Cogent Biosciences (COGT) Price Target Raised by 10.58% to $48.13
Price Target Update: The average one-year price target for Cogent Biosciences has been revised to $48.13 per share, reflecting a 10.58% increase from the previous estimate of $43.52. This target indicates a potential 24.13% rise from the latest closing price of $38.77.
Fund Sentiment: There are currently 357 funds reporting positions in Cogent Biosciences, with a 3.18% increase in ownership over the last quarter. The average portfolio weight dedicated to COGT has risen by 44.43%.
Shareholder Activity: Notable increases in share ownership have been reported by several firms, including Deerfield Management and Fairmount Funds Management, with increases of 70.84% and 30.85% respectively. Conversely, Kynam Capital Management saw a decrease in shares owned.
Market Outlook: The put/call ratio for COGT stands at 0.44, suggesting a bullish sentiment among investors regarding the stock's future performance.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on COGT
About COGT
About the author

- Sale Overview: On January 22, 2026, Fairmount Funds Management LLC indirectly sold 3.5 million shares of Cogent at $36.40 per share, generating approximately $127.4 million in transaction value, which represented 38.87% of its total indirect holdings, reducing its stake from 9,003,418 to 5,503,418 shares.
- Stock Surge Context: Cogent's stock skyrocketed over 342% in 2025, and this significant share sale has sparked speculation about management taking profits, although Fairmount's exact motives remain unclear; nonetheless, the over $120 million gain from this transaction is substantial.
- Holding Structure Analysis: Despite the large sale of common shares, Fairmount still holds approximately 67,414 units of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock, which could convert to about 16.85 million common shares, but due to a 9.9% ownership limit, they would need to sell some common shares first to facilitate this conversion.
- Investment Strategy and Market Performance: Fairmount Funds focuses heavily on biotech investments, with Cogent being a key part of its portfolio, showcasing potential in targeted therapies for rare diseases, and combined with its strong market performance, it may present long-term profit opportunities for investors.
- Transaction Overview: On January 22, 2026, Fairmount Funds Management LLC indirectly sold 3.5 million shares of Cogent Biosciences for approximately $127.4 million, highlighting its investment strategy in the biotech sector.
- Change in Holdings: This transaction reduced Fairmount's indirect holdings by 38.87%, leaving 5,503,418 shares, which may indicate a potential shift in confidence regarding Cogent's future prospects.
- Market Context Analysis: At the time of the sale, Cogent's shares were priced at $36.40, lower than the closing price of $39.53 that day, suggesting a cautious market sentiment that could impact investor confidence.
- Investor Implications: Although Fairmount still holds about 67,414 units of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock, which could convert to approximately 16.85 million common shares, the 9.9% ownership limit will restrict future sales, affecting liquidity management.
- Forecast Upgrade: Cantor Fitzgerald raised Pfizer's price forecast from $24 to $27, providing a positive catalyst for the pharmaceutical giant despite a 1.6% decline in the broader healthcare sector.
- Licensing Agreement: Pfizer entered a non-exclusive licensing agreement with Novavax for its Matrix-M adjuvant technology, granting Novavax a $30 million upfront payment and potential milestones up to $500 million, indicating Pfizer's proactive approach in product development.
- FDA Breakthrough Therapy: Pfizer's Sutent, in combination with Cogent Biosciences' bezuclastinib, received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation after showing a 50% reduction in disease progression risk, enhancing Pfizer's competitive edge in oncology treatments.
- Leadership Warning: At the World Economic Forum, CEO Albert Bourla warned that reduced funding for U.S. universities has weakened America's position in global health research, highlighting China's dominance in health research rankings.
- Breakthrough Therapy Designation: The FDA granted Cogent Biosciences Breakthrough Therapy Designation for bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors, marking a significant advancement in cancer treatment.
- Clinical Trial Results: The PEAK trial demonstrated a median progression-free survival of 16.5 months for the bezuclastinib combination compared to 9.2 months for sunitinib monotherapy, reducing the risk of disease progression or death by 50%, indicating substantial clinical benefits.
- NDA Progress: The FDA agreed to accept Cogent's New Drug Application for the bezuclastinib and sunitinib combination under the Real-Time Oncology Review program, with submission completion expected in April 2026, accelerating the drug's path to market.
- Future Trial Plans: Cogent plans to initiate a Phase 2 trial for first-line GIST patients in mid-2026, showcasing the company's ongoing investment in cancer treatment research and market expansion potential.
- Insider Sale: Evan Kearns, Chief Legal Officer of Cogent Biosciences, sold 65,000 shares on December 26 for a total of $2.52 million at a weighted average price of $38.70, reducing his direct holdings by 37.27%, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future.
- Ownership Change: Following this transaction, Kearns's direct ownership stands at 109,398 shares, and this sale marks his only open-market transaction, with no derivatives or indirect holdings involved, maintaining his direct control over the company.
- Market Reaction: Kearns's sale did not trigger panic in the market, as it occurred after a significant stock price surge due to the company's public offering and clinical advancements, suggesting a normal liquidity management strategy at high valuations.
- Strategic Context: Cogent focuses on precision therapies for rare diseases, and Kearns's sale does not undermine the company's long-term strategy in oncology and rare disease markets, with future value hinging on clinical execution and regulatory progress.
- Reduction in Holdings: Evan Kearns, the Chief Legal Officer of Cogent Biosciences, sold 65,000 shares for $2.52 million, reducing his direct ownership by 37.27% to 109,398 shares, significantly lowering his direct exposure to the company's equity.
- Market Reaction: This transaction occurred after Cogent's stock surged following a public offering announcement in November, reflecting strong momentum in financing and clinical progress, although Kearns' sale may trigger short-term market fluctuations.
- Transaction Context: Kearns' sale is the only recorded open-market transaction, with all shares sold being directly held, indicating no involvement of derivatives or indirect interests, suggesting sustained confidence in the company's future.
- Investor Focus: While Kearns' sale may be viewed as insider liquidity, Cogent's long-term value will ultimately hinge on clinical execution and regulatory advancements rather than a single sale event.










