Border Conflict: New York City Casinos May Endanger New Jersey's Gaming Industry
New York City Casino Licenses Approved: The New York State Gaming Commission has awarded three downstate casino licenses for projects in New York City, including Bally's in the Bronx, Hard Rock near Citi Field, and an expansion of Resorts World in Queens.
Projected Opening Timelines: Resorts World aims to open its full commercial casino by late March 2026, Hard Rock's project may open in phases starting in late 2027, and Bally's Bronx is expected to open in the mid-2030s.
Impact on New Jersey's Casino Industry: The new NYC casinos are anticipated to significantly threaten New Jersey's gaming revenue, with projections suggesting a potential 20% to 30% revenue loss for Atlantic City casinos.
Current Performance of New Jersey Casinos: Despite the looming competition, New Jersey's casino industry has seen a strong performance in 2025, with total gaming revenue increasing by 10.4% year-over-year, reaching $6.38 billion.
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- Net Income Growth: For the third quarter ended December 31, 2025, Clairvest Group reported net income of CAD 105.1 million, or CAD 7.65 per share, primarily driven by successful realizations from F12.net and Acera Insurance, showcasing the company's effective investment management.
- Significant Investment Returns: Clairvest and CEP VI sold their interest in F12.net, achieving a 4.6x return on invested capital with proceeds of CAD 164 million, compared to an investment value of CAD 23.2 million, reflecting strong performance in the technology services sector.
- New Acquisition Opportunities: Clairvest entered into an agreement with CEP VII to acquire MGM Northfield Park for USD 546 million, with an expected equity investment of approximately USD 165 million, further expanding its footprint in the regional gaming market and enhancing future revenue potential.
- Share Buyback: During the third quarter, Clairvest repurchased and cancelled 60,500 common shares at a total cost of CAD 4.3 million, increasing the book value per share by CAD 0.09, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder returns and proactive capital management.
- Net Income Growth: For the third quarter ended December 31, 2025, Clairvest Group reported net income of CAD 105.1 million, or CAD 7.65 per share, primarily driven by successful investment realizations in F12.net and Acera Insurance, showcasing the company's effective investment management.
- Significant Investment Returns: Clairvest and Clairvest Equity Partners VI sold their interest in F12.net for CAD 164 million, achieving a 4.6x return on invested capital, which further solidifies their market position in the technology services sector.
- New Business Acquisition: Clairvest and Clairvest Equity Partners VII entered into an agreement to acquire MGM Northfield Park for USD 546 million, with an expected equity investment of approximately USD 165 million, reflecting the company's proactive strategy in business expansion.
- Share Buyback Program: During the third quarter, Clairvest repurchased and canceled 60,500 common shares at a total cost of CAD 4.3 million, enhancing the book value per share by CAD 0.09, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns.
- AGNC Yield Attraction: AGNC boasts an eye-catching forward yield of 12.8%, and while its projected EPS of $1.51 covers the $1.44 dividend, its declining earnings indicate a potential high-yield trap, suggesting caution for investors.
- Cost of Financing Pressure: AGNC generates cash by selling mortgage-backed securities (MBS), but with short-term rates exceeding long-term rates, its financing costs have risen, limiting profitability; if the real estate market remains sluggish, dividend cuts may be on the horizon.
- Vici's Stability: In contrast, Vici Properties, as an equity REIT, owns 93 entertainment properties and has maintained a 100% occupancy rate since its 2018 IPO, with projected adjusted funds from operations expected to grow 4%-5% by 2025, showcasing strong profitability and stable dividend payments.
- Leasing Model Advantage: Vici's leases are tied to the Consumer Price Index, allowing for rent increases in line with inflation, and its triple-net lease structure requires tenants to cover maintenance and taxes, further enhancing financial stability and dividend growth potential.
- Significant User Growth: During Super Bowl week, Kalshi saw a 1,544% increase in downloads, with daily active users reaching nearly 2 million, nearly three times that of BetMGM, indicating strong appeal in prediction markets.
- Surge in Trading Volume: Kalshi traded over $1 billion during the Super Bowl, a staggering 2,700% increase, reflecting consumers' strong demand for diverse trading options, which is driving revenue growth for the company.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Despite Kalshi outspending Polymarket by 19 times and DraftKings by 35% in marketing, traditional sports betting giants like DraftKings and FanDuel remain dominant, with daily active users reaching 5 million and 4.2 million, respectively.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Robinhood reported that event contracts are the fastest-growing business in its history, with expectations to trade 12 billion event contracts in 2026, showcasing market potential and the success of its strategic initiatives.
- Significant User Growth: During Super Bowl week, Kalshi experienced a 1,544% increase in downloads and nearly 2 million daily active users, reflecting strong consumer interest in sports prediction markets and enhancing the company's market share in this sector.
- Surging Trading Volume: Over $1 billion was traded on Kalshi during the Super Bowl, marking a 2,700% increase from the previous year, indicating robust consumer demand for diverse trading options and strengthening Kalshi's competitive position in the prediction market.
- Massive Market Potential: With major sports events approaching in 2026, prediction markets are expected to see increased trading opportunities, and Robinhood's event contracts are described as the fastest-growing business in the company's history, highlighting significant future profitability potential.
- Aggressive Marketing Strategy: Kalshi's marketing expenditure in the U.S. is approximately 19 times that of Polymarket and about 35% more than DraftKings, and this proactive marketing approach is likely to enhance brand visibility and attract more users to participate.








