XPO Earnings

XPO reported its earnings on 2026-02-05, showcasing a revenue of 2.01B against an estimate of 1.94B, resulting in a 3.66% surprise. The EPS was 0.88, surpassing the expected 0.76 by 15.79% . The stock experienced a 3.39% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following XPO's earnings announcement on 2026-02-05, the stock price moved by 3.39% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, XPO's stock price tends to shift by an average of -7.53% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +5.15% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate XPO’s annual revenue to reach 2.02B, while the EPS is projected at 0.87. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.13% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.5% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between XPO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.13%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.5% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, XPO's stock price typically moves by -7.53% in the 10 days before its earnings and +5.15% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.87 and revenue of 2.02B.

The earnings call summary and Q&A session highlight strong financial metrics, AI-driven productivity gains, and strategic expansion into high-margin verticals like healthcare and grocery. While management avoided some specifics, the overall sentiment is positive due to expected yield growth, pricing improvements, and a shareholder return plan involving increased free cash flow and share buybacks. Despite some uncertainties, the company's optimistic outlook and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price reaction over the next two weeks.