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Not a good buy right now. Despite a small uptick to $4.26, the trend remains structurally bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and there are no Intellectia buy signals to override that. With earnings on 2026-02-16 (pre-market) and options implying extreme uncertainty (very high IV), the risk/reward for an impatient buyer is unattractive at current levels. I would avoid initiating a new long here (hold/stand aside).
Price/levels: Close $4.26, below the pivot 4.324. Immediate support S1=4.11 then S2=3.978; resistance R1=4.538 then R2=4.67. Trend: Bearish moving-average stack (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) signals a downtrend/weak tape. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0412) but contracting, suggesting a weakening bullish bounce rather than a fresh breakout. RSI_6 at 48.1 is neutral (no oversold edge). Pattern-based projection: +0.76% next day / +2.6% next week but -1.99% next month, consistent with short-term bounce risk but poor follow-through longer term.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

followed by R1 (4.
could trigger short-term momentum.
Primary trend remains bearish (moving averages stacked bearishly) and MACD positive momentum is fading (histogram contracting). Profitability is still weak: net income remains negative and EPS deteriorated. No news/catalysts in the last week to drive a sustained rerating. Extreme implied volatility suggests the market is pricing significant uncertainty into the near term (especially with earnings on 2026-02-16 pre-market).
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue increased to 998,416,000 (+47.47% YoY), and gross margin improved to 78.17% (+2.99% YoY), both positive for operating leverage potential. However, losses persist: net income was -65,962,000 and EPS was -0.04, with EPS down -86.67% YoY—indicating profitability has not stabilized yet despite the revenue rebound.
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so no recent Wall Street trend can be confirmed. From the available fundamentals alone, the bull case is rapid revenue growth and high gross margin; the bear case is continuing losses/weak EPS trajectory and a bearish price structure that suggests the market is not yet rewarding the growth.
