and 8%, respectively, as the launch of an AI-driven tax tool raised fears about pressure on high advisory fees, further fueling market concerns over automation.
- Investor Sentiment Cautious: Despite the sell-off, analysts believe the current pullback is a short-term phenomenon, forecasting the S&P 500 to reach 7,600 by year-end, reflecting optimism towards other sectors amidst the volatility.
See More
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- Successful Rocket Launch: The French president celebrated the successful launch of Europe's most powerful rocket, which deployed 32 Amazon Leo satellites into orbit, marking a significant advancement in Europe's space capabilities and enhancing its competitiveness in the global space market.
- Pause on Tech Security Measures: Ahead of the Trump-Xi Jinping meeting, the Trump administration reportedly paused several critical technology security measures targeting China, a decision that could influence the future trajectory of U.S.-China tech relations and reduce market uncertainties.
- Apple Court Victory: Apple secured a courtroom win as a jury rejected claims from Optis Wireless that it infringed on 4G wireless patents, a result that will help protect Apple's intellectual property and strengthen its market position.
- AI Industry Developments: Elon Musk criticized AI startup Anthropic for alleged bias while announcing a $30 billion funding round that pushed its valuation to $380 billion, highlighting the intense competition and rapid evolution within the AI sector.
See More
AI Turbulence Impacts Market Performance
- Increased Market Volatility: Last week, stocks in software, real estate, financial services, and logistics faced selling pressure due to concerns over AI-related disruptions, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.2% and a weekly loss of 2.1%, indicating market sensitivity to AI impacts.
- Consumer Spending Data Focus: This week's highlight will be the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will provide insights into consumer spending in December and inflation trends, especially following last week's unexpected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Corporate Earnings in Spotlight: Walmart (WMT) is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, marking the first report under new CEO John Furner, making it a key indicator of consumer spending that the market is eagerly anticipating.
- Ongoing AI Impact: As AI tools' potential effects intensify across various sectors, software stocks like Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW) have seen significant declines, reflecting the market's heightened vigilance regarding AI disruptions, necessitating close monitoring of future industry developments.
See More
Global Stock Markets Jitter Amid AI Disruption
- Market Turmoil Intensifies: Over the past few weeks, global stock markets have experienced significant volatility due to concerns over AI disruption, particularly with software companies like Dassault Systemes facing their largest one-day drop in history, indicating high investor sensitivity to AI impacts.
- Wealth Management Under Pressure: Wealth management firms such as St James's Place and Aberdeen Group have suffered severe losses, reflecting market panic over the potential effects of AI, leading to deep financial setbacks for these companies.
- Analyst Warnings: UBS analysts have cautioned that the AI-driven sell-off signifies a
See More
Anthropic's New Tools Cause Market Turmoil
- Market Reaction: Following the launch of Anthropic's Claude Cowork and its industry-specific plugins, the market experienced panic, with stocks of Salesforce, Intuit, and Atlassian dropping by 27.9%, 33%, and 41.6% respectively, reflecting investor fears that AI tools could replace traditional SaaS platforms.
- Alphabet's Stock Decline: Alphabet's shares fell over 6% in the week after the Claude Cowork announcement, raising concerns among investors about its competitive position in AI, despite not directly offering industry-specific software, which affected market confidence.
- Competitive Pressure from Gemini 3: Google's Gemini 3 LLM update launched in November significantly enhanced its AI capabilities, attracting a surge of paid subscribers, leading investors to worry that Claude Cowork might further poach these users, increasing market uncertainty.
- Investor Buying Opportunity: Despite market volatility, renowned investors like Warren Buffett and Cathie Wood actively increased their stakes in Alphabet during the stock's decline, investing $21.6 million and $15 million respectively, indicating confidence in Alphabet's long-term value and potentially providing a buying opportunity for other investors.
See More
